Preseason Rankings
Cleveland St.
Horizon
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.9#311
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.8#96
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#301
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#303
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 3.1% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 14.7 15.4
.500 or above 4.4% 20.2% 3.9%
.500 or above in Conference 12.3% 29.1% 11.7%
Conference Champion 0.6% 2.2% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 43.9% 23.2% 44.7%
First Four0.2% 0.8% 0.2%
First Round0.6% 2.9% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Minnesota (Away) - 3.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 50 - 7
Quad 32 - 92 - 16
Quad 45 - 78 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 70   @ Minnesota L 64-83 4%    
  Nov 12, 2019 125   @ Missouri St. L 63-78 9%    
  Nov 15, 2019 78   @ South Carolina L 66-85 5%    
  Nov 19, 2019 185   Florida International L 84-88 36%    
  Nov 22, 2019 268   UNC Wilmington L 77-80 39%    
  Nov 23, 2019 274   Eastern Kentucky L 84-87 41%    
  Nov 30, 2019 273   Robert Morris W 70-69 52%    
  Dec 04, 2019 112   Toledo L 67-77 20%    
  Dec 07, 2019 129   @ Kent St. L 67-81 12%    
  Dec 15, 2019 108   @ Bowling Green L 69-85 9%    
  Dec 18, 2019 97   DePaul L 72-82 19%    
  Dec 21, 2019 71   @ East Tennessee St. L 64-83 5%    
  Dec 28, 2019 131   @ Illinois-Chicago L 69-83 12%    
  Dec 30, 2019 253   @ IUPUI L 71-78 28%    
  Jan 04, 2020 225   Youngstown St. L 75-77 41%    
  Jan 09, 2020 219   Detroit Mercy L 77-80 41%    
  Jan 11, 2020 201   Oakland L 74-77 38%    
  Jan 16, 2020 103   @ Wright St. L 62-78 9%    
  Jan 18, 2020 133   @ Northern Kentucky L 67-81 12%    
  Jan 23, 2020 167   Green Bay L 79-85 32%    
  Jan 25, 2020 250   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 70-71 47%    
  Jan 30, 2020 253   IUPUI L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 01, 2020 131   Illinois-Chicago L 72-80 26%    
  Feb 08, 2020 225   @ Youngstown St. L 72-80 25%    
  Feb 13, 2020 201   @ Oakland L 71-80 22%    
  Feb 15, 2020 219   @ Detroit Mercy L 74-83 24%    
  Feb 20, 2020 133   Northern Kentucky L 70-78 26%    
  Feb 22, 2020 103   Wright St. L 65-75 20%    
  Feb 27, 2020 250   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 67-74 28%    
  Feb 29, 2020 167   @ Green Bay L 76-88 17%    
Projected Record 7 - 23 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.6 3.2 1.3 0.1 0.0 7.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.5 4.2 1.6 0.1 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.2 5.0 1.8 0.2 14.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 4.6 7.3 5.7 1.7 0.1 0.0 21.0 9th
10th 3.0 7.4 9.3 8.2 4.1 1.2 0.1 0.0 33.3 10th
Total 3.0 7.4 10.7 13.1 13.7 13.2 10.7 9.0 6.8 4.9 3.2 2.1 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 99.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 88.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 54.4% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 25.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 9.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 51.7% 3.4% 48.3% 11.0 0.0 0.0 50.0%
16-2 0.1% 33.3% 32.6% 0.7% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1%
15-3 0.1% 19.6% 19.6% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.3% 10.1% 10.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.6% 8.5% 8.5% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
12-6 1.1% 9.2% 9.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0
11-7 2.1% 5.1% 5.1% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.0
10-8 3.2% 5.1% 5.1% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.1
9-9 4.9% 1.4% 1.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.8
8-10 6.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.0 6.8
7-11 9.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.0
6-12 10.7% 0.3% 0.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 10.7
5-13 13.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.2
4-14 13.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.7
3-15 13.1% 13.1
2-16 10.7% 10.7
1-17 7.4% 7.4
0-18 3.0% 3.0
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%