Preseason Rankings
Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-16.1#350
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace60.7#342
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-27.0#353
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+10.9#1
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 8.3% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.1% 10.0% 2.1%
.500 or above in Conference 28.7% 47.2% 28.6%
Conference Champion 2.8% 8.8% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 27.2% 22.2% 27.2%
First Four2.6% 8.1% 2.6%
First Round1.0% 1.2% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn St. (Away) - 0.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 30 - 50 - 11
Quad 47 - 137 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 43   @ Penn St. L 34-64 0.2%   
  Nov 10, 2019 87   @ Liberty L 33-58 1%    
  Nov 12, 2019 260   @ Longwood L 43-57 11%    
  Nov 16, 2019 264   @ Morehead St. L 44-57 11%    
  Nov 19, 2019 113   @ Stanford L 38-61 2%    
  Nov 21, 2019 38   @ Oklahoma L 35-65 0.3%   
  Nov 26, 2019 107   Wofford L 41-58 7%    
  Nov 29, 2019 240   @ Delaware L 40-55 10%    
  Dec 01, 2019 233   @ Fordham L 38-53 9%    
  Dec 03, 2019 15   @ Baylor L 32-66 0.2%   
  Dec 17, 2019 203   @ East Carolina L 42-58 8%    
  Dec 19, 2019 276   @ Charlotte L 39-52 14%    
  Dec 22, 2019 139   @ Old Dominion L 33-53 4%    
  Dec 29, 2019 85   @ Virginia Tech L 34-59 2%    
  Jan 04, 2020 337   Howard L 53-54 47%    
  Jan 11, 2020 325   N.C. A&T L 46-49 41%    
  Jan 13, 2020 322   NC Central L 45-48 40%    
  Jan 18, 2020 318   @ Norfolk St. L 45-54 22%    
  Jan 20, 2020 323   @ South Carolina St. L 47-56 23%    
  Jan 27, 2020 329   Morgan St. L 52-54 42%    
  Feb 03, 2020 349   @ Delaware St. L 32-36 37%    
  Feb 08, 2020 329   @ Morgan St. L 49-57 24%    
  Feb 10, 2020 348   @ Coppin St. L 48-53 35%    
  Feb 15, 2020 326   Bethune-Cookman L 50-53 41%    
  Feb 17, 2020 341   Florida A&M W 45-44 52%    
  Feb 22, 2020 322   @ NC Central L 42-51 23%    
  Feb 24, 2020 325   @ N.C. A&T L 43-52 24%    
  Feb 29, 2020 349   Delaware St. W 35-33 57%    
  Mar 02, 2020 337   @ Howard L 50-57 28%    
  Mar 05, 2020 348   Coppin St. W 51-50 54%    
Projected Record 7 - 23 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 2.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 3.0 1.6 0.2 0.0 6.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.5 2.4 0.3 0.0 7.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.7 3.4 0.5 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.6 5.0 0.9 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.2 5.6 1.8 0.1 11.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.8 5.8 2.6 0.1 13.1 9th
10th 0.1 1.4 4.3 5.8 3.0 0.4 0.0 14.9 10th
11th 1.3 3.5 5.7 5.0 2.2 0.3 0.0 17.9 11th
Total 1.3 3.7 7.1 10.0 12.3 12.8 12.8 11.4 9.2 7.2 5.2 3.6 1.9 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 94.0% 0.5    0.4 0.1
13-3 81.5% 0.8    0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-4 47.9% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-5 13.9% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.8% 2.8 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 33.8% 33.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.5% 34.2% 34.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 0.3
13-3 1.0% 22.9% 22.9% 16.0 0.2 0.7
12-4 1.9% 17.4% 17.4% 16.0 0.3 1.6
11-5 3.6% 12.4% 12.4% 16.0 0.4 3.2
10-6 5.2% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 0.4 4.8
9-7 7.2% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.4 6.8
8-8 9.2% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.3 8.9
7-9 11.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 11.3
6-10 12.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 12.7
5-11 12.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 12.8
4-12 12.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.3
3-13 10.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.0
2-14 7.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.1
1-15 3.7% 3.7
0-16 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.7 97.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.0%