IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Dartmouth
Ivy League
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.1	#313
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	63.7	#315
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.1	#340

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.0	#240

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.0%	1.2%	0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.5	14.4	15.0

.500 or above	8.0%	10.4%	2.6%
.500 or above in Conference	12.1%	14.3%	6.9%
Conference Champion	1.0%	1.2%	0.5%
Last Place in Conference	54.7%	50.5%	64.2%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
First Round	0.9%	1.2%	0.3%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Sacred Heart (Home) - 69.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 8	2 - 12
Quad 4	5 - 6	7 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2024	334	Sacred Heart	W	71-66	69%
Nov 13, 2024	259	Albany	L	72-73	49%
Nov 16, 2024	266	@ Boston University	L	61-67	29%
Nov 19, 2024	235	@ Marist	L	57-65	25%
Nov 29, 2024	114	@ Boston College	L	59-74	10%
Dec 03, 2024	305	@ New Hampshire	L	66-70	37%
Dec 08, 2024	203	@ Illinois-Chicago	L	62-71	21%
Dec 11, 2024	66	@ Notre Dame	L	52-72	5%
Dec 14, 2024	143	@ Umass Lowell	L	63-75	15%
Dec 18, 2024	335	Le Moyne	W	69-63	68%
Dec 21, 2024	111	Vermont	L	57-66	23%
Jan 11, 2025	166	Penn	L	64-69	33%
Jan 18, 2025	104	Princeton	L	61-71	19%
Jan 20, 2025	113	@ Yale	L	56-71	11%
Jan 25, 2025	181	@ Brown	L	61-71	19%
Jan 31, 2025	172	@ Cornell	L	68-79	18%
Feb 01, 2025	230	@ Columbia	L	65-73	26%
Feb 08, 2025	182	Harvard	L	63-67	36%
Feb 14, 2025	230	Columbia	L	68-70	44%
Feb 15, 2025	172	Cornell	L	71-76	35%
Feb 21, 2025	166	@ Penn	L	61-72	18%
Feb 22, 2025	104	Princeton	L	61-71	20%
Feb 28, 2025	113	Yale	L	59-68	24%
Mar 01, 2025	181	Brown	L	64-68	36%
Mar 08, 2025	182	@ Harvard	L	60-70	20%
Projected Record						7 - 18	4 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ivy League Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0		1.0	1st
2nd								0.1	0.6	0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0				2.2	2nd
3rd							0.1	1.1	1.7	0.7	0.1						3.6	3rd
4th						0.1	1.8	2.9	0.9	0.1							5.8	4th
5th				0.0	0.4	2.9	4.3	1.4	0.1								9.0	5th
6th			0.0	1.0	4.7	6.0	1.9	0.1									13.7	6th
7th		0.4	3.6	8.2	7.7	2.3	0.1										22.3	7th
8th	6.8	13.1	13.3	7.3	1.9	0.1											42.4	8th

Total	6.8	13.5	16.9	16.5	14.7	11.5	8.1	5.5	3.3	1.8	1.0	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0			Total

Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
13-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
12-2	94.8%	0.1		0.1	0.0
11-3	71.8%	0.2		0.2	0.1	0.0
10-4	37.9%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1
9-5	10.7%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
8-6	0.9%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	1.0%	1.0		0.5	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.0%																							0.0
13-1	0.1%		26.9%	26.9%		12.3										0.0			0.0	0.0				0.0
12-2	0.1%		38.7%	38.7%		13.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
11-3	0.3%		19.5%	19.5%		13.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.3
10-4	1.0%		15.0%	15.0%		13.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.8
9-5	1.8%		13.2%	13.2%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.6
8-6	3.3%		8.0%	8.0%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	3.0
7-7	5.5%		3.6%	3.6%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	5.3
6-8	8.1%		0.2%	0.2%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.0	8.1
5-9	11.5%																							11.5
4-10	14.7%																							14.7
3-11	16.5%																							16.5
2-12	16.9%																							16.9
1-13	13.5%																							13.5
0-14	6.8%																							6.8

Total	100%		1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	14.5										0.0			0.0	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.2	99.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.7%