Pre-tourney Rankings
Ball St.
Mid-American
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#134
Expected Predictive Rating+0.8#159
Pace74.3#61
Improvement-4.9#335

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#219
First Shot-2.1#249
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#131
Layup/Dunks+1.3#134
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#84
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#335
Freethrows+0.7#126
Improvement-9.0#353

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#74
First Shot+4.2#62
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#208
Layups/Dunks-0.8#204
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#147
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#49
Freethrows+1.4#73
Improvement+4.1#24
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 3.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 1b1.0 - 0.01.0 - 3.0
Quad 22.0 - 3.03.0 - 6.0
Quad 35.0 - 10.08.0 - 16.0
Quad 47.0 - 1.015.0 - 17.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 202   Indiana St. W 86-69 77%     1 - 0 +11.7 +13.8 -1.6
  Nov 10, 2018 10   @ Purdue L 75-84 6%     1 - 1 +11.5 +8.0 +3.7
  Nov 15, 2018 12   Virginia Tech L 64-73 10%     1 - 2 +7.4 +5.7 +0.6
  Nov 16, 2018 55   Alabama L 61-79 27%     1 - 3 -9.1 -6.6 -2.3
  Nov 18, 2018 201   Appalachian St. W 94-86 OT 68%     2 - 3 +5.5 -2.2 +6.0
  Nov 24, 2018 223   Evansville W 82-72 79%     3 - 3 +3.7 +9.8 -5.8
  Dec 01, 2018 207   @ IUPUI W 85-75 59%     4 - 3 +10.1 +1.8 +7.2
  Dec 05, 2018 125   @ Loyola Chicago W 75-69 37%     5 - 3 +11.9 +5.2 +6.6
  Dec 09, 2018 223   @ Evansville L 77-89 62%     5 - 4 -12.7 -1.5 -10.2
  Dec 17, 2018 200   @ Valparaiso W 77-61 58%     6 - 4 +16.3 +7.2 +9.1
  Dec 20, 2018 318   Howard W 98-71 91%     7 - 4 +14.7 +20.1 -4.4
  Dec 29, 2018 353   Delaware St. W 116-57 98%     8 - 4 +34.8 +20.8 +7.0
  Jan 04, 2019 68   @ Toledo W 79-64 23%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +25.3 +6.7 +17.7
  Jan 08, 2019 151   Eastern Michigan L 82-84 2OT 66%     9 - 5 1 - 1 -3.8 +4.9 -8.6
  Jan 12, 2019 179   Ohio L 52-70 72%     9 - 6 1 - 2 -21.8 -20.5 -1.1
  Jan 15, 2019 112   @ Bowling Green L 78-79 33%     9 - 7 1 - 3 +5.9 +0.4 +5.6
  Jan 19, 2019 124   @ Central Michigan W 83-72 36%     10 - 7 2 - 3 +17.1 +7.7 +9.1
  Jan 22, 2019 152   Miami (OH) L 65-71 66%     10 - 8 2 - 4 -7.8 -5.3 -2.7
  Jan 26, 2019 179   @ Ohio L 74-78 53%     10 - 9 2 - 5 -2.3 -0.2 -1.8
  Jan 29, 2019 22   @ Buffalo L 59-83 9%     10 - 10 2 - 6 -6.8 -12.2 +8.0
  Feb 02, 2019 141   Kent St. L 80-83 OT 63%     10 - 11 2 - 7 -4.0 -4.5 +0.8
  Feb 05, 2019 135   @ Northern Illinois W 72-71 39%     11 - 11 3 - 7 +6.1 -0.3 +6.4
  Feb 09, 2019 245   Western Michigan W 79-59 83%     12 - 11 4 - 7 +12.1 +1.2 +10.4
  Feb 16, 2019 118   Akron W 57-56 56%     13 - 11 5 - 7 +1.9 -12.1 +14.0
  Feb 19, 2019 152   @ Miami (OH) L 66-69 45%     13 - 12 5 - 8 +0.7 -7.7 +8.6
  Feb 23, 2019 124   Central Michigan L 57-64 57%     13 - 13 5 - 9 -6.5 -23.3 +17.4
  Feb 26, 2019 68   Toledo L 72-80 41%     13 - 14 5 - 10 -3.2 -3.1 +0.4
  Mar 02, 2019 245   @ Western Michigan W 60-58 68%     14 - 14 6 - 10 -0.3 -13.7 +13.3
  Mar 05, 2019 151   @ Eastern Michigan L 61-68 45%     14 - 15 6 - 11 -3.3 -1.6 -2.5
  Mar 08, 2019 135   Northern Illinois L 57-64 61%     14 - 16 6 - 12 -7.4 -16.0 +8.4
  Mar 11, 2019 151   @ Eastern Michigan W 61-43 45%     15 - 16 +21.7 +1.3 +23.5
  Mar 14, 2019 112   Bowling Green L 86-99 43%     15 - 17 -8.8 +1.8 -8.8
Projected Record 15.0 - 17.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%