Preseason Rankings
Georgetown
Big East
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.2#88
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.2#69
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#69
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#110
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 2.4% 2.7% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 5.4% 6.1% 1.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.4% 20.3% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 16.7% 18.6% 4.9%
Average Seed 8.1 8.1 8.8
.500 or above 29.9% 33.0% 9.5%
.500 or above in Conference 24.1% 26.1% 11.4%
Conference Champion 1.5% 1.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 27.0% 24.9% 40.3%
First Four2.7% 3.0% 1.0%
First Round17.0% 18.8% 5.2%
Second Round9.1% 10.1% 1.9%
Sweet Sixteen3.5% 3.9% 0.9%
Elite Eight1.4% 1.6% 0.4%
Final Four0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Home) - 86.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 10
Quad 23 - 46 - 14
Quad 32 - 18 - 15
Quad 43 - 011 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 202   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 79-67 87%    
  Dec 01, 2020 213   Navy W 74-61 88%    
  Dec 06, 2020 7   West Virginia L 73-80 28%    
  Dec 08, 2020 327   Coppin St. W 90-69 97%    
  Dec 11, 2020 3   Villanova L 69-78 22%    
  Dec 13, 2020 34   Connecticut L 76-78 43%    
  Dec 20, 2020 73   @ St. John's L 78-83 34%    
  Dec 23, 2020 44   @ Seton Hall L 74-81 26%    
  Mar 08, 2021 41   @ Providence L 71-79 25%    
  Mar 08, 2021 51   @ Butler L 66-73 29%    
  Mar 08, 2021 45   @ Marquette L 76-83 28%    
  Mar 08, 2021 58   @ Xavier L 72-78 30%    
  Mar 08, 2021 79   DePaul W 79-77 57%    
  Mar 08, 2021 12   @ Creighton L 72-84 16%    
  Mar 08, 2021 3   @ Villanova L 66-81 12%    
  Mar 09, 2021 44   Seton Hall L 77-78 46%    
  Mar 09, 2021 41   Providence L 74-76 44%    
  Mar 09, 2021 51   Butler L 69-70 48%    
  Mar 09, 2021 45   Marquette L 79-80 46%    
  Mar 09, 2021 58   Xavier L 74-75 50%    
  Mar 09, 2021 73   St. John's W 81-80 55%    
  Mar 09, 2021 79   @ DePaul L 76-80 38%    
  Mar 09, 2021 34   @ Connecticut L 73-81 26%    
  Mar 09, 2021 12   Creighton L 75-81 31%    
Projected Record 10 - 14 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 1.4 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.1 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.4 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 2.8 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 3.4 2.7 0.5 0.0 8.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.9 3.2 0.8 0.0 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.7 3.4 0.7 0.1 11.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 3.0 5.3 3.7 1.0 0.1 13.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.2 4.4 5.2 3.1 0.8 0.1 16.3 10th
11th 0.8 2.6 4.7 5.0 4.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 19.7 11th
Total 0.8 2.6 5.3 7.3 9.1 10.6 11.2 10.9 9.8 8.3 7.3 5.7 4.2 2.9 1.8 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 94.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 84.1% 0.2    0.2 0.1
16-4 67.1% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 32.3% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.1
14-6 12.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 30.1% 69.9% 1.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.3% 100.0% 33.5% 66.5% 2.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.6% 100.0% 20.8% 79.2% 3.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.2% 100.0% 21.6% 78.4% 4.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 1.8% 99.1% 13.8% 85.4% 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
13-7 2.9% 97.4% 7.9% 89.6% 6.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 97.2%
12-8 4.2% 87.9% 6.2% 81.7% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 87.1%
11-9 5.7% 68.8% 3.3% 65.5% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.8 67.7%
10-10 7.3% 40.0% 3.0% 37.0% 10.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.2 0.1 4.4 38.2%
9-11 8.3% 9.0% 1.9% 7.2% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 7.6 7.3%
8-12 9.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.6% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.6 0.6%
7-13 10.9% 0.2% 0.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 10.9
6-14 11.2% 0.2% 0.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.2
5-15 10.6% 10.6
4-16 9.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.1
3-17 7.3% 7.3
2-18 5.3% 5.3
1-19 2.6% 2.6
0-20 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 18.4% 2.0% 16.4% 8.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.2 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 81.6 16.7%