Preseason Rankings
Evansville
Missouri Valley
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.8#329
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.5#67
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.3#340
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#281
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.1 16.0
.500 or above 4.4% 7.6% 1.9%
.500 or above in Conference 4.4% 6.5% 2.7%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 48.6% 41.2% 54.5%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (OH) (Home) - 44.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 31 - 82 - 15
Quad 46 - 87 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 260   Miami (OH) L 71-73 44%    
  Nov 15, 2023 308   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 75-80 34%    
  Nov 18, 2023 234   Ball St. L 71-74 39%    
  Nov 24, 2023 197   @ Chattanooga L 68-79 15%    
  Nov 25, 2023 308   Southeast Missouri St. L 77-79 44%    
  Nov 29, 2023 143   @ Missouri St. L 58-72 10%    
  Dec 02, 2023 123   Northern Iowa L 68-77 21%    
  Dec 05, 2023 50   @ BYU L 63-85 2%    
  Dec 16, 2023 215   @ Bellarmine L 62-72 19%    
  Dec 18, 2023 282   Tennessee Martin L 78-79 49%    
  Dec 20, 2023 289   Tennessee Tech W 72-71 50%    
  Dec 29, 2023 58   @ Cincinnati L 62-84 3%    
  Jan 03, 2024 122   @ Indiana St. L 69-84 9%    
  Jan 06, 2024 154   Murray St. L 68-76 26%    
  Jan 10, 2024 100   @ Bradley L 60-77 7%    
  Jan 13, 2024 143   Missouri St. L 61-69 24%    
  Jan 17, 2024 310   Valparaiso W 71-70 54%    
  Jan 20, 2024 70   @ Drake L 60-80 5%    
  Jan 23, 2024 123   @ Northern Iowa L 65-80 10%    
  Jan 27, 2024 209   Illinois St. L 67-72 35%    
  Jan 31, 2024 244   Illinois-Chicago L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 03, 2024 310   @ Valparaiso L 68-73 35%    
  Feb 07, 2024 100   Bradley L 63-74 18%    
  Feb 10, 2024 154   @ Murray St. L 65-79 13%    
  Feb 13, 2024 70   Drake L 63-77 12%    
  Feb 18, 2024 209   @ Illinois St. L 64-75 19%    
  Feb 21, 2024 244   @ Illinois-Chicago L 69-77 25%    
  Feb 25, 2024 171   Southern Illinois L 62-69 29%    
  Feb 28, 2024 122   Indiana St. L 72-81 22%    
  Mar 03, 2024 128   @ Belmont L 67-82 10%    
Projected Record 7 - 23 4 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.4 0.5 0.0 3.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.7 2.2 0.9 0.1 5.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 2.9 3.0 1.3 0.2 0.0 8.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.0 5.0 4.5 1.8 0.2 0.0 15.2 10th
11th 0.4 3.1 6.8 8.1 5.0 1.7 0.2 0.0 25.3 11th
12th 4.8 9.6 10.9 7.8 3.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 37.5 12th
Total 4.8 10.0 14.0 15.2 14.6 12.0 9.7 7.0 5.0 3.2 2.0 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 80.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 40.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 46.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 9.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.0% 13.0% 13.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 24.2% 24.2% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.2% 4.9% 4.9% 14.0 0.0 0.2
13-7 0.3% 1.6% 1.6% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-8 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
11-9 1.1% 2.4% 2.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 1.0
10-10 2.0% 1.6% 1.6% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0
9-11 3.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.2
8-12 5.0% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 5.0
7-13 7.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.0
6-14 9.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.7
5-15 12.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.0
4-16 14.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.6
3-17 15.2% 15.2
2-18 14.0% 14.0
1-19 10.0% 10.0
0-20 4.8% 4.8
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%