Pre-tourney Rankings
William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#209
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#207
Pace70.8#124
Improvement+1.2#130

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#186
First Shot+1.9#128
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#324
Layup/Dunks+5.6#17
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#342
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#148
Freethrows-0.7#235
Improvement-2.6#293

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#243
First Shot-1.6#220
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#259
Layups/Dunks-2.6#288
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#186
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#155
Freethrows+0.5#146
Improvement+3.8#31
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 20.0 - 5.00.0 - 6.0
Quad 33.0 - 8.03.0 - 14.0
Quad 410.0 - 3.013.0 - 17.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 236   High Point W 79-69 67%     1 - 0 +2.9 +3.2 -0.5
  Nov 10, 2018 160   @ Duquesne L 70-84 30%     1 - 1 -11.3 -0.6 -11.1
  Nov 15, 2018 208   @ Illinois-Chicago L 95-100 OT 39%     1 - 2 -4.9 +12.5 -16.8
  Nov 17, 2018 77   @ Notre Dame L 64-73 14%     1 - 3 +0.0 -0.5 +0.0
  Nov 20, 2018 139   Radford L 72-81 43%     1 - 4 -9.7 +1.4 -11.7
  Nov 24, 2018 174   Saint Joseph's W 87-85 53%     2 - 4 -1.5 +6.2 -7.8
  Nov 28, 2018 171   @ Marshall L 64-84 32%     2 - 5 -17.9 -13.4 -3.6
  Dec 01, 2018 155   George Mason L 84-87 48%     2 - 6 -5.2 +11.7 -16.9
  Dec 05, 2018 122   @ Old Dominion L 53-71 20%     2 - 7 -11.8 -10.3 -2.5
  Dec 08, 2018 206   @ Hampton W 76-71 39%     3 - 7 +5.2 -1.8 +6.8
  Dec 22, 2018 2   @ Virginia L 40-72 1%     3 - 8 -6.2 -12.2 -1.1
  Dec 28, 2018 267   James Madison W 79-74 73%     4 - 8 1 - 0 -4.0 -0.9 -3.2
  Dec 30, 2018 276   Towson W 71-61 74%     5 - 8 2 - 0 +0.6 +2.6 -0.7
  Jan 03, 2019 254   @ Delaware L 56-58 50%     5 - 9 2 - 1 -4.7 -15.5 +10.6
  Jan 05, 2019 247   @ Drexel W 84-66 49%     6 - 9 3 - 1 +15.6 +3.9 +11.1
  Jan 10, 2019 105   Hofstra L 90-93 3OT 33%     6 - 10 3 - 2 -1.2 -9.6 +9.2
  Jan 12, 2019 83   Northeastern L 70-90 29%     6 - 11 3 - 3 -16.8 -2.5 -14.6
  Jan 19, 2019 298   Elon L 71-76 78%     6 - 12 3 - 4 -15.9 -8.4 -7.4
  Jan 24, 2019 263   @ UNC Wilmington L 88-93 52%     6 - 13 3 - 5 -8.2 +6.3 -14.3
  Jan 26, 2019 126   @ College of Charleston L 59-74 21%     6 - 14 3 - 6 -9.1 -7.5 -2.9
  Jan 31, 2019 247   Drexel W 75-69 70%     7 - 14 4 - 6 -2.0 -1.5 -0.2
  Feb 02, 2019 254   Delaware W 84-63 70%     8 - 14 5 - 6 +12.8 +1.9 +10.3
  Feb 07, 2019 83   @ Northeastern L 60-72 14%     8 - 15 5 - 7 -3.3 -9.9 +6.4
  Feb 09, 2019 105   @ Hofstra L 87-93 17%     8 - 16 5 - 8 +1.4 +6.0 -4.2
  Feb 16, 2019 298   @ Elon W 84-74 60%     9 - 16 6 - 8 +4.7 +2.0 +2.0
  Feb 21, 2019 126   College of Charleston W 86-84 OT 39%     10 - 16 7 - 8 +2.3 +2.8 -0.7
  Feb 23, 2019 263   UNC Wilmington W 71-63 72%     11 - 16 8 - 8 -0.8 -12.1 +11.0
  Feb 28, 2019 276   @ Towson W 67-65 55%     12 - 16 9 - 8 -1.9 -0.8 -0.8
  Mar 02, 2019 267   @ James Madison W 70-66 53%     13 - 16 10 - 8 +0.5 -4.6 +5.2
  Mar 10, 2019 254   Delaware L 79-85 61%     13 - 17 -11.5 +9.3 -21.4
Projected Record 13.0 - 17.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%