IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	+2.2	#128
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.6	#265
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.2	#170

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+2.3	#107

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.3%	0.5%	0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.9%	6.1%	2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	1.5%	2.0%	0.4%
Average Seed	10.7	10.5	11.6

.500 or above	51.2%	60.0%	32.6%
.500 or above in Conference	43.7%	49.1%	32.4%
Conference Champion	4.2%	5.2%	2.1%
Last Place in Conference	11.0%	8.4%	16.7%

First Four	0.8%	1.0%	0.3%
First Round	4.5%	5.6%	2.1%
Second Round	1.5%	2.0%	0.5%
Sweet Sixteen	0.4%	0.6%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Lipscomb (Home) - 67.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	2 - 5	3 - 7
Quad 3	6 - 6	9 - 13
Quad 4	6 - 2	15 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	158	Lipscomb	W	75-70	68%
Nov 08, 2024	104	Princeton	L	66-69	40%
Nov 15, 2024	122	@ DePaul	L	68-71	38%
Nov 19, 2024	200	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	77-70	73%
Nov 24, 2024	178	South Dakota St.	W	71-68	60%
Dec 03, 2024	214	St. Peter's	W	66-58	75%
Dec 06, 2024	187	Delaware	W	71-65	70%
Dec 11, 2024	253	Maine	W	69-59	80%
Dec 14, 2024	124	Towson	L	62-63	49%
Dec 21, 2024	103	UC Irvine	W	69-68	50%
Dec 31, 2024	142	Rhode Island	W	73-69	63%
Jan 04, 2025	135	@ Davidson	L	64-67	41%
Jan 08, 2025	90	Saint Joseph's	L	69-71	44%
Jan 15, 2025	150	@ George Washington	L	73-74	45%
Jan 18, 2025	120	St. Bonaventure	W	68-65	59%
Jan 21, 2025	59	Dayton	L	63-67	37%
Jan 26, 2025	159	@ Fordham	L	68-69	47%
Jan 29, 2025	90	@ Saint Joseph's	L	66-74	26%
Feb 01, 2025	116	Massachusetts	W	70-68	58%
Feb 05, 2025	133	@ Richmond	L	65-68	40%
Feb 08, 2025	100	Loyola Chicago	L	68-69	49%
Feb 15, 2025	59	@ Dayton	L	60-70	21%
Feb 19, 2025	159	Fordham	W	71-66	66%
Feb 22, 2025	120	@ St. Bonaventure	L	65-68	39%
Feb 26, 2025	173	@ La Salle	L	67-68	48%
Mar 01, 2025	96	George Mason	L	64-65	48%
Mar 04, 2025	85	Virginia Commonwealth	L	65-67	44%
Mar 08, 2025	94	@ Saint Louis	L	69-76	29%
Projected Record						14 - 14	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.6	1.2	1.2	0.7	0.3	0.0		4.2	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.0	1.8	1.3	0.4	0.1				4.8	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.1	2.4	1.5	0.3	0.0					5.4	3rd
4th										0.0	0.7	2.8	1.9	0.4	0.0						5.8	4th
5th									0.0	0.3	2.6	2.8	0.6	0.0	0.0						6.3	5th
6th								0.0	0.1	1.9	3.4	1.0	0.1								6.5	6th
7th								0.0	1.0	3.9	1.9	0.2	0.0								7.0	7th
8th							0.0	0.4	3.2	3.1	0.4	0.0									7.3	8th
9th						0.0	0.1	2.1	3.9	1.1	0.1										7.3	9th
10th						0.1	1.2	4.1	2.3	0.1											7.8	10th
11th					0.0	0.7	3.2	3.3	0.5	0.0											7.7	11th
12th				0.0	0.5	2.6	3.8	1.0	0.0												7.9	12th
13th			0.0	0.4	2.0	3.5	1.6	0.1													7.8	13th
14th		0.1	0.7	2.0	2.9	1.8	0.2	0.0													7.6	14th
15th	0.3	1.1	1.9	2.0	1.0	0.2	0.0														6.5	15th

Total	0.3	1.1	2.6	4.4	6.4	8.9	10.3	11.1	11.1	10.5	9.3	7.9	6.1	4.3	2.8	1.6	0.8	0.3	0.0		Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-2	92.0%	0.7		0.6	0.1	0.0
15-3	72.4%	1.2		0.7	0.4	0.0
14-4	44.0%	1.2		0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0
13-5	14.3%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.2%	4.2		2.2	1.3	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		94.9%	57.1%	37.8%	4.5		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.0		88.1%
17-1	0.3%		88.5%	42.5%	46.0%	6.4		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		80.1%
16-2	0.8%		71.1%	31.6%	39.5%	8.5		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.2		57.7%
15-3	1.6%		52.5%	24.9%	27.6%	9.9					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.1					0.8		36.8%
14-4	2.8%		29.2%	18.4%	10.8%	10.8						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.2	0.0				2.0		13.2%
13-5	4.3%		17.2%	13.5%	3.7%	11.3									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.0	0.0			3.6		4.3%
12-6	6.1%		9.7%	8.8%	0.9%	11.9									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		5.5		1.0%
11-7	7.9%		5.2%	5.0%	0.2%	12.1											0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			7.5		0.2%
10-8	9.3%		2.7%	2.6%	0.1%	12.2											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0			9.1		0.1%
9-9	10.5%		1.9%	1.8%	0.0%	12.7												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		10.3		0.0%
8-10	11.1%		0.7%	0.7%		13.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		11.0
7-11	11.1%		0.6%	0.6%		13.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	11.0
6-12	10.3%		0.2%	0.2%		14.4														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	10.3
5-13	8.9%		0.1%	0.1%		15.3															0.0		0.0	8.9
4-14	6.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	6.4
3-15	4.4%																							4.4
2-16	2.6%																							2.6
1-17	1.1%																							1.1
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		4.9%	3.4%	1.4%	10.7		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	1.5	1.3	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0	95.1		1.5%