Pre-tourney Rankings
St. Mary's
West Coast
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.6#79
Expected Predictive Rating+8.9#65
Pace60.6#336
Improvement-0.4#201

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#223
First Shot-0.8#206
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#242
Layup/Dunks+6.9#8
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#346
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#229
Freethrows-1.0#250
Improvement-4.8#339

Defense
Total Defense+9.3#8
First Shot+6.3#27
After Offensive Rebounds+3.0#6
Layups/Dunks-0.9#211
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#88
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#12
Freethrows+1.5#78
Improvement+4.3#9
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 9.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four9.8% n/a n/a
First Round4.1% n/a n/a
Second Round1.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 6
Quad 24 - 24 - 8
Quad 35 - 19 - 9
Quad 45 - 014 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 32   Memphis L 56-73 32%     0 - 1 -4.5 -8.7 +5.0
  Nov 26, 2020 156   Northern Iowa W 66-64 75%     1 - 1 +2.5 -4.3 +6.9
  Nov 27, 2020 115   South Dakota St. W 72-59 66%     2 - 1 +16.4 -3.5 +19.8
  Dec 01, 2020 193   Nicholls St. W 73-50 86%     3 - 1 +18.9 +5.2 +16.1
  Dec 03, 2020 237   Texas Southern W 82-70 91%     4 - 1 +5.1 +15.5 -8.9
  Dec 08, 2020 138   UTEP W 73-61 77%     5 - 1 +11.9 +8.9 +4.4
  Dec 11, 2020 320   San Jose St. W 96-61 97%     6 - 1 +21.3 +12.6 +7.8
  Dec 15, 2020 105   Eastern Washington W 80-75 68%     7 - 1 +7.8 +8.9 -1.0
  Dec 19, 2020 66   Colorado St. W 53-33 54%     8 - 1 +26.6 -11.4 +39.9
  Dec 22, 2020 27   San Diego St. L 49-74 27%     8 - 2 -11.2 -8.0 -7.0
  Dec 30, 2020 256   Sacramento St. W 63-45 92%     9 - 2 +10.1 -7.0 +20.0
  Jan 09, 2021 168   Santa Clara L 64-66 82%     9 - 3 0 - 1 -4.0 -7.6 +3.5
  Jan 14, 2021 24   BYU L 52-62 32%     9 - 4 0 - 2 +2.4 -7.4 +8.3
  Jan 16, 2021 1   Gonzaga L 59-73 6%     9 - 5 0 - 3 +11.1 -2.7 +13.3
  Jan 21, 2021 107   @ Loyola Marymount W 65-61 54%     10 - 5 1 - 3 +10.5 -6.5 +16.9
  Jan 23, 2021 104   @ San Francisco W 67-63 53%     11 - 5 2 - 3 +10.8 +8.6 +2.9
  Feb 13, 2021 108   @ Pepperdine L 58-60 55%     11 - 6 2 - 4 +4.4 -12.4 +16.8
  Feb 18, 2021 1   @ Gonzaga L 65-87 3%     11 - 7 2 - 5 +6.9 +1.7 +5.7
  Feb 22, 2021 108   Pepperdine W 66-61 68%     12 - 7 3 - 5 +7.6 -1.2 +9.3
  Feb 25, 2021 123   Pacific W 58-46 73%     13 - 7 4 - 5 +13.1 -10.5 +24.2
  Feb 27, 2021 24   @ BYU L 51-65 21%     13 - 8 4 - 6 +2.2 -10.3 +11.3
  Mar 06, 2021 107   Loyola Marymount W 52-47 62%     14 - 8 +9.6 -7.4 +18.1
  Mar 08, 2021 1   Gonzaga L 55-78 5%     14 - 9 +4.0 -9.1 +13.6
Projected Record 14 - 9 4 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-10 1-9 2-8 3-7 4-6 5-5 6-4 7-3 8-2 9-1 10-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
10-0
9-1
8-2
7-3
6-4
5-5
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
10-0
9-1
8-2
7-3
6-4
5-5
4-6 100.0% 9.8% 9.8% 12.0 0.0 0.8 7.9 1.2 0.0 90.2 9.8%
3-7
2-8
1-9
0-10
Total 100% 9.8% 0.0% 9.8% 12.0 0.0 0.8 7.9 1.2 0.0 90.2 9.8%