Preseason Rankings
LSU
Southeastern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.7#46
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.0#181
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+7.6#21
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#107
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.7% 1.8% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 4.5% 14.6% 3.9%
Top 4 Seed 14.0% 14.6% 3.9%
Top 6 Seed 27.4% 14.6% 3.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 52.4% 54.0% 23.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 50.3% 51.9% 22.4%
Average Seed 6.5 6.4 7.2
.500 or above 74.8% 76.6% 41.9%
.500 or above in Conference 56.0% 57.3% 33.6%
Conference Champion 4.5% 4.7% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.3% 4.9% 13.0%
First Four3.3% 3.4% 2.2%
First Round50.5% 52.1% 22.0%
Second Round30.4% 31.4% 10.6%
Sweet Sixteen13.3% 13.9% 2.8%
Elite Eight5.8% 6.0% 0.7%
Final Four2.2% 2.3% 0.1%
Championship Game0.8% 0.9% 0.0%
National Champion0.3% 0.3% 0.0%

Next Game: SE Louisiana (Home) - 94.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1.6 - 5.11.6 - 5.1
Quad 1b2.1 - 2.73.7 - 7.8
Quad 24.7 - 3.08.4 - 10.8
Quad 35.5 - 1.413.9 - 12.2
Quad 44.6 - 0.218.6 - 12.4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 236   SE Louisiana W 79-65 95%    
  Nov 09, 2018 86   UNC Greensboro W 72-68 75%    
  Nov 13, 2018 101   Memphis W 77-71 78%    
  Nov 16, 2018 141   Louisiana Tech W 78-70 85%    
  Nov 22, 2018 112   College of Charleston W 73-67 71%    
  Nov 23, 2018 15   Florida St. L 78-82 36%    
  Nov 25, 2018 74   Oklahoma St. W 77-74 60%    
  Dec 01, 2018 296   Grambling St. W 85-68 96%    
  Dec 09, 2018 330   Incarnate Word W 86-65 98%    
  Dec 12, 2018 37   @ Houston L 74-75 37%    
  Dec 15, 2018 59   St. Mary's W 72-71 53%    
  Dec 21, 2018 123   Furman W 79-72 79%    
  Dec 28, 2018 210   Louisiana Monroe W 78-65 91%    
  Jan 08, 2019 39   Alabama L 73-74 58%    
  Jan 12, 2019 94   @ Arkansas W 80-75 55%    
  Jan 15, 2019 118   @ Mississippi W 81-75 62%    
  Jan 19, 2019 61   South Carolina W 73-72 63%    
  Jan 23, 2019 80   Georgia W 71-67 72%    
  Jan 26, 2019 51   @ Missouri W 72-71 41%    
  Jan 30, 2019 64   @ Texas A&M W 76-74 45%    
  Feb 02, 2019 94   Arkansas W 80-75 75%    
  Feb 06, 2019 21   @ Mississippi St. L 72-76 29%    
  Feb 09, 2019 13   Auburn L 78-83 44%    
  Feb 12, 2019 3   @ Kentucky L 72-81 18%    
  Feb 16, 2019 80   @ Georgia W 71-67 52%    
  Feb 20, 2019 16   Florida L 71-75 47%    
  Feb 23, 2019 9   Tennessee L 69-75 39%    
  Feb 26, 2019 64   Texas A&M W 76-74 64%    
  Mar 02, 2019 39   @ Alabama L 73-74 37%    
  Mar 06, 2019 16   @ Florida L 71-75 28%    
  Mar 09, 2019 83   Vanderbilt W 76-72 71%    
Projected Record 18.6 - 12.4 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.3 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 4.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 2.2 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 3.0 2.6 0.9 0.1 7.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 3.7 3.5 0.8 0.0 9.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.5 4.1 0.8 0.0 9.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.2 4.2 1.4 0.1 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 4.4 1.8 0.1 8.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 4.6 2.5 0.4 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 3.4 3.2 0.4 0.0 8.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.8 3.6 0.6 0.0 7.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 2.2 3.0 1.2 0.1 6.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.5 1.3 0.2 5.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.8 1.1 0.2 4.7 13th
14th 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.4 0.1 3.0 14th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.4 2.5 3.9 6.4 8.2 10.0 11.1 11.3 11.2 10.6 8.4 6.2 4.5 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.8% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 79.9% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
15-3 57.8% 1.3    0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 29.5% 1.3    0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0
13-5 8.6% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.5% 4.5 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 39.5% 60.5% 1.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.4% 100.0% 24.3% 75.7% 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.0% 100.0% 21.5% 78.5% 1.9 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 2.3% 100.0% 13.8% 86.2% 2.4 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 4.5% 100.0% 12.1% 87.9% 3.4 0.3 0.9 1.4 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 6.2% 99.3% 9.6% 89.7% 4.3 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
12-6 8.4% 96.7% 5.2% 91.5% 5.6 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.9 1.8 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 96.5%
11-7 10.6% 92.3% 6.7% 85.6% 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.5 1.7 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.8 91.8%
10-8 11.2% 80.5% 2.8% 77.7% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 1.7 1.8 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.2 79.9%
9-9 11.3% 56.8% 2.9% 53.9% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.9 55.5%
8-10 11.1% 29.9% 2.1% 27.8% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.8 28.4%
7-11 10.0% 8.3% 1.4% 6.9% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.2 7.0%
6-12 8.2% 3.0% 1.7% 1.3% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 1.3%
5-13 6.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.3 0.6%
4-14 3.9% 1.7% 1.7% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9
3-15 2.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 2.5
2-16 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 1.4
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 52.4% 4.2% 48.2% 6.5 1.7 2.8 4.3 5.2 6.4 7.0 5.7 5.8 4.6 4.2 3.4 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 47.6 50.3%