Preseason Rankings
Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.6#326
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.6#240
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#338
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#294
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.3% 16.3% 5.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.5 15.8
.500 or above 20.9% 54.6% 20.6%
.500 or above in Conference 45.9% 69.7% 45.7%
Conference Champion 5.7% 18.2% 5.6%
Last Place in Conference 12.9% 3.5% 12.9%
First Four3.3% 7.2% 3.3%
First Round3.6% 12.2% 3.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Illinois (Away) - 0.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 31 - 8
Quad 410 - 1011 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 22   @ Illinois L 60-85 1%    
  Nov 10, 2024 20   @ Indiana L 58-83 1%    
  Nov 15, 2024 60   @ Northwestern L 54-76 2%    
  Nov 19, 2024 122   @ DePaul L 62-77 9%    
  Nov 24, 2024 242   @ Valparaiso L 65-74 22%    
  Nov 29, 2024 306   Northern Illinois W 70-69 53%    
  Dec 03, 2024 72   @ Butler L 60-80 4%    
  Dec 14, 2024 255   @ Eastern Kentucky L 67-75 25%    
  Dec 19, 2024 327   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 68-71 40%    
  Dec 21, 2024 267   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 67-75 26%    
  Jan 02, 2025 349   Lindenwood W 71-65 69%    
  Jan 04, 2025 294   Western Illinois W 65-64 50%    
  Jan 07, 2025 316   SIU Edwardsville W 68-66 56%    
  Jan 09, 2025 336   Tennessee Tech W 69-65 64%    
  Jan 16, 2025 323   @ Tennessee Martin L 73-76 39%    
  Jan 18, 2025 309   @ Tennessee St. L 67-72 34%    
  Jan 23, 2025 224   Morehead St. L 63-67 38%    
  Jan 25, 2025 328   Southern Indiana W 71-68 61%    
  Jan 30, 2025 294   @ Western Illinois L 62-68 32%    
  Feb 01, 2025 349   @ Lindenwood L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 04, 2025 316   @ SIU Edwardsville L 65-69 36%    
  Feb 08, 2025 336   @ Tennessee Tech L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 13, 2025 309   Tennessee St. W 70-69 54%    
  Feb 15, 2025 323   Tennessee Martin W 76-73 58%    
  Feb 20, 2025 328   @ Southern Indiana L 68-71 41%    
  Feb 22, 2025 224   @ Morehead St. L 60-70 22%    
  Feb 27, 2025 267   Arkansas Little Rock L 70-72 45%    
  Mar 01, 2025 327   Southeast Missouri St. W 71-68 59%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.4 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 5.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.4 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 7.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 2.6 2.9 1.5 0.3 0.0 8.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 3.4 3.6 1.3 0.2 0.0 9.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 3.7 3.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 9.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 3.9 3.7 1.1 0.1 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.8 3.9 1.1 0.1 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.8 3.8 1.2 0.1 10.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.5 3.3 1.2 0.1 10.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.2 3.3 2.5 0.8 0.1 9.9 10th
11th 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.2 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.0 8.4 11th
Total 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.0 4.8 6.3 8.0 9.1 10.1 10.3 9.8 9.2 7.9 6.4 4.9 3.5 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
18-2 96.2% 0.5    0.5 0.0 0.0
17-3 87.4% 1.1    0.9 0.2 0.0
16-4 66.6% 1.4    0.9 0.5 0.1
15-5 40.4% 1.4    0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
14-6 15.9% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 3.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.7% 5.7 3.4 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 54.5% 54.5% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 45.0% 45.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.6% 49.6% 49.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3
17-3 1.2% 37.7% 37.7% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.8
16-4 2.2% 31.2% 31.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.5
15-5 3.5% 24.6% 24.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.6
14-6 4.9% 16.7% 16.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 4.0
13-7 6.4% 13.1% 13.1% 16.0 0.0 0.8 5.6
12-8 7.9% 7.3% 7.3% 16.0 0.0 0.6 7.4
11-9 9.2% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.4 8.8
10-10 9.8% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 9.6
9-11 10.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 10.2
8-12 10.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.1
7-13 9.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.1
6-14 8.0% 8.0
5-15 6.3% 6.3
4-16 4.8% 4.8
3-17 3.0% 3.0
2-18 1.6% 1.6
1-19 0.7% 0.7
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 4.4 94.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%