Preseason Rankings
Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#218
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.0#188
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#218
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#211
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.1% 18.3% 7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 1.0% 0.1%
Average Seed 14.0 12.8 14.2
.500 or above 57.4% 88.5% 55.0%
.500 or above in Conference 59.7% 84.6% 57.7%
Conference Champion 8.9% 22.6% 7.9%
Last Place in Conference 6.7% 1.1% 7.1%
First Four1.0% 0.8% 1.0%
First Round7.6% 17.7% 6.8%
Second Round0.8% 3.2% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Providence (Away) - 7.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 53 - 9
Quad 411 - 514 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2022 50   @ Providence L 60-76 7%    
  Nov 18, 2022 292   Stetson W 72-66 69%    
  Nov 19, 2022 334   Central Arkansas W 82-73 79%    
  Nov 22, 2022 43   @ Rutgers L 59-75 9%    
  Nov 30, 2022 260   Monmouth W 72-66 69%    
  Dec 03, 2022 267   @ Mount St. Mary's W 65-64 51%    
  Dec 07, 2022 359   @ Stonehill W 76-62 88%    
  Dec 19, 2022 153   Delaware L 70-71 49%    
  Dec 22, 2022 296   Marist W 73-64 76%    
  Dec 28, 2022 106   @ Georgia L 70-80 21%    
  Dec 30, 2022 290   @ Canisius W 73-70 59%    
  Jan 01, 2023 239   @ Niagara L 66-68 44%    
  Jan 06, 2023 221   Quinnipiac W 75-72 60%    
  Jan 08, 2023 244   @ Siena L 67-69 45%    
  Jan 15, 2023 101   @ Iona L 68-78 21%    
  Jan 20, 2023 239   Niagara W 69-65 62%    
  Jan 22, 2023 227   Manhattan W 74-70 61%    
  Jan 27, 2023 296   @ Marist W 70-67 59%    
  Jan 29, 2023 222   @ Fairfield L 65-68 42%    
  Feb 03, 2023 145   St. Peter's L 65-66 48%    
  Feb 05, 2023 227   @ Manhattan L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 10, 2023 222   Fairfield W 68-65 60%    
  Feb 17, 2023 290   Canisius W 76-67 75%    
  Feb 19, 2023 221   @ Quinnipiac L 72-75 41%    
  Feb 24, 2023 244   Siena W 70-66 63%    
  Feb 26, 2023 267   Mount St. Mary's W 68-62 69%    
  Mar 02, 2023 145   @ St. Peter's L 62-69 30%    
  Mar 04, 2023 101   Iona L 71-75 37%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.0 2.2 1.6 0.8 0.2 8.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.6 3.0 3.4 1.9 0.7 0.1 11.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.4 4.0 3.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 11.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 3.1 4.3 2.3 0.6 0.1 11.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 3.6 4.1 1.9 0.3 0.0 10.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.5 4.0 1.6 0.2 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.4 3.2 1.2 0.1 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.1 2.7 0.9 0.1 8.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.5 2.9 2.1 0.6 0.0 7.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.2 11th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.8 3.1 4.2 5.9 6.9 8.1 8.7 9.7 9.6 9.2 8.2 7.3 6.0 4.1 2.9 1.7 0.8 0.2 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
18-2 93.6% 1.6    1.4 0.2 0.0
17-3 75.6% 2.2    1.6 0.5 0.0
16-4 49.4% 2.0    1.2 0.8 0.1 0.0
15-5 24.2% 1.4    0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0
14-6 7.9% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 8.9% 8.9 5.8 2.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 73.7% 57.4% 16.3% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 38.2%
19-1 0.8% 53.8% 48.3% 5.5% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 10.6%
18-2 1.7% 42.0% 40.1% 2.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 3.3%
17-3 2.9% 31.9% 31.7% 0.2% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 2.0 0.3%
16-4 4.1% 22.9% 22.9% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.2
15-5 6.0% 17.8% 17.8% 13.9 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 4.9
14-6 7.3% 13.9% 13.9% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 6.2
13-7 8.2% 9.9% 9.9% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 7.4
12-8 9.2% 7.4% 7.4% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 8.5
11-9 9.6% 5.0% 5.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 9.1
10-10 9.7% 3.6% 3.6% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 9.4
9-11 8.7% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 8.4
8-12 8.1% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 7.9
7-13 6.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 6.8
6-14 5.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.9
5-15 4.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.2
4-16 3.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.1
3-17 1.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.8
2-18 1.0% 1.0
1-19 0.5% 0.5
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.1% 8.0% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.6 1.9 1.7 1.6 91.9 0.1%