Preseason Rankings
Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.7#93
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.8#47
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#106
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#85
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.2% 1.7% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 2.8% 4.0% 0.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.7% 25.0% 10.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 13.7% 18.1% 6.2%
Average Seed 9.6 9.3 10.5
.500 or above 60.7% 70.8% 42.7%
.500 or above in Conference 64.9% 71.2% 53.8%
Conference Champion 9.2% 11.5% 5.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.4% 1.6% 3.9%
First Four3.3% 4.0% 1.9%
First Round18.0% 22.9% 9.3%
Second Round7.7% 10.3% 3.2%
Sweet Sixteen2.2% 3.0% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Final Four0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stephen F. Austin (Neutral) - 63.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 23 - 54 - 9
Quad 37 - 411 - 12
Quad 44 - 115 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 136   Stephen F. Austin W 80-76 64%    
  Nov 26, 2020 184   Towson W 75-68 74%    
  Nov 28, 2020 97   South Florida W 69-68 51%    
  Nov 29, 2020 145   Temple W 77-72 66%    
  Nov 29, 2020 91   San Francisco L 75-76 49%    
  Dec 02, 2020 44   Seton Hall L 76-78 44%    
  Dec 04, 2020 101   @ Boston College L 75-77 43%    
  Dec 13, 2020 82   @ Western Kentucky L 75-79 36%    
  Dec 18, 2020 81   Davidson W 73-71 57%    
  Dec 30, 2020 85   St. Bonaventure W 74-72 58%    
  Jan 03, 2021 174   Saint Joseph's W 85-76 79%    
  Jan 06, 2021 53   @ Richmond L 73-80 27%    
  Jan 09, 2021 99   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 73-75 41%    
  Jan 16, 2021 123   George Mason W 76-70 69%    
  Jan 20, 2021 90   @ Duquesne L 73-76 39%    
  Jan 24, 2021 198   George Washington W 78-67 82%    
  Jan 27, 2021 157   @ La Salle W 77-74 58%    
  Jan 30, 2021 47   @ Dayton L 72-79 26%    
  Feb 03, 2021 99   Virginia Commonwealth W 76-72 62%    
  Feb 06, 2021 128   Massachusetts W 79-73 70%    
  Feb 10, 2021 52   @ Saint Louis L 70-77 28%    
  Feb 13, 2021 81   @ Davidson L 70-74 36%    
  Feb 16, 2021 47   Dayton L 75-76 46%    
  Feb 20, 2021 201   Fordham W 72-61 83%    
  Feb 27, 2021 128   @ Massachusetts W 77-76 51%    
  Mar 02, 2021 174   @ Saint Joseph's W 82-79 60%    
Projected Record 14 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.4 2.7 1.8 0.8 0.1 9.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.9 2.7 0.8 0.1 9.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.5 2.5 0.6 0.0 10.6 3rd
4th 0.3 2.5 4.5 2.6 0.5 0.0 10.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 5.1 2.8 0.6 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.4 3.4 0.7 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.6 3.6 4.0 0.8 0.0 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.0 1.0 0.0 7.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.7 1.3 0.1 6.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 2.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 5.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.8 0.4 0.0 4.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.2 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 2.8 4.3 6.5 8.9 10.4 11.6 12.2 11.0 10.0 8.2 5.7 3.5 1.8 0.8 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.7 0.0
16-2 95.9% 1.8    1.5 0.2 0.0
15-3 76.6% 2.7    1.8 0.7 0.2
14-4 42.1% 2.4    1.0 0.9 0.4 0.0
13-5 15.5% 1.3    0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.2% 9.2 5.4 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 72.2% 27.8% 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.8% 100.0% 50.3% 49.7% 4.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.8% 95.5% 33.8% 61.6% 6.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 93.2%
15-3 3.5% 86.9% 24.4% 62.4% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 82.6%
14-4 5.7% 70.3% 18.4% 51.9% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.7 63.6%
13-5 8.2% 50.1% 14.9% 35.2% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.1 41.4%
12-6 10.0% 29.1% 10.1% 19.1% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 7.1 21.2%
11-7 11.0% 14.5% 6.7% 7.8% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.4 8.3%
10-8 12.2% 7.9% 4.8% 3.0% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.3 3.2%
9-9 11.6% 1.9% 1.6% 0.3% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.4 0.3%
8-10 10.4% 1.3% 1.0% 0.3% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.3 0.3%
7-11 8.9% 0.8% 0.8% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.8
6-12 6.5% 0.5% 0.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 6.5
5-13 4.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.3
4-14 2.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.8
3-15 1.3% 1.3
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 19.7% 6.9% 12.7% 9.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.6 2.4 2.8 3.8 3.6 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 80.3 13.7%