Preseason Rankings
Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#169
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.4#167
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#192
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#157
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.1% 15.3% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 1.6% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.0 12.5 13.8
.500 or above 60.0% 78.8% 47.7%
.500 or above in Conference 65.1% 78.0% 56.8%
Conference Champion 12.0% 18.3% 7.8%
Last Place in Conference 4.6% 1.8% 6.4%
First Four1.1% 1.3% 1.0%
First Round9.6% 14.7% 6.3%
Second Round1.5% 2.9% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Tech (Home) - 39.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 34 - 55 - 9
Quad 410 - 315 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2022 97   Georgia Tech L 69-72 39%    
  Nov 15, 2022 198   Mercer W 71-67 65%    
  Nov 18, 2022 219   Eastern Kentucky W 79-74 68%    
  Nov 19, 2022 343   Texas A&M - Commerce W 78-62 91%    
  Nov 20, 2022 211   UNC Asheville W 74-69 66%    
  Nov 27, 2022 115   Belmont L 73-74 48%    
  Dec 04, 2022 199   @ Northeastern L 65-67 44%    
  Dec 14, 2022 21   @ Auburn L 66-83 8%    
  Dec 18, 2022 112   Rhode Island L 69-70 48%    
  Dec 29, 2022 162   James Madison W 76-73 59%    
  Dec 31, 2022 205   South Alabama W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 05, 2023 259   @ Louisiana Monroe W 73-71 57%    
  Jan 07, 2023 158   @ Louisiana L 64-67 39%    
  Jan 12, 2023 235   Troy W 72-66 69%    
  Jan 14, 2023 184   Coastal Carolina W 72-69 61%    
  Jan 19, 2023 186   @ Old Dominion L 65-67 42%    
  Jan 21, 2023 251   @ Georgia Southern W 69-68 53%    
  Jan 26, 2023 183   @ Appalachian St. L 65-68 42%    
  Jan 28, 2023 159   @ Marshall L 76-79 39%    
  Feb 02, 2023 251   Georgia Southern W 72-65 71%    
  Feb 04, 2023 299   Southern Miss W 76-65 81%    
  Feb 09, 2023 186   Old Dominion W 68-64 61%    
  Feb 11, 2023 159   Marshall W 79-76 59%    
  Feb 16, 2023 184   @ Coastal Carolina L 69-72 43%    
  Feb 18, 2023 230   @ Arkansas St. W 71-70 50%    
  Feb 22, 2023 183   Appalachian St. W 68-65 61%    
  Feb 24, 2023 162   @ James Madison L 73-76 40%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.5 3.4 2.8 1.6 0.5 12.0 1st
2nd 0.2 1.6 3.4 3.3 1.5 0.3 0.0 10.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.6 3.8 3.0 0.8 0.1 9.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 3.7 3.1 0.8 0.1 8.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.6 3.4 0.8 0.0 8.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.5 3.9 1.2 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 3.9 1.6 0.1 7.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 3.5 2.3 0.3 0.0 7.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.6 2.7 0.5 0.0 6.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.8 0.9 0.0 6.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.5 1.0 0.1 5.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.8 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.0 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.7 14th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.1 3.3 4.7 6.5 7.6 9.0 9.9 10.6 10.2 9.5 8.2 6.6 5.0 3.1 1.6 0.5 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.5    0.4 0.0
17-1 98.8% 1.6    1.5 0.1
16-2 90.5% 2.8    2.3 0.5 0.0
15-3 67.2% 3.4    2.0 1.2 0.2 0.0
14-4 37.4% 2.5    1.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 12.9% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.0% 12.0 7.4 3.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.5% 74.9% 47.6% 27.3% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 52.1%
17-1 1.6% 55.1% 41.6% 13.5% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 23.0%
16-2 3.1% 42.0% 35.1% 6.9% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.8 10.7%
15-3 5.0% 27.7% 26.4% 1.4% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.6 1.9%
14-4 6.6% 19.8% 19.7% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.3 0.1%
13-5 8.2% 15.8% 15.8% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 6.9
12-6 9.5% 12.1% 12.1% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 8.3
11-7 10.2% 8.1% 8.1% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 9.4
10-8 10.6% 5.8% 5.8% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 10.0
9-9 9.9% 4.0% 4.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 9.5
8-10 9.0% 2.8% 2.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 8.7
7-11 7.6% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.4
6-12 6.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 6.5
5-13 4.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.6
4-14 3.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.3
3-15 2.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.1
2-16 1.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.1
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 10.1% 9.5% 0.6% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.9 2.0 2.3 1.9 1.2 1.1 89.9 0.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 95.9% 4.6 4.1 21.3 36.9 12.3 9.0 4.1 4.1 4.1
Lose Out 0.0%