IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Coppin St.
Mid-Eastern
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-14.5	#345
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.9	#231
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-9.6	#350

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.9	#324

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.3%	10.8%	1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.5	15.9

.500 or above	3.4%	42.9%	3.3%
.500 or above in Conference	46.6%	98.0%	46.4%
Conference Champion	3.7%	21.6%	3.7%
Last Place in Conference	10.1%	0.4%	10.1%

First Four	1.2%	5.5%	1.2%
First Round	0.7%	5.5%	0.7%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin (Away) - 0.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 3.2	0.0 - 3.2
Quad 1b	0.0 - 1.8	0.0 - 5.0
Quad 2	0.0 - 2.4	0.1 - 7.4
Quad 3	0.3 - 4.1	0.3 - 11.5
Quad 4	8.2 - 11.0	8.5 - 22.5

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2018	22	@ Wisconsin	L	50-77	0.3%
Nov 10, 2018	107	@ Dayton	L	59-77	2%
Nov 14, 2018	260	@ Navy	L	59-68	15%
Nov 16, 2018	2	@ Virginia	L	42-75	0.1%
Nov 19, 2018	110	@ Rider	L	66-84	3%
Nov 21, 2018	97	@ Wofford	L	59-78	2%
Nov 23, 2018	232	Charleston Southern	L	61-71	18%
Nov 29, 2018	176	@ James Madison	L	61-75	7%
Dec 03, 2018	214	Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	62-73	24%
Dec 05, 2018	130	@ Richmond	L	61-78	4%
Dec 09, 2018	259	Tennessee St.	L	58-67	32%
Dec 12, 2018	86	@ UNC Greensboro	L	54-74	2%
Dec 21, 2018	210	@ Louisiana Monroe	L	59-71	11%
Dec 23, 2018	37	@ Houston	L	56-81	1%
Dec 29, 2018	49	@ Notre Dame	L	55-79	1%
Jan 05, 2019	353	Savannah St.	W	82-79	71%
Jan 07, 2019	351	@ Delaware St.	W	66-64	48%
Jan 12, 2019	277	Norfolk St.	L	65-73	33%
Jan 14, 2019	348	South Carolina St.	W	71-70	64%
Jan 19, 2019	302	@ NC Central	L	61-68	21%
Jan 21, 2019	347	@ N.C. A&T	W	70-69	41%
Jan 26, 2019	352	Florida A&M	W	68-65	71%
Jan 28, 2019	299	Bethune-Cookman	L	73-80	38%
Feb 02, 2019	339	Morgan St.	L	68-70	52%
Feb 09, 2019	353	@ Savannah St.	W	82-79	51%
Feb 11, 2019	348	@ South Carolina St.	W	71-70	44%
Feb 16, 2019	341	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	L	65-66	37%
Feb 23, 2019	305	Howard	L	69-75	39%
Feb 25, 2019	351	Delaware St.	W	66-64	67%
Mar 02, 2019	277	@ Norfolk St.	L	65-73	18%
Mar 07, 2019	339	@ Morgan St.	L	68-70	34%
Projected Record						8.5 - 22.5	7.3 - 8.7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.1	0.3	0.8	1.3	0.9	0.3	0.1		3.7	1st
2nd										0.1	0.6	1.6	2.1	1.0	0.2	0.0			5.5	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.6	3.0	3.1	1.0	0.1					7.8	3rd
4th								0.0	0.6	3.4	3.9	1.1	0.1						9.1	4th
5th								0.4	3.3	4.5	1.4	0.1	0.0						9.6	5th
6th							0.3	2.8	5.3	2.4	0.1	0.0							10.9	6th
7th						0.0	2.1	5.4	2.8	0.3									10.6	7th
8th					0.1	1.4	4.6	3.4	0.3	0.0									9.8	8th
9th				0.0	0.9	4.4	3.9	0.6	0.0										9.8	9th
10th			0.1	0.8	4.0	3.6	1.0	0.0											9.4	10th
11th		0.1	1.0	3.1	3.2	0.9	0.0												8.3	11th
12th	0.2	1.2	1.9	1.6	0.5	0.0													5.4	12th

Total	0.2	1.3	2.9	5.5	8.6	10.4	11.9	12.5	12.3	11.3	9.1	6.2	4.0	2.3	1.1	0.3	0.1			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-1	95.3%	0.3		0.2	0.0
14-2	85.3%	0.9		0.6	0.3	0.0
13-3	54.9%	1.3		0.6	0.5	0.2	0.0
12-4	20.3%	0.8		0.2	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.0
11-5	4.8%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
10-6	0.8%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	3.7%	3.7		1.8	1.2	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.1%		67.2%	67.2%		15.7																0.0	0.0	0.0
15-1	0.3%		22.9%	22.9%		15.4															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
14-2	1.1%		27.9%	27.9%		16.0																0.0	0.3	0.8
13-3	2.3%		13.6%	13.6%		16.0																0.0	0.3	2.0
12-4	4.0%		4.8%	4.8%		16.0																0.0	0.2	3.8
11-5	6.2%		3.2%	3.2%		16.0																	0.2	6.0
10-6	9.1%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.1	8.9
9-7	11.3%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	11.2
8-8	12.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.3
7-9	12.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.5
6-10	11.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.9
5-11	10.4%																							10.4
4-12	8.6%																							8.6
3-13	5.5%																							5.5
2-14	2.9%																							2.9
1-15	1.3%																							1.3
0-16	0.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	0.2

Total	100%		1.3%	1.3%	0.0%	15.9															0.0	0.1	1.3	98.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%	0.3%	16.0																0.3