IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Fordham
Atlantic 10
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.2	#159
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.2	#95
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.9	#203

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.1	#135

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.6%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.2%	1.2%	0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.3%	6.5%	2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.6%	2.5%	0.4%
Average Seed	10.5	9.1	10.8

.500 or above	43.0%	72.4%	40.7%
.500 or above in Conference	34.0%	53.9%	32.4%
Conference Champion	2.1%	5.6%	1.9%
Last Place in Conference	16.7%	6.5%	17.4%

First Four	0.2%	0.5%	0.1%
First Round	2.2%	6.3%	1.9%
Second Round	0.7%	2.6%	0.5%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.6%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.3%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: St. John's (Away) - 7.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	2 - 5	2 - 9
Quad 3	4 - 5	6 - 14
Quad 4	8 - 2	14 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	18	@ St. John's	L	66-82	7%
Nov 09, 2024	68	@ Seton Hall	L	64-75	16%
Nov 12, 2024	318	Binghamton	W	76-64	86%
Nov 15, 2024	331	@ Manhattan	W	75-68	74%
Nov 22, 2024	154	Drexel	W	69-66	60%
Nov 25, 2024	67	Penn St.	L	70-78	24%
Dec 01, 2024	305	New Hampshire	W	79-68	82%
Dec 04, 2024	347	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	85-70	90%
Dec 08, 2024	253	Maine	W	71-63	75%
Dec 14, 2024	169	Bryant	W	78-77	52%
Dec 21, 2024	259	Albany	W	83-75	75%
Dec 31, 2024	94	Saint Louis	L	75-78	41%
Jan 04, 2025	120	St. Bonaventure	W	70-69	52%
Jan 08, 2025	85	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	64-74	20%
Jan 11, 2025	135	@ Davidson	L	66-71	35%
Jan 15, 2025	116	Massachusetts	W	73-72	51%
Jan 22, 2025	100	@ Loyola Chicago	L	67-75	25%
Jan 26, 2025	128	Duquesne	W	69-68	53%
Jan 29, 2025	173	@ La Salle	L	70-72	42%
Feb 01, 2025	120	@ St. Bonaventure	L	67-72	32%
Feb 05, 2025	142	Rhode Island	W	75-73	57%
Feb 12, 2025	59	Dayton	L	65-71	31%
Feb 15, 2025	133	@ Richmond	L	67-72	34%
Feb 19, 2025	128	@ Duquesne	L	66-71	34%
Feb 22, 2025	135	Davidson	W	69-68	55%
Feb 26, 2025	96	@ George Mason	L	63-72	24%
Mar 01, 2025	90	Saint Joseph's	L	71-75	38%
Mar 05, 2025	150	George Washington	W	78-75	59%
Mar 08, 2025	142	@ Rhode Island	L	72-76	37%
Projected Record						14 - 15	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0		2.1	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.7	1.2	0.8	0.3	0.0	0.0			3.1	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.8	1.8	1.0	0.2	0.0					3.9	3rd
4th										0.0	0.6	2.0	1.4	0.3	0.0						4.4	4th
5th									0.0	0.3	2.2	2.1	0.4	0.0							5.1	5th
6th								0.0	0.1	1.7	3.0	0.9	0.1								5.7	6th
7th								0.0	1.0	3.5	1.6	0.1	0.0								6.2	7th
8th							0.0	0.4	3.2	3.0	0.3	0.0									6.9	8th
9th						0.0	0.2	2.2	3.9	1.0	0.0										7.3	9th
10th						0.1	1.4	4.2	2.1	0.2	0.0										7.9	10th
11th					0.0	0.8	3.6	3.4	0.5	0.0											8.4	11th
12th				0.0	0.5	3.2	4.2	1.1	0.0												9.1	12th
13th			0.0	0.6	2.8	4.4	1.7	0.1	0.0												9.6	13th
14th		0.1	0.8	2.8	3.6	2.1	0.3	0.0													9.8	14th
15th	0.6	1.9	3.2	3.1	1.6	0.3	0.0														10.6	15th

Total	0.6	2.0	4.1	6.5	8.5	10.7	11.5	11.4	10.8	9.7	7.9	6.1	4.4	2.8	1.7	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0		Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	98.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	90.5%	0.3		0.3	0.1	0.0
15-3	68.0%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0
14-4	37.7%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	12.3%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0						0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.1%	2.1		1.0	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		91.1%	19.6%	71.4%	5.3		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0		0.0								0.0		88.9%
17-1	0.1%		81.4%	32.0%	49.4%	5.8		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		72.7%
16-2	0.4%		58.7%	27.2%	31.4%	7.4				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.2		43.2%
15-3	0.9%		37.4%	18.5%	18.9%	9.3					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0					0.6		23.2%
14-4	1.7%		20.4%	13.3%	7.1%	10.2							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0				1.3		8.1%
13-5	2.8%		12.1%	10.3%	1.8%	11.0									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0				2.5		2.0%
12-6	4.4%		6.8%	6.5%	0.3%	11.5									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			4.1		0.3%
11-7	6.1%		4.8%	4.7%	0.0%	11.8												0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0			5.8		0.0%
10-8	7.9%		2.0%	2.0%		12.1										0.0		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		7.7
9-9	9.7%		0.9%	0.9%		12.5												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		9.6
8-10	10.8%		0.7%	0.7%		13.0													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		10.7
7-11	11.4%		0.2%	0.2%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	11.4
6-12	11.5%		0.1%	0.1%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	11.4
5-13	10.7%		0.1%	0.1%		14.5															0.0	0.0		10.7
4-14	8.5%		0.0%	0.0%		15.0																0.0		8.5
3-15	6.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	6.5
2-16	4.1%																							4.1
1-17	2.0%																							2.0
0-18	0.6%																							0.6

Total	100%		2.3%	1.8%	0.6%	10.5		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	97.7		0.6%