IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.8	#319
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.6	#52
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.0	#242

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.8	#355

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	7.3%	24.5%	7.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.0	15.6

.500 or above	27.6%	72.4%	26.9%
.500 or above in Conference	54.1%	84.3%	53.6%
Conference Champion	9.4%	28.9%	9.1%
Last Place in Conference	8.2%	1.2%	8.3%

First Four	3.6%	7.2%	3.6%
First Round	5.1%	21.3%	4.9%
Second Round	0.1%	0.6%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Chicago (Away) - 1.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 7
Quad 4	11 - 10	12 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	54	@ Loyola Chicago	L	60-83	2%
Nov 13, 2022	227	Manhattan	L	76-80	36%
Nov 18, 2022	326	SIU Edwardsville	W	78-77	52%
Nov 19, 2022	152	@ Longwood	L	69-83	12%
Nov 20, 2022	272	VMI	L	79-83	37%
Nov 22, 2022	109	@ Pittsburgh	L	64-81	7%
Nov 27, 2022	145	@ St. Peter's	L	64-78	11%
Nov 30, 2022	327	@ Hartford	L	75-77	42%
Dec 03, 2022	149	@ Saint Joseph's	L	70-84	13%
Dec 09, 2022	315	@ Columbia	L	78-82	39%
Dec 11, 2022	325	NJIT	W	75-72	61%
Dec 13, 2022	88	@ Richmond	L	66-86	6%
Dec 22, 2022	321	Queens	W	80-77	59%
Dec 29, 2022	280	Merrimack	L	67-68	49%
Jan 05, 2023	314	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	L	75-79	39%
Jan 07, 2023	304	LIU Brooklyn	W	84-82	55%
Jan 14, 2023	349	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	75-74	54%
Jan 16, 2023	359	@ Stonehill	W	78-71	71%
Jan 20, 2023	283	Sacred Heart	W	80-79	50%
Jan 22, 2023	359	Stonehill	W	81-68	84%
Jan 26, 2023	291	St. Francis (PA)	W	78-77	53%
Jan 28, 2023	280	@ Merrimack	L	65-71	32%
Feb 04, 2023	252	Wagner	L	73-76	42%
Feb 09, 2023	304	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	81-85	37%
Feb 11, 2023	349	Central Connecticut St.	W	78-71	71%
Feb 16, 2023	283	@ Sacred Heart	L	76-82	33%
Feb 18, 2023	252	@ Wagner	L	70-79	25%
Feb 23, 2023	291	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	75-80	35%
Feb 25, 2023	314	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	78-76	58%
Projected Record						12 - 17	8 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.1	0.9	2.2	2.7	2.2	1.1	0.3		9.4	1st
2nd									0.0	0.3	2.0	3.9	3.2	1.3	0.2				10.9	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.4	3.0	4.8	2.7	0.5	0.0					11.5	3rd
4th							0.0	0.6	3.8	5.9	2.5	0.3	0.0						13.1	4th
5th						0.1	0.9	4.2	5.5	2.2	0.2	0.0							13.1	5th
6th				0.0	0.1	1.6	4.8	5.3	1.8	0.1									13.8	6th
7th			0.0	0.4	2.3	4.8	4.1	1.2	0.1										12.9	7th
8th		0.1	1.0	2.9	3.8	2.3	0.5	0.0											10.5	8th
9th	0.3	1.0	1.6	1.3	0.5	0.1	0.0												4.8	9th

Total	0.3	1.0	2.5	4.6	6.8	8.9	10.4	11.4	11.6	11.4	9.6	7.8	5.9	4.0	2.4	1.1	0.3			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
15-1	100.0%	1.1		1.0	0.0
14-2	92.0%	2.2		1.8	0.4	0.0
13-3	67.0%	2.7		1.6	1.0	0.1	0.0
12-4	36.9%	2.2		0.8	1.0	0.4	0.0
11-5	11.2%	0.9		0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
10-6	1.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%	0.0							0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	9.4%	9.4		5.6	2.8	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.3%		63.2%	63.2%		14.1													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1
15-1	1.1%		57.5%	57.5%		14.6													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.5
14-2	2.4%		41.3%	41.3%		15.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	1.4
13-3	4.0%		30.1%	30.1%		15.6														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	2.8
12-4	5.9%		19.4%	19.4%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.9	4.8
11-5	7.8%		14.1%	14.1%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	1.0	6.7
10-6	9.6%		7.8%	7.8%		16.0																0.0	0.7	8.8
9-7	11.4%		5.6%	5.6%		16.0																0.0	0.6	10.8
8-8	11.6%		2.8%	2.8%		16.0																0.0	0.3	11.3
7-9	11.4%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.2	11.2
6-10	10.4%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	10.3
5-11	8.9%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	8.9
4-12	6.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.8
3-13	4.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.6
2-14	2.5%																							2.5
1-15	1.0%																							1.0
0-16	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		7.3%	7.3%	0.0%	15.6													0.0	0.1	0.5	1.4	5.2	92.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%