IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Cornell
Ivy League
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.4	#172
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	77.1	#20
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.4	#108

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.8	#266

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	10.3%	12.9%	7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.3	13.1	13.8

.500 or above	58.0%	71.1%	42.6%
.500 or above in Conference	58.5%	66.1%	49.5%
Conference Champion	12.1%	15.6%	8.0%
Last Place in Conference	10.0%	7.2%	13.3%

First Four	0.3%	0.2%	0.3%
First Round	10.2%	12.7%	7.2%
Second Round	1.4%	2.0%	0.7%
Sweet Sixteen	0.3%	0.5%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Samford (Home) - 54.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 4
Quad 3	4 - 5	5 - 9
Quad 4	8 - 3	13 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2024	138	Samford	W	87-86	54%
Nov 16, 2024	199	Lafayette	W	75-71	65%
Nov 21, 2024	295	Robert Morris	W	83-74	80%
Nov 25, 2024	210	@ Iona	L	77-78	47%
Nov 27, 2024	56	@ Syracuse	L	77-90	13%
Dec 04, 2024	171	@ Colgate	L	74-77	39%
Dec 08, 2024	321	@ Army	W	73-67	68%
Dec 10, 2024	109	@ California	L	76-83	27%
Dec 22, 2024	193	Illinois St.	W	75-71	64%
Dec 30, 2024	339	Siena	W	81-67	88%
Jan 11, 2025	230	@ Columbia	W	82-81	50%
Jan 18, 2025	166	@ Penn	L	76-79	39%
Jan 20, 2025	181	Brown	W	79-76	61%
Jan 25, 2025	104	@ Princeton	L	73-81	24%
Jan 31, 2025	313	Dartmouth	W	79-68	82%
Feb 01, 2025	182	Harvard	W	78-75	62%
Feb 08, 2025	113	Yale	L	74-75	47%
Feb 14, 2025	182	@ Harvard	L	75-78	41%
Feb 15, 2025	313	@ Dartmouth	W	76-71	66%
Feb 21, 2025	113	@ Yale	L	71-78	29%
Feb 22, 2025	181	@ Brown	L	76-79	42%
Feb 28, 2025	166	Penn	W	79-76	58%
Mar 01, 2025	104	Princeton	L	76-78	42%
Mar 08, 2025	230	Columbia	W	84-78	69%
Projected Record						13 - 11	7 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ivy League Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.7	2.6	4.0	3.1	1.4	0.3		12.1	1st
2nd								0.1	1.6	5.1	5.0	2.0	0.3				14.0	2nd
3rd							0.1	2.3	6.9	5.1	1.1	0.0					15.5	3rd
4th						0.2	2.6	7.1	4.6	0.6	0.0						15.1	4th
5th					0.3	2.9	6.9	4.0	0.4	0.0							14.4	5th
6th			0.0	0.5	3.2	5.8	3.2	0.3	0.0								13.0	6th
7th		0.1	0.9	3.0	4.2	1.8	0.1	0.0									10.1	7th
8th	0.3	1.1	1.9	1.7	0.7	0.1											5.8	8th

Total	0.3	1.2	2.8	5.2	8.4	10.8	12.9	13.8	13.5	11.4	8.8	5.9	3.4	1.4	0.3			Total

Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
13-1	100.0%	1.4		1.4	0.0
12-2	91.4%	3.1		2.5	0.6
11-3	66.6%	4.0		2.1	1.7	0.2
10-4	29.9%	2.6		0.7	1.3	0.5	0.1
9-5	5.8%	0.7		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
8-6	0.3%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	12.1%	12.1		7.1	3.8	1.0	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.3%		70.8%	59.7%	11.1%	9.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1		27.4%
13-1	1.4%		54.1%	51.0%	3.1%	11.4			0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0			0.6		6.3%
12-2	3.4%		39.8%	39.4%	0.4%	12.4										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0		2.0		0.6%
11-3	5.9%		30.5%	30.4%	0.1%	12.9												0.0	0.6	0.8	0.4	0.1		4.1		0.1%
10-4	8.8%		23.3%	23.3%		13.4												0.0	0.4	0.8	0.6	0.2	0.0	6.7
9-5	11.4%		17.0%	17.0%		13.9													0.2	0.5	0.7	0.5	0.1	9.5
8-6	13.5%		11.8%	11.8%		14.4													0.0	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.2	11.9
7-7	13.8%		3.8%	3.8%		14.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	13.3
6-8	12.9%		0.4%	0.4%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.0	12.9
5-9	10.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	10.8
4-10	8.4%																							8.4
3-11	5.2%																							5.2
2-12	2.8%																							2.8
1-13	1.2%																							1.2
0-14	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		10.3%	10.2%	0.1%	13.3		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	2.0	2.9	2.5	1.7	0.5	89.7		0.1%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	3.9	11.1		11.1	44.4	33.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.0%	100.0%	7.3			14.3			14.3	28.6	14.3	14.3		14.3