Preseason Rankings
St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#195
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.6#220
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#282
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#116
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.4% 21.9% 12.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 13.7 14.8
.500 or above 62.3% 86.2% 59.5%
.500 or above in Conference 71.6% 85.5% 70.0%
Conference Champion 15.4% 28.2% 13.9%
Last Place in Conference 3.7% 1.2% 4.0%
First Four2.1% 1.4% 2.2%
First Round12.5% 21.5% 11.4%
Second Round0.8% 1.9% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. John's (Away) - 10.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 33 - 53 - 7
Quad 411 - 414 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 73   @ St. John's L 67-80 11%    
  Nov 27, 2020 157   La Salle L 68-70 41%    
  Dec 08, 2020 174   @ Saint Joseph's L 72-76 34%    
  Dec 11, 2020 259   Niagara W 72-65 73%    
  Dec 12, 2020 259   Niagara W 72-65 72%    
  Dec 18, 2020 176   @ Monmouth L 71-75 36%    
  Dec 19, 2020 176   @ Monmouth L 71-75 36%    
  Dec 23, 2020 310   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 72-68 62%    
  Jan 01, 2021 221   @ Canisius L 70-71 45%    
  Jan 02, 2021 221   @ Canisius L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 08, 2021 268   Fairfield W 63-56 73%    
  Jan 09, 2021 268   Fairfield W 63-56 72%    
  Jan 15, 2021 222   @ Iona L 69-70 46%    
  Jan 16, 2021 222   @ Iona L 69-70 46%    
  Jan 22, 2021 149   @ Siena L 65-71 31%    
  Jan 23, 2021 149   @ Siena L 65-71 31%    
  Jan 29, 2021 251   Manhattan W 66-60 70%    
  Jan 30, 2021 251   Manhattan W 66-60 71%    
  Feb 06, 2021 273   Rider W 75-68 72%    
  Feb 07, 2021 273   Rider W 75-68 73%    
  Feb 12, 2021 288   @ Quinnipiac W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 13, 2021 288   @ Quinnipiac W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 19, 2021 284   Marist W 67-59 74%    
  Feb 20, 2021 284   Marist W 67-59 74%    
Projected Record 13 - 11 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 1.6 3.1 3.9 3.4 2.1 0.9 0.2 15.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 3.2 4.6 3.8 1.9 0.6 0.1 15.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 3.8 5.0 2.5 0.9 0.1 13.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 3.9 4.6 2.0 0.3 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 3.8 3.9 1.5 0.1 0.0 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.8 3.2 3.9 1.3 0.1 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.6 3.3 1.0 0.1 7.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.0 2.6 0.9 0.1 6.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 1.8 0.8 0.1 5.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.0 3.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 2.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.3 3.7 5.0 6.9 8.3 9.7 10.4 11.0 10.6 9.0 7.8 6.0 3.9 2.1 0.9 0.2 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9 0.0
18-2 97.6% 2.1    1.9 0.2
17-3 85.3% 3.4    2.8 0.6 0.0
16-4 65.5% 3.9    2.6 1.2 0.1
15-5 39.6% 3.1    1.5 1.3 0.3 0.0
14-6 17.4% 1.6    0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0
13-7 2.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 15.4% 15.4 10.3 4.1 0.9 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 83.7% 75.0% 8.7% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 34.8%
19-1 0.9% 59.8% 58.5% 1.3% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 3.2%
18-2 2.1% 41.8% 41.4% 0.4% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.2 0.6%
17-3 3.9% 35.3% 35.3% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.6 0.0%
16-4 6.0% 32.5% 32.5% 14.1 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.1 4.0
15-5 7.8% 25.2% 25.2% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.3 5.8
14-6 9.0% 21.3% 21.3% 15.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.6 7.1
13-7 10.6% 15.9% 15.9% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.9 8.9
12-8 11.0% 11.7% 11.7% 15.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 9.7
11-9 10.4% 7.7% 7.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 9.6
10-10 9.7% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4 9.3
9-11 8.3% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 8.1
8-12 6.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 6.8
7-13 5.0% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 4.9
6-14 3.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.6
5-15 2.3% 2.3
4-16 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.2
3-17 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.6
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.4% 13.3% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 2.8 3.8 4.2 86.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 5.8 15.7 15.7 37.3 15.7 15.7