IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Southern Indiana
Ohio Valley
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.9	#328
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.5	#89
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.4	#329

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.4	#325

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.0%	10.7%	4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.5	15.8

.500 or above	26.2%	54.6%	24.0%
.500 or above in Conference	44.7%	64.8%	43.1%
Conference Champion	5.3%	12.6%	4.7%
Last Place in Conference	13.4%	5.0%	14.1%

First Four	3.1%	4.5%	3.0%
First Round	3.4%	8.5%	3.0%
Second Round	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: DePaul (Away) - 7.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 6
Quad 4	11 - 11	11 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	122	@ DePaul	L	66-81	7%
Nov 07, 2024	268	Bucknell	L	67-69	44%
Nov 11, 2024	194	@ Marshall	L	70-81	15%
Nov 13, 2024	299	@ Bellarmine	L	67-73	30%
Nov 16, 2024	180	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	69-81	14%
Nov 22, 2024	274	South Dakota	L	75-76	45%
Nov 25, 2024	132	Indiana St.	L	72-81	22%
Dec 07, 2024	140	@ Southern Illinois	L	61-75	11%
Dec 19, 2024	309	Tennessee St.	W	73-72	53%
Dec 21, 2024	323	Tennessee Martin	W	80-78	59%
Dec 31, 2024	224	Morehead St.	L	65-69	38%
Jan 02, 2025	336	@ Tennessee Tech	L	69-71	44%
Jan 09, 2025	327	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	72-75	39%
Jan 11, 2025	267	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	71-79	26%
Jan 16, 2025	349	Lindenwood	W	74-68	68%
Jan 18, 2025	294	Western Illinois	L	67-68	50%
Jan 23, 2025	316	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	69-73	36%
Jan 25, 2025	326	@ Eastern Illinois	L	68-71	39%
Jan 28, 2025	224	@ Morehead St.	L	62-72	21%
Feb 01, 2025	336	Tennessee Tech	W	72-68	63%
Feb 06, 2025	267	Arkansas Little Rock	L	74-76	44%
Feb 08, 2025	327	Southeast Missouri St.	W	75-72	59%
Feb 13, 2025	294	@ Western Illinois	L	65-71	31%
Feb 15, 2025	349	@ Lindenwood	L	71-72	49%
Feb 20, 2025	326	Eastern Illinois	W	71-68	59%
Feb 22, 2025	316	SIU Edwardsville	W	72-70	55%
Feb 27, 2025	323	@ Tennessee Martin	L	77-81	39%
Mar 01, 2025	309	@ Tennessee St.	L	70-75	34%
Projected Record						11 - 17	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.7	1.2	1.4	1.0	0.4	0.2	0.0		5.3	1st
2nd												0.0	0.5	1.8	2.4	1.7	0.7	0.2	0.0				7.3	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.0	2.8	3.0	1.5	0.3	0.0						8.6	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	1.0	3.2	3.3	1.2	0.2	0.0							9.0	4th
5th									0.1	1.0	3.6	3.5	1.1	0.1	0.0								9.4	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	1.2	3.8	3.7	1.1	0.1										9.9	6th
7th							0.1	1.2	3.9	3.8	1.2	0.1											10.3	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	1.3	3.8	3.9	1.2	0.1												10.5	8th
9th			0.0	0.0	0.3	1.7	3.9	3.6	1.0	0.1													10.8	9th
10th		0.0	0.2	0.8	2.2	3.5	2.4	0.8	0.1														9.9	10th
11th	0.2	0.8	1.7	2.3	2.2	1.3	0.4	0.0															9.0	11th

Total	0.2	0.8	1.9	3.1	4.8	6.7	8.2	9.5	10.1	10.0	9.7	8.9	7.8	6.4	4.8	3.3	2.1	1.2	0.4	0.2	0.0			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2
18-2	97.5%	0.4		0.4	0.0
17-3	86.1%	1.0		0.8	0.2	0.0
16-4	66.0%	1.4		0.9	0.4	0.0
15-5	37.3%	1.2		0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0
14-6	15.4%	0.7		0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0
13-7	3.9%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	5.3%	5.3		3.2	1.5	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		74.0%	74.0%		13.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
19-1	0.2%		59.6%	59.6%		14.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1
18-2	0.4%		44.5%	44.5%		14.7													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.2
17-3	1.2%		36.6%	36.6%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.7
16-4	2.1%		30.7%	30.7%		15.6															0.0	0.2	0.4	1.5
15-5	3.3%		23.9%	23.9%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.7	2.5
14-6	4.8%		18.6%	18.6%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.8	3.9
13-7	6.4%		12.1%	12.1%		16.0																0.0	0.7	5.6
12-8	7.8%		6.2%	6.2%		16.0																0.0	0.5	7.3
11-9	8.9%		3.2%	3.2%		16.0																	0.3	8.6
10-10	9.7%		2.2%	2.2%		16.0																	0.2	9.5
9-11	10.0%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	9.8
8-12	10.1%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	10.1
7-13	9.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	9.5
6-14	8.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	8.2
5-15	6.7%																							6.7
4-16	4.8%																							4.8
3-17	3.1%																							3.1
2-18	1.9%																							1.9
1-19	0.8%																							0.8
0-20	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		5.0%	5.0%	0.0%	15.7													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	4.1	95.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%