Preseason Rankings
Illinois
Big Ten
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.7#76
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.2#74
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.9#59
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#117
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.7% 2.8% 0.5%
Top 4 Seed 2.5% 2.8% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 6.1% 2.8% 0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.0% 24.1% 8.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 19.8% 21.8% 7.4%
Average Seed 8.0 7.9 8.4
.500 or above 36.9% 40.4% 15.3%
.500 or above in Conference 29.2% 31.1% 16.9%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.1% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 15.4% 14.0% 24.7%
First Four2.5% 2.7% 1.0%
First Round20.8% 22.8% 8.4%
Second Round10.4% 11.3% 4.5%
Sweet Sixteen3.4% 3.8% 0.9%
Elite Eight1.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Evansville (Home) - 86.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1.2 - 6.41.2 - 6.4
Quad 1b1.9 - 4.33.1 - 10.7
Quad 23.8 - 4.36.9 - 15.0
Quad 33.9 - 1.710.8 - 16.7
Quad 43.3 - 0.314.1 - 16.9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 196   Evansville W 73-64 86%    
  Nov 13, 2018 69   Georgetown L 79-80 57%    
  Nov 19, 2018 5   Gonzaga L 73-84 15%    
  Nov 20, 2018 30   Iowa St. L 76-81 34%    
  Nov 21, 2018 44   Xavier L 78-81 38%    
  Nov 25, 2018 344   Mississippi Valley W 87-66 98%    
  Nov 27, 2018 49   @ Notre Dame L 72-75 30%    
  Dec 02, 2018 35   @ Nebraska L 73-77 26%    
  Dec 05, 2018 40   Ohio St. L 72-76 47%    
  Dec 08, 2018 139   UNLV W 84-79 75%    
  Dec 15, 2018 153   East Tennessee St. W 75-69 78%    
  Dec 22, 2018 51   Missouri L 71-74 39%    
  Dec 29, 2018 266   Florida Atlantic W 81-68 90%    
  Jan 03, 2019 25   @ Indiana L 72-78 23%    
  Jan 06, 2019 62   @ Northwestern L 71-73 34%    
  Jan 10, 2019 19   Michigan L 68-75 37%    
  Jan 16, 2019 68   Minnesota L 78-79 57%    
  Jan 20, 2019 34   @ Iowa L 80-84 27%    
  Jan 23, 2019 22   Wisconsin L 67-73 39%    
  Jan 26, 2019 32   Maryland L 72-77 34%    
  Jan 30, 2019 68   @ Minnesota L 78-79 37%    
  Feb 02, 2019 35   Nebraska L 73-77 46%    
  Feb 05, 2019 10   Michigan St. L 71-80 32%    
  Feb 09, 2019 140   Rutgers W 73-68 73%    
  Feb 14, 2019 40   @ Ohio St. L 72-76 28%    
  Feb 18, 2019 22   @ Wisconsin L 67-73 22%    
  Feb 23, 2019 57   Penn St. L 73-75 52%    
  Feb 27, 2019 27   @ Purdue L 73-78 24%    
  Mar 03, 2019 62   Northwestern L 71-73 54%    
  Mar 07, 2019 25   Indiana L 72-78 40%    
  Mar 10, 2019 57   @ Penn St. L 73-75 34%    
Projected Record 14.1 - 16.9 7.6 - 12.4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.1 3.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 2.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 4.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.4 1.7 0.2 0.0 5.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.2 0.5 0.0 5.5 6th
7th 0.3 1.9 3.1 1.0 0.0 6.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.5 1.9 0.1 0.0 7.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 4.0 2.7 0.4 0.0 8.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.2 3.7 0.8 0.0 10.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.5 3.8 1.2 0.1 9.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.0 4.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 12.0 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 2.7 4.3 3.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 12.7 13th
14th 0.4 1.6 2.7 2.9 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 10.0 14th
Total 0.4 1.6 3.4 5.8 8.0 9.4 10.3 11.4 10.9 9.5 8.4 6.8 5.5 3.5 2.2 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 93.3% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 86.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 63.6% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-5 35.0% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 12.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 100.0% 65.9% 34.1% 1.6 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.2% 100.0% 21.6% 78.4% 1.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.4% 100.0% 32.9% 67.1% 2.5 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.8% 100.0% 15.3% 84.7% 3.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.4% 100.0% 9.0% 91.0% 4.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 2.2% 97.4% 10.1% 87.2% 6.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 97.1%
13-7 3.5% 96.7% 9.3% 87.4% 7.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 96.3%
12-8 5.5% 80.8% 5.9% 74.9% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 79.6%
11-9 6.8% 61.2% 4.2% 57.0% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.6 59.5%
10-10 8.4% 36.5% 4.0% 32.5% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.3 33.9%
9-11 9.5% 12.9% 2.0% 11.0% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.3 11.2%
8-12 10.9% 3.7% 2.0% 1.7% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.5 1.7%
7-13 11.4% 1.2% 1.0% 0.3% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.2 0.3%
6-14 10.3% 1.2% 1.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.2
5-15 9.4% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.4
4-16 8.0% 0.4% 0.4% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0
3-17 5.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.8
2-18 3.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.4
1-19 1.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.6
0-20 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 22.0% 2.7% 19.3% 8.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.6 1.9 2.8 3.1 3.4 2.9 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 78.0 19.8%