IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.4	#332
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.6	#143
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.2	#338

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.2	#303

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.8%	11.7%	2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.0	15.7

.500 or above	17.0%	56.7%	16.7%
.500 or above in Conference	34.3%	67.4%	34.1%
Conference Champion	3.5%	10.9%	3.4%
Last Place in Conference	18.1%	5.8%	18.2%

First Four	1.4%	2.8%	1.4%
First Round	2.0%	10.9%	1.9%
Second Round	0.0%	0.6%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.6%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Illinois (Away) - 0.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 3	1 - 7
Quad 4	9 - 10	10 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	21	@ Illinois	L	60-87	1%
Nov 11, 2023	96	@ Loyola Chicago	L	60-78	5%
Nov 15, 2023	209	@ Illinois St.	L	63-74	15%
Nov 18, 2023	357	Coppin St.	W	77-74	62%
Nov 19, 2023	260	@ Miami (OH)	L	67-75	24%
Nov 28, 2023	1	@ Kansas	L	56-89	0.2%
Dec 07, 2023	347	IUPUI	W	72-67	67%
Dec 10, 2023	336	Central Arkansas	W	79-76	61%
Dec 21, 2023	40	@ Iowa St.	L	53-77	2%
Dec 29, 2023	259	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	68-76	24%
Jan 04, 2024	282	@ Tennessee Martin	L	74-81	28%
Jan 06, 2024	275	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	74-81	27%
Jan 11, 2024	220	Morehead St.	L	63-67	35%
Jan 13, 2024	317	Western Illinois	W	71-70	54%
Jan 20, 2024	356	@ Lindenwood	W	72-71	51%
Jan 25, 2024	289	Tennessee Tech	L	70-71	48%
Jan 27, 2024	262	Tennessee St.	L	75-77	44%
Feb 01, 2024	282	Tennessee Martin	L	77-78	47%
Feb 03, 2024	275	Arkansas Little Rock	L	77-78	46%
Feb 08, 2024	344	@ Southern Indiana	L	73-75	45%
Feb 10, 2024	220	@ Morehead St.	L	60-70	19%
Feb 15, 2024	308	Southeast Missouri St.	W	77-76	52%
Feb 17, 2024	356	Lindenwood	W	74-68	70%
Feb 22, 2024	262	@ Tennessee St.	L	72-80	25%
Feb 24, 2024	289	@ Tennessee Tech	L	67-74	29%
Feb 27, 2024	259	SIU Edwardsville	L	71-73	43%
Feb 29, 2024	317	@ Western Illinois	L	68-73	35%
Projected Record						10 - 17	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	0.8	1.0	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0		3.5	1st
2nd											0.1	0.7	1.7	1.5	0.7	0.1	0.0				4.7	2nd
3rd										0.1	0.9	2.3	1.9	0.6	0.0						5.9	3rd
4th									0.1	0.9	3.2	2.4	0.6	0.0							7.2	4th
5th								0.1	0.9	3.5	3.0	0.8	0.0								8.2	5th
6th							0.0	0.9	3.8	3.7	0.8	0.0									9.2	6th
7th						0.1	1.1	3.8	4.3	1.2	0.1										10.6	7th
8th				0.0	0.1	1.2	4.1	4.7	1.6	0.1											11.7	8th
9th			0.0	0.2	1.9	4.5	4.8	1.8	0.2												13.3	9th
10th		0.1	0.8	2.8	4.6	3.9	1.5	0.1	0.0												13.8	10th
11th	0.5	2.0	3.3	3.3	2.1	0.6	0.1	0.0													11.9	11th

Total	0.5	2.1	4.0	6.3	8.7	10.3	11.5	11.4	10.8	9.5	8.0	6.2	4.5	3.0	1.7	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	96.6%	0.4		0.3	0.0
15-3	85.0%	0.8		0.6	0.2	0.0
14-4	56.6%	1.0		0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0
13-5	27.9%	0.8		0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0
12-6	7.1%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.5%	3.5		1.9	1.1	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		68.6%	68.6%		14.6														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
17-1	0.1%		55.4%	55.4%		14.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
16-2	0.4%		42.1%	42.1%		14.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.2
15-3	0.9%		30.1%	30.1%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.6
14-4	1.7%		21.3%	21.3%		15.5															0.0	0.1	0.2	1.4
13-5	3.0%		15.7%	15.7%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.3	2.5
12-6	4.5%		8.6%	8.6%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.3	4.1
11-7	6.2%		5.5%	5.5%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.3	5.8
10-8	8.0%		3.6%	3.6%		16.0																	0.3	7.7
9-9	9.5%		2.2%	2.2%		16.0																	0.2	9.3
8-10	10.8%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																0.0	0.1	10.7
7-11	11.4%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	11.3
6-12	11.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	11.5
5-13	10.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.3
4-14	8.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	8.7
3-15	6.3%																							6.3
2-16	4.0%																							4.0
1-17	2.1%																							2.1
0-18	0.5%																							0.5

Total	100%		2.8%	2.8%	0.0%	15.6													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	2.0	97.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%