Pre-tourney Rankings
Utah St.
Mountain West
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.4#28
Expected Predictive Rating+12.2#29
Pace71.1#102
Improvement+0.7#114

Offense
Total Offense+8.5#14
First Shot+7.0#17
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#76
Layup/Dunks+1.8#99
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#322
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#31
Freethrows+2.9#13
Improvement-0.9#280

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#71
First Shot+2.2#105
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#35
Layups/Dunks+1.9#96
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#327
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#90
Freethrows+0.2#168
Improvement+1.6#27
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.3% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 17.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 97.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 97.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round97.5% n/a n/a
Second Round52.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen17.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight7.9% n/a n/a
Final Four2.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 02 - 5
Quad 29 - 111 - 6
Quad 313 - 024 - 6
Quad 41 - 225 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 82   Utah Valley W 75-58 78%     1 - 0 +21.1 +4.3 +16.3
  Nov 11, 2022 87   Bradley W 84-62 80%     2 - 0 +25.3 +12.7 +12.2
  Nov 14, 2022 85   Santa Clara W 96-74 79%     3 - 0 +25.9 +13.8 +9.6
  Nov 17, 2022 221   @ San Diego W 91-89 OT 87%     4 - 0 +2.1 +5.4 -3.5
  Nov 22, 2022 68   Oral Roberts W 95-85 75%     5 - 0 +15.4 +9.6 +4.4
  Dec 01, 2022 158   Utah Tech W 86-81 91%     6 - 0 +2.3 +9.7 -7.4
  Dec 04, 2022 94   San Francisco W 82-64 75%     7 - 0 +23.1 +7.0 +15.3
  Dec 10, 2022 111   Loyola Marymount W 79-67 79%     8 - 0 +16.0 +5.6 +10.1
  Dec 19, 2022 198   Weber St. L 72-75 93%     8 - 1 -7.4 -1.3 -6.1
  Dec 22, 2022 153   Seattle W 84-56 85%     9 - 1 +29.1 +13.8 +15.0
  Dec 23, 2022 169   SMU L 74-77 88%     9 - 2 -3.3 +3.4 -6.8
  Dec 25, 2022 62   Washington St. W 82-73 64%     10 - 2 +17.6 +15.0 +2.8
  Dec 31, 2022 132   Fresno St. W 67-54 89%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +12.1 +0.3 +12.6
  Jan 03, 2023 152   @ Air Force W 77-65 79%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +16.0 +10.4 +6.3
  Jan 07, 2023 38   @ Boise St. L 59-82 43%     12 - 3 2 - 1 -8.9 -4.1 -5.0
  Jan 10, 2023 150   Wyoming W 83-63 90%     13 - 3 3 - 1 +18.2 +7.8 +10.4
  Jan 13, 2023 56   @ Nevada L 70-85 51%     13 - 4 3 - 2 -2.9 +7.0 -10.6
  Jan 17, 2023 91   UNLV W 75-71 82%     14 - 4 4 - 2 +6.7 +5.7 +1.1
  Jan 21, 2023 96   San Jose St. W 75-74 84%     15 - 4 5 - 2 +2.9 +12.0 -9.0
  Jan 25, 2023 20   @ San Diego St. L 75-85 36%     15 - 5 5 - 3 +6.1 +19.8 -14.6
  Jan 28, 2023 132   @ Fresno St. W 70-53 76%     16 - 5 6 - 3 +22.0 +14.3 +10.6
  Feb 01, 2023 57   New Mexico W 84-73 73%     17 - 5 7 - 3 +17.1 +13.8 +3.6
  Feb 04, 2023 105   @ Colorado St. W 88-79 69%     18 - 5 8 - 3 +16.4 +17.8 -1.3
  Feb 08, 2023 20   San Diego St. L 61-63 58%     18 - 6 8 - 4 +8.2 +0.1 +7.9
  Feb 11, 2023 96   @ San Jose St. L 64-69 67%     18 - 7 8 - 5 +2.8 -0.6 +3.0
  Feb 14, 2023 152   Air Force W 80-65 90%     19 - 7 9 - 5 +13.1 +10.1 +3.7
  Feb 18, 2023 56   Nevada W 75-66 73%     20 - 7 10 - 5 +15.1 +6.3 +8.9
  Feb 21, 2023 150   @ Wyoming W 65-55 78%     21 - 7 11 - 5 +14.2 -3.7 +18.4
  Mar 01, 2023 91   @ UNLV W 91-66 64%     22 - 7 12 - 5 +33.6 +22.1 +11.1
  Mar 04, 2023 38   Boise St. W 86-73 66%     23 - 7 13 - 5 +21.1 +24.5 -2.6
  Mar 09, 2023 57   New Mexico W 91-76 62%     24 - 7 +24.1 +11.1 +11.5
  Mar 10, 2023 38   Boise St. W 72-62 55%     25 - 7 +21.1 +6.0 +15.0
  Mar 11, 2023 20   San Diego St. L 57-62 47%     25 - 8 +8.2 -5.1 +13.1
  Mar 16, 2023 51   Missouri W 83-80 61%    
Projected Record 26 - 8 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 97.5% 97.5% 7.6 0.0 0.3 2.8 14.0 26.6 30.0 18.6 4.9 0.4 2.5 97.5%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 97.5% 0.0% 97.5% 7.6 0.0 0.3 2.8 14.0 26.6 30.0 18.6 4.9 0.4 2.5 97.5%