IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Western Illinois
Ohio Valley
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.8	#294
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	62.9	#329
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.9	#316

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.9	#237

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.4%	17.6%	10.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.3	15.7

.500 or above	53.4%	75.8%	48.6%
.500 or above in Conference	65.8%	79.0%	63.0%
Conference Champion	12.4%	20.4%	10.7%
Last Place in Conference	5.5%	2.4%	6.1%

First Four	5.9%	6.6%	5.7%
First Round	8.5%	14.5%	7.2%
Second Round	0.2%	0.7%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: San Jose St. (Away) - 17.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 5
Quad 4	14 - 9	15 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	160	@ San Jose St.	L	60-70	18%
Nov 06, 2024	217	@ Pepperdine	L	63-70	26%
Nov 13, 2024	310	Green Bay	W	65-61	64%
Nov 16, 2024	341	Central Arkansas	W	72-64	75%
Nov 19, 2024	112	@ Northern Iowa	L	59-72	12%
Nov 26, 2024	223	@ South Alabama	L	64-71	28%
Nov 27, 2024	329	Incarnate Word	W	71-68	61%
Dec 14, 2024	274	@ South Dakota	L	68-72	35%
Dec 17, 2024	336	Tennessee Tech	W	68-61	73%
Dec 21, 2024	349	@ Lindenwood	W	67-64	59%
Jan 02, 2025	316	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	65-66	45%
Jan 04, 2025	326	@ Eastern Illinois	L	64-65	50%
Jan 09, 2025	323	Tennessee Martin	W	75-69	68%
Jan 11, 2025	309	Tennessee St.	W	69-65	63%
Jan 16, 2025	224	@ Morehead St.	L	59-66	28%
Jan 18, 2025	328	@ Southern Indiana	W	68-67	50%
Jan 23, 2025	267	Arkansas Little Rock	W	69-68	54%
Jan 25, 2025	327	Southeast Missouri St.	W	70-64	68%
Jan 30, 2025	326	Eastern Illinois	W	68-62	68%
Feb 01, 2025	316	SIU Edwardsville	W	68-63	65%
Feb 06, 2025	309	@ Tennessee St.	L	66-68	44%
Feb 08, 2025	323	@ Tennessee Martin	L	72-73	48%
Feb 13, 2025	328	Southern Indiana	W	71-65	69%
Feb 15, 2025	224	@ Morehead St.	L	59-66	29%
Feb 20, 2025	327	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	67-68	49%
Feb 22, 2025	267	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	66-71	35%
Feb 25, 2025	349	Lindenwood	W	70-61	76%
Feb 27, 2025	336	@ Tennessee Tech	W	65-64	54%
Projected Record						14 - 14	11 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.3	1.2	2.6	3.1	2.6	1.6	0.7	0.2		12.4	1st
2nd												0.0	0.7	2.8	4.2	3.4	1.7	0.4	0.1				13.3	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.1	3.5	4.6	2.6	0.7	0.1						12.6	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	1.0	3.8	4.5	1.9	0.3	0.0							11.6	4th
5th									0.1	1.0	3.8	4.1	1.4	0.2	0.0								10.6	5th
6th								0.1	0.8	3.4	3.7	1.3	0.1										9.4	6th
7th						0.0	0.1	0.7	3.1	3.3	1.1	0.1											8.5	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	0.7	2.5	2.9	1.1	0.1												7.3	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	0.8	2.0	2.3	0.8	0.1													6.2	9th
10th			0.0	0.2	0.9	1.6	1.4	0.5	0.1														4.8	10th
11th	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.8	1.0	0.7	0.3	0.0	0.0														3.4	11th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.0	2.0	3.2	4.5	6.1	7.8	8.9	9.8	10.4	10.3	9.8	8.3	6.7	4.9	3.0	1.7	0.7	0.2			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
19-1	100.0%	0.7		0.7	0.0
18-2	96.4%	1.6		1.5	0.1	0.0
17-3	87.2%	2.6		2.2	0.5	0.0
16-4	63.3%	3.1		2.0	0.9	0.1	0.0
15-5	38.9%	2.6		1.2	1.1	0.3	0.0
14-6	15.0%	1.2		0.4	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-7	3.2%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	12.4%	12.4		8.2	3.3	0.8	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.2%		56.8%	56.8%		13.2												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
19-1	0.7%		53.9%	53.9%		13.9												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.3
18-2	1.7%		51.3%	51.3%		14.6													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.8
17-3	3.0%		44.0%	44.0%		15.1													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.5	1.7
16-4	4.9%		36.3%	36.3%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.6	1.0	3.1
15-5	6.7%		29.9%	29.9%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.3	1.7	4.7
14-6	8.3%		22.9%	22.9%		15.9															0.0	0.1	1.8	6.4
13-7	9.8%		12.6%	12.6%		16.0															0.0	0.0	1.2	8.6
12-8	10.3%		8.3%	8.3%		16.0																0.0	0.8	9.5
11-9	10.4%		4.6%	4.6%		16.0																	0.5	9.9
10-10	9.8%		2.3%	2.3%		16.0																	0.2	9.6
9-11	8.9%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.2	8.7
8-12	7.8%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	7.8
7-13	6.1%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	6.1
6-14	4.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	4.5
5-15	3.2%																							3.2
4-16	2.0%																							2.0
3-17	1.0%																							1.0
2-18	0.5%																							0.5
1-19	0.2%																							0.2
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		11.4%	11.4%	0.0%	15.6												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	2.1	8.1	88.6		0.0%