Preseason Rankings
Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#101
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.9#120
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#105
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#107
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 1.1% 4.3% 0.7%
Top 6 Seed 2.6% 8.1% 1.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.9% 23.2% 7.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 8.4% 22.0% 6.7%
Average Seed 8.4 7.8 8.6
.500 or above 12.1% 29.5% 10.0%
.500 or above in Conference 15.3% 28.2% 13.7%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 26.6% 15.0% 28.0%
First Four1.7% 3.8% 1.5%
First Round8.0% 21.5% 6.4%
Second Round4.0% 11.2% 3.2%
Sweet Sixteen1.7% 5.3% 1.2%
Elite Eight0.6% 1.8% 0.5%
Final Four0.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Villanova (Neutral) - 10.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 12
Quad 23 - 55 - 17
Quad 33 - 28 - 18
Quad 40 - 09 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 3   Villanova L 66-79 11%    
  Nov 30, 2020 73   St. John's L 77-80 39%    
  Dec 02, 2020 21   Oregon L 67-76 20%    
  Dec 04, 2020 93   Rhode Island W 77-75 57%    
  Dec 08, 2020 37   @ Minnesota L 67-76 19%    
  Dec 12, 2020 35   Syracuse L 72-76 38%    
  Dec 22, 2020 107   California W 71-68 61%    
  Dec 29, 2020 48   @ North Carolina St. L 72-80 24%    
  Jan 02, 2021 26   Louisville L 70-75 32%    
  Jan 05, 2021 5   @ Duke L 71-86 10%    
  Jan 09, 2021 6   Virginia L 56-65 23%    
  Jan 12, 2021 43   Miami (FL) L 73-76 40%    
  Jan 16, 2021 70   @ Notre Dame L 72-78 29%    
  Jan 19, 2021 56   @ Virginia Tech L 65-73 26%    
  Jan 23, 2021 87   Pittsburgh W 70-69 55%    
  Jan 26, 2021 49   @ Clemson L 66-74 24%    
  Jan 30, 2021 26   @ Louisville L 67-78 17%    
  Feb 02, 2021 16   Florida St. L 72-79 29%    
  Feb 06, 2021 48   North Carolina St. L 75-77 43%    
  Feb 09, 2021 103   Wake Forest W 78-75 60%    
  Feb 16, 2021 63   @ Georgia Tech L 70-77 27%    
  Feb 20, 2021 35   @ Syracuse L 69-79 21%    
  Feb 23, 2021 23   North Carolina L 74-80 31%    
  Feb 27, 2021 70   Notre Dame L 74-75 49%    
  Mar 03, 2021 16   @ Florida St. L 69-82 15%    
  Mar 05, 2021 43   @ Miami (FL) L 70-79 23%    
Projected Record 8 - 18 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 1.5 0.6 0.0 3.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.3 1.6 0.3 0.0 4.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.7 0.5 0.0 6.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.3 1.2 0.1 0.0 7.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.2 1.9 0.2 0.0 9.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.7 3.1 0.4 0.0 11.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.7 3.0 5.5 3.3 0.8 0.0 13.3 13th
14th 0.2 1.5 4.4 5.5 3.4 0.9 0.1 16.1 14th
15th 1.3 3.8 5.1 4.6 2.6 0.6 0.1 18.1 15th
Total 1.3 4.0 6.6 9.7 11.5 12.4 12.0 11.1 8.7 7.4 5.2 4.0 2.6 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 65.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 44.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
15-5 9.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 3.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 100.0% 24.2% 75.8% 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.0% 100.0% 37.2% 62.8% 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 14.3% 85.7% 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.2% 100.0% 17.9% 82.1% 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.6% 100.0% 7.7% 92.3% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 0.9% 98.3% 10.8% 87.4% 5.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.0%
13-7 1.6% 92.0% 5.8% 86.2% 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 91.5%
12-8 2.6% 77.6% 2.9% 74.8% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 77.0%
11-9 4.0% 51.4% 1.4% 49.9% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.0 50.7%
10-10 5.2% 20.8% 0.6% 20.2% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 4.1 20.3%
9-11 7.4% 4.5% 0.4% 4.1% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 7.0 4.1%
8-12 8.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.5% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.7 0.5%
7-13 11.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.1
6-14 12.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.0
5-15 12.4% 12.4
4-16 11.5% 11.5
3-17 9.7% 9.7
2-18 6.6% 6.6
1-19 4.0% 4.0
0-20 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 8.9% 0.5% 8.3% 8.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 91.1 8.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%