IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.7	#186
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.4	#131
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.2	#179

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.5	#217

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	7.9%	20.6%	7.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.5%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.5	12.9	14.6

.500 or above	68.2%	92.4%	67.6%
.500 or above in Conference	77.2%	90.7%	76.8%
Conference Champion	8.2%	20.0%	7.8%
Last Place in Conference	1.0%	0.0%	1.1%

First Four	0.8%	0.1%	0.8%
First Round	7.6%	20.5%	7.3%
Second Round	0.6%	1.4%	0.6%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.0%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin (Away) - 2.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	1 - 5
Quad 3	3 - 4	3 - 9
Quad 4	13 - 4	16 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	8	@ Wisconsin	L	58-78	3%
Nov 27, 2020	45	@ Marquette	L	70-85	8%
Nov 29, 2020	51	@ Butler	L	61-75	9%
Dec 03, 2020	345	Chicago St.	W	76-57	96%
Dec 05, 2020	240	@ Green Bay	W	84-83	50%
Dec 09, 2020	261	@ Evansville	W	72-71	55%
Dec 12, 2020	333	Western Illinois	W	86-71	90%
Dec 21, 2020	331	@ SIU Edwardsville	W	78-70	75%
Dec 30, 2020	211	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	80-81	46%
Jan 02, 2021	304	Tennessee Tech	W	76-66	80%
Jan 05, 2021	331	SIU Edwardsville	W	81-67	88%
Jan 07, 2021	105	Murray St.	L	72-75	39%
Jan 09, 2021	133	Austin Peay	L	75-76	48%
Jan 14, 2021	296	Morehead St.	W	77-68	78%
Jan 16, 2021	211	Eastern Kentucky	W	83-78	65%
Jan 21, 2021	114	@ Belmont	L	72-81	23%
Jan 23, 2021	269	@ Tennessee St.	W	75-73	55%
Jan 28, 2021	324	@ Tennessee Martin	W	82-75	71%
Jan 30, 2021	325	@ Southeast Missouri St.	W	77-70	72%
Feb 04, 2021	114	Belmont	L	75-78	41%
Feb 06, 2021	269	Tennessee St.	W	78-70	73%
Feb 11, 2021	255	@ Jacksonville St.	W	73-72	53%
Feb 13, 2021	304	@ Tennessee Tech	W	73-69	62%
Feb 18, 2021	105	@ Murray St.	L	69-78	22%
Feb 20, 2021	133	@ Austin Peay	L	72-79	29%
Feb 25, 2021	325	Southeast Missouri St.	W	80-67	86%
Feb 27, 2021	324	Tennessee Martin	W	85-72	85%
Projected Record						15 - 12	12 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.8	1.9	2.3	1.9	0.9	0.2		8.2	1st
2nd													0.0	0.4	2.1	3.8	3.4	1.5	0.2				11.3	2nd
3rd												0.2	1.2	3.7	4.9	3.8	1.0	0.1					14.8	3rd
4th										0.0	0.3	2.3	5.3	5.5	3.0	0.6	0.0						17.1	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	2.4	5.5	4.8	1.7	0.2	0.0							15.2	5th
6th								0.0	0.5	2.4	4.6	3.0	0.9	0.1	0.0								11.5	6th
7th							0.0	0.5	2.2	3.3	1.9	0.4	0.0										8.3	7th
8th						0.0	0.4	1.4	2.5	1.5	0.2	0.0											5.9	8th
9th					0.0	0.3	0.8	1.6	0.7	0.1													3.6	9th
10th				0.0	0.2	0.6	1.1	0.4	0.1														2.3	10th
11th			0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0															1.2	11th
12th		0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0																0.6	12th

Total		0.1	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.4	2.5	3.9	6.0	7.8	9.4	11.4	12.3	11.5	10.3	9.0	6.3	3.9	2.1	0.9	0.2			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
19-1	100.0%	0.9		0.9	0.0
18-2	89.3%	1.9		1.4	0.4	0.0
17-3	60.0%	2.3		1.2	0.9	0.1
16-4	29.8%	1.9		0.8	0.8	0.2	0.0
15-5	9.2%	0.8		0.2	0.4	0.2	0.1
14-6	1.3%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.0%	0.0				0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	8.2%	8.2		4.7	2.7	0.6	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.2%		58.7%	56.9%	1.8%	10.7					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1		4.3%
19-1	0.9%		47.9%	44.1%	3.8%	12.7									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.5		6.7%
18-2	2.1%		35.0%	35.0%	0.0%	13.2											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.4		0.1%
17-3	3.9%		29.8%	29.8%	0.0%	13.8													0.1	0.3	0.5	0.2	0.0	2.7		0.0%
16-4	6.3%		23.8%	23.8%		14.4													0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.2	4.8
15-5	9.0%		16.0%	16.0%		14.8												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.3	7.6
14-6	10.3%		9.8%	9.8%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	9.3
13-7	11.5%		6.6%	6.6%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.3	0.4	10.7
12-8	12.3%		3.1%	3.1%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	11.9
11-9	11.4%		2.0%	2.0%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.2	11.2
10-10	9.4%		0.9%	0.9%		15.9																0.0	0.1	9.3
9-11	7.8%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	7.7
8-12	6.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	6.0
7-13	3.9%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	3.9
6-14	2.5%																							2.5
5-15	1.4%																							1.4
4-16	0.8%																							0.8
3-17	0.3%																							0.3
2-18	0.1%																							0.1
1-19	0.1%																							0.1
0-20

Total	100%		7.9%	7.8%	0.0%	14.5					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	1.3	1.8	2.5	1.9	92.1		0.0%