IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.9	#289
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.2	#225
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.4	#254

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.5	#309

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.9%	22.5%	8.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	14.4	15.4

.500 or above	42.0%	82.8%	41.7%
.500 or above in Conference	60.2%	86.2%	60.0%
Conference Champion	10.7%	26.5%	10.6%
Last Place in Conference	6.3%	1.2%	6.4%

First Four	3.2%	2.6%	3.2%
First Round	7.1%	21.1%	7.0%
Second Round	0.2%	1.3%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	1.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee (Away) - 0.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 6
Quad 4	11 - 9	13 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	7	@ Tennessee	L	53-79	1%
Nov 10, 2023	154	@ Murray St.	L	66-77	16%
Nov 14, 2023	184	Lipscomb	L	73-76	39%
Nov 19, 2023	197	@ Chattanooga	L	69-77	22%
Nov 22, 2023	322	@ Presbyterian	L	66-67	47%
Nov 28, 2023	205	Western Carolina	L	71-73	43%
Nov 30, 2023	223	@ North Alabama	L	69-76	28%
Dec 10, 2023	239	@ East Tennessee St.	L	65-71	30%
Dec 16, 2023	223	North Alabama	L	72-73	48%
Dec 20, 2023	329	@ Evansville	L	71-72	50%
Dec 28, 2023	275	Arkansas Little Rock	W	78-76	58%
Dec 30, 2023	282	Tennessee Martin	W	79-76	59%
Jan 04, 2024	220	@ Morehead St.	L	62-69	28%
Jan 06, 2024	344	@ Southern Indiana	W	75-73	56%
Jan 13, 2024	308	Southeast Missouri St.	W	79-75	64%
Jan 18, 2024	262	@ Tennessee St.	L	74-78	36%
Jan 25, 2024	332	@ Eastern Illinois	W	71-70	52%
Jan 27, 2024	259	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	70-75	35%
Feb 01, 2024	344	Southern Indiana	W	78-70	74%
Feb 03, 2024	220	Morehead St.	L	65-66	47%
Feb 08, 2024	308	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	76-78	44%
Feb 10, 2024	356	@ Lindenwood	W	74-70	62%
Feb 13, 2024	262	Tennessee St.	W	77-75	55%
Feb 15, 2024	317	Western Illinois	W	73-68	66%
Feb 22, 2024	259	SIU Edwardsville	W	73-72	54%
Feb 24, 2024	332	Eastern Illinois	W	74-67	71%
Feb 29, 2024	282	@ Tennessee Martin	L	76-79	40%
Mar 02, 2024	275	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	75-79	38%
Projected Record						13 - 15	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.5	1.8	2.9	2.9	1.7	0.8	0.1		10.7	1st
2nd											0.1	1.0	3.2	3.6	2.1	0.6	0.1				10.7	2nd
3rd										0.1	1.2	3.9	4.0	1.4	0.2	0.0					10.8	3rd
4th								0.0	0.1	1.1	4.3	4.1	1.3	0.1							11.0	4th
5th								0.1	0.8	4.2	4.2	1.2	0.1								10.6	5th
6th							0.0	0.7	3.7	4.4	1.2	0.1	0.0								10.2	6th
7th						0.0	0.8	3.4	4.1	1.4	0.1	0.0									9.8	7th
8th					0.0	0.8	2.8	3.8	1.5	0.1											8.9	8th
9th			0.0	0.1	0.8	2.4	2.9	1.3	0.1	0.0											7.6	9th
10th		0.0	0.2	0.9	2.0	2.0	0.8	0.1													6.0	10th
11th	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.2	0.7	0.3	0.1														3.7	11th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.1	2.2	3.6	5.5	7.4	9.3	10.3	11.3	11.0	10.3	9.1	6.9	5.2	3.6	1.7	0.8	0.1			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.8		0.8	0.0
16-2	95.9%	1.7		1.5	0.2
15-3	81.8%	2.9		2.2	0.7	0.0
14-4	54.7%	2.9		1.5	1.1	0.2	0.0
13-5	25.4%	1.8		0.6	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	5.2%	0.5		0.0	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.5%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%	0.0						0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	10.7%	10.7		6.7	3.0	0.7	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		67.8%	67.8%		13.3												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
17-1	0.8%		62.6%	62.6%		14.0												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.3
16-2	1.7%		54.3%	54.3%		14.4												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.8
15-3	3.6%		37.4%	37.4%		15.0														0.0	0.3	0.6	0.4	2.2
14-4	5.2%		28.9%	28.9%		15.4														0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	3.7
13-5	6.9%		18.1%	18.1%		15.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.4	0.8	5.7
12-6	9.1%		13.7%	13.7%		15.8															0.0	0.2	1.0	7.9
11-7	10.3%		8.5%	8.5%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.8	9.5
10-8	11.0%		4.7%	4.7%		16.0																0.0	0.5	10.5
9-9	11.3%		2.4%	2.4%		16.0																0.0	0.3	11.0
8-10	10.3%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.2	10.1
7-11	9.3%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	9.2
6-12	7.4%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	7.3
5-13	5.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	5.5
4-14	3.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	3.6
3-15	2.2%																							2.2
2-16	1.1%																							1.1
1-17	0.4%																							0.4
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		8.9%	8.9%	0.0%	15.3												0.0	0.1	0.3	1.1	2.4	5.1	91.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%