Preseason Rankings
Robert Morris
Horizon
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#295
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.6#205
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#268
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#313
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 6.4% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.8 15.2
.500 or above 30.6% 64.1% 29.2%
.500 or above in Conference 35.7% 60.2% 34.6%
Conference Champion 2.4% 6.3% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 8.4% 2.5% 8.6%
First Four0.7% 0.9% 0.7%
First Round2.3% 5.8% 2.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: West Virginia (Away) - 4.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 72 - 10
Quad 411 - 813 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 65   @ West Virginia L 64-82 4%    
  Nov 07, 2024 187   @ Delaware L 66-75 21%    
  Nov 14, 2024 356   Stonehill W 75-65 82%    
  Nov 15, 2024 349   Lindenwood W 75-66 78%    
  Nov 17, 2024 346   New Orleans W 80-72 76%    
  Nov 21, 2024 172   @ Cornell L 74-83 20%    
  Nov 27, 2024 297   Canisius W 71-68 61%    
  Nov 30, 2024 121   @ Ohio L 66-78 13%    
  Dec 04, 2024 198   Youngstown St. L 72-74 42%    
  Dec 08, 2024 180   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 70-79 22%    
  Dec 17, 2024 124   Towson L 62-68 30%    
  Dec 29, 2024 174   Northern Kentucky L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 02, 2025 342   @ Detroit Mercy W 72-70 55%    
  Jan 04, 2025 146   @ Oakland L 65-76 18%    
  Jan 08, 2025 213   Cleveland St. L 71-72 46%    
  Jan 12, 2025 196   Wright St. L 78-80 42%    
  Jan 17, 2025 310   @ Green Bay L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 19, 2025 200   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72-80 24%    
  Jan 22, 2025 198   @ Youngstown St. L 69-77 25%    
  Jan 25, 2025 146   Oakland L 68-73 35%    
  Jan 30, 2025 360   IU Indianapolis W 76-64 83%    
  Feb 02, 2025 196   @ Wright St. L 75-83 25%    
  Feb 05, 2025 342   Detroit Mercy W 75-67 73%    
  Feb 08, 2025 174   @ Northern Kentucky L 66-75 22%    
  Feb 12, 2025 213   @ Cleveland St. L 68-75 28%    
  Feb 15, 2025 180   Purdue Fort Wayne L 73-76 40%    
  Feb 21, 2025 310   Green Bay W 69-65 63%    
  Feb 23, 2025 200   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 75-77 43%    
  Feb 27, 2025 360   @ IU Indianapolis W 73-67 68%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 5.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.8 1.5 0.3 0.0 6.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.8 1.7 0.2 0.0 8.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.4 4.3 2.1 0.3 0.0 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.6 4.5 4.9 2.1 0.3 0.0 13.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.8 5.3 4.9 1.9 0.2 0.0 15.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.9 5.1 3.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 15.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.6 3.1 1.6 0.4 0.0 11.5 10th
11th 0.2 0.8 1.4 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 5.0 11th
Total 0.2 0.8 1.9 4.1 6.1 8.1 9.9 11.0 11.5 10.9 9.4 8.3 6.3 4.5 3.2 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 98.4% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 80.9% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
16-4 61.5% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.0
15-5 30.5% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 9.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 30.6% 30.6% 12.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 31.5% 31.5% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 24.0% 24.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.5% 23.5% 23.5% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
16-4 1.2% 18.9% 18.9% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
15-5 2.0% 18.6% 18.6% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.6
14-6 3.2% 11.9% 11.9% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.8
13-7 4.5% 8.7% 8.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 4.1
12-8 6.3% 5.6% 5.6% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 5.9
11-9 8.3% 3.5% 3.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 8.0
10-10 9.4% 2.3% 2.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 9.2
9-11 10.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.8
8-12 11.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.4
7-13 11.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.9
6-14 9.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.9
5-15 8.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.1
4-16 6.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.0
3-17 4.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.1
2-18 1.9% 1.9
1-19 0.8% 0.8
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 97.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%