Preseason Rankings
Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#189
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.8#317
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#241
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#158
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 5.0% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.9 13.8 14.5
.500 or above 40.2% 48.1% 23.0%
.500 or above in Conference 40.8% 46.1% 29.3%
Conference Champion 4.4% 5.5% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 14.4% 11.7% 20.2%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
First Round4.0% 4.8% 2.3%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Illinois-Chicago (Home) - 68.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 34 - 75 - 12
Quad 47 - 312 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 216   Illinois-Chicago W 69-64 68%    
  Dec 02, 2020 331   SIU Edwardsville W 75-61 90%    
  Dec 03, 2020 79   @ DePaul L 64-76 14%    
  Dec 13, 2020 9   @ Iowa L 63-84 3%    
  Dec 18, 2020 345   Chicago St. W 71-52 95%    
  Dec 29, 2020 130   Ball St. L 65-66 47%    
  Jan 02, 2021 146   Bowling Green W 71-70 50%    
  Jan 05, 2021 134   @ Ohio L 64-71 28%    
  Jan 09, 2021 179   @ Miami (OH) L 65-69 37%    
  Jan 12, 2021 126   Akron L 68-69 45%    
  Jan 16, 2021 130   @ Ball St. L 62-69 28%    
  Jan 19, 2021 134   Ohio L 67-68 48%    
  Jan 23, 2021 116   Buffalo L 73-75 41%    
  Jan 26, 2021 146   @ Bowling Green L 68-74 31%    
  Jan 30, 2021 160   Eastern Michigan W 64-63 54%    
  Feb 02, 2021 238   @ Western Michigan L 66-67 49%    
  Feb 06, 2021 207   Central Michigan W 76-72 64%    
  Feb 09, 2021 137   Toledo L 68-69 48%    
  Feb 13, 2021 172   @ Kent St. L 67-71 36%    
  Feb 16, 2021 126   @ Akron L 65-72 28%    
  Feb 20, 2021 179   Miami (OH) W 68-66 57%    
  Feb 23, 2021 137   @ Toledo L 66-72 30%    
  Feb 27, 2021 160   @ Eastern Michigan L 61-66 36%    
  Mar 02, 2021 238   Western Michigan W 69-63 69%    
  Mar 05, 2021 207   @ Central Michigan L 73-75 45%    
Projected Record 11 - 14 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 4.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.7 2.5 1.4 0.4 0.1 6.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.1 2.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 7.0 4th
5th 0.3 2.2 3.7 1.7 0.1 0.0 8.0 5th
6th 0.3 2.2 3.9 2.0 0.4 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.0 2.4 0.3 0.0 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.4 2.7 0.4 0.0 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.0 4.0 3.2 0.7 0.0 10.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.5 3.8 2.9 0.7 0.0 10.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.7 3.5 2.5 0.6 0.1 10.7 11th
12th 0.3 1.0 1.6 2.6 2.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 9.5 12th
Total 0.3 1.0 1.9 3.7 5.8 7.5 9.0 9.6 10.5 10.0 9.3 8.6 6.9 5.6 4.2 2.8 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 97.8% 0.4    0.4 0.0
17-3 90.3% 1.1    0.9 0.2 0.0
16-4 65.5% 1.0    0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 34.7% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 14.8% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0
13-7 2.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.4% 4.4 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 63.0% 52.1% 10.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 22.8%
18-2 0.4% 44.5% 32.5% 12.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 17.8%
17-3 1.2% 28.4% 25.9% 2.5% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 3.4%
16-4 1.6% 23.5% 22.0% 1.5% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2 1.9%
15-5 2.8% 17.2% 17.2% 13.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.3
14-6 4.2% 18.1% 18.1% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 3.4
13-7 5.6% 10.0% 10.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 5.0
12-8 6.9% 6.2% 6.2% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 6.5
11-9 8.6% 4.7% 4.7% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 8.2
10-10 9.3% 2.1% 2.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.1
9-11 10.0% 1.8% 1.8% 15.5 0.1 0.1 9.8
8-12 10.5% 0.6% 0.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.4
7-13 9.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.6
6-14 9.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.0
5-15 7.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.4
4-16 5.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.8
3-17 3.7% 3.7
2-18 1.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.8
1-19 1.0% 1.0
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 4.2% 4.1% 0.1% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.6 95.8 0.1%