IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
New Hampshire
America East
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.1	#205
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.6	#151
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.6	#275

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.5	#153

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.0%	14.7%	8.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.5	14.1	15.0

.500 or above	70.1%	85.1%	59.6%
.500 or above in Conference	74.6%	82.8%	68.8%
Conference Champion	11.9%	16.3%	8.9%
Last Place in Conference	3.6%	1.9%	4.7%

First Four	1.4%	1.0%	1.7%
First Round	10.3%	14.1%	7.6%
Second Round	0.7%	1.0%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: NJIT (Away) - 41.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 3	2 - 4
Quad 4	10 - 4	12 - 9

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Dec 12, 2020	217	@ NJIT	L	67-69	41%
Dec 13, 2020	217	@ NJIT	L	67-69	41%
Dec 22, 2020	332	Central Connecticut St.	W	79-66	87%
Dec 27, 2020	267	Hartford	W	72-66	70%
Dec 28, 2020	267	Hartford	W	72-66	70%
Jan 02, 2021	328	@ Maine	W	69-63	71%
Jan 03, 2021	328	@ Maine	W	69-63	70%
Jan 09, 2021	202	Maryland Baltimore Co.	W	70-67	58%
Jan 10, 2021	202	Maryland Baltimore Co.	W	70-67	58%
Jan 16, 2021	224	@ Stony Brook	L	68-70	44%
Jan 17, 2021	224	@ Stony Brook	L	68-70	43%
Jan 23, 2021	264	Albany	W	73-67	70%
Jan 24, 2021	264	Albany	W	73-67	69%
Jan 30, 2021	329	@ Binghamton	W	75-69	70%
Jan 31, 2021	329	@ Binghamton	W	75-69	69%
Feb 18, 2021	96	@ Vermont	L	62-74	17%
Feb 19, 2021	96	@ Vermont	L	62-74	17%
Feb 27, 2021	279	Umass Lowell	W	79-72	70%
Feb 28, 2021	279	Umass Lowell	W	79-72	70%
Projected Record						11 - 8	9 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected America East Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.1	0.5	2.1	3.6	3.5	1.6	0.4		11.9	1st
2nd									0.0	0.5	3.1	6.9	7.1	4.0	1.0				22.6	2nd
3rd								0.0	1.0	4.2	7.1	4.6	1.4	0.1					18.5	3rd
4th							0.1	0.9	4.4	6.2	2.7	0.4	0.0						14.7	4th
5th						0.0	1.1	4.1	4.9	1.7	0.2								12.1	5th
6th					0.0	0.9	3.1	3.3	1.0	0.0									8.4	6th
7th			0.0	0.1	0.9	2.4	2.2	0.5	0.0										6.1	7th
8th		0.0	0.1	0.8	1.7	1.0	0.2	0.0											3.9	8th
9th	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.3	0.1													1.8	9th

Total	0.1	0.2	0.7	1.6	2.9	4.4	6.7	8.8	11.4	12.7	13.2	12.5	10.6	7.7	4.5	1.6	0.4			Total

America East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4
15-1	100.0%	1.6		1.4	0.2
14-2	77.9%	3.5		2.6	0.8	0.0
13-3	47.4%	3.6		1.8	1.6	0.2	0.0
12-4	20.1%	2.1		0.6	1.0	0.4	0.1
11-5	4.3%	0.5		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.5%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%	0.0					0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	11.9%	11.9		7.1	3.9	0.8	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.4%		59.1%	55.5%	3.6%	10.1					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0			0.2		8.1%
15-1	1.6%		46.0%	45.5%	0.5%	12.8											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0		0.9		0.9%
14-2	4.5%		36.8%	36.8%		13.7													0.1	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.0	2.8
13-3	7.7%		25.7%	25.7%		14.2													0.0	0.4	0.9	0.6	0.1	5.7
12-4	10.6%		21.6%	21.6%		14.7														0.1	0.8	1.1	0.3	8.3
11-5	12.5%		12.7%	12.7%		15.2														0.0	0.2	0.8	0.6	10.9
10-6	13.2%		8.3%	8.3%		15.6															0.0	0.4	0.7	12.1
9-7	12.7%		5.0%	5.0%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.5	12.1
8-8	11.4%		3.6%	3.6%		15.9																0.0	0.4	11.0
7-9	8.8%		2.4%	2.4%		16.0																	0.2	8.6
6-10	6.7%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.1	6.6
5-11	4.4%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.0	4.4
4-12	2.9%																							2.9
3-13	1.6%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.0	1.6
2-14	0.7%																							0.7
1-15	0.2%																							0.2
0-16	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		11.0%	11.0%	0.0%	14.5					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.4	1.5	2.7	3.3	2.9	89.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.1%	100.0%	8.0				7.1	7.9	14.2	14.2	13.4	18.9	15.0	1.6	1.6	6.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.1%	29.6%	11.0											29.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.1%
Lose Out	0.0%