Preseason Rankings
Bucknell
Patriot League
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#268
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.3#320
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#284
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#226
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.0% 13.4% 7.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.8 15.4
.500 or above 41.4% 62.5% 34.4%
.500 or above in Conference 61.8% 74.7% 57.5%
Conference Champion 10.1% 16.1% 8.1%
Last Place in Conference 5.2% 2.4% 6.1%
First Four2.7% 2.6% 2.7%
First Round7.7% 12.2% 6.2%
Second Round0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware (Away) - 24.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 10
Quad 413 - 815 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 187   @ Delaware L 63-70 25%    
  Nov 07, 2024 328   @ Southern Indiana W 69-67 56%    
  Nov 09, 2024 16   @ Kentucky L 63-85 2%    
  Nov 13, 2024 270   Mount St. Mary's W 69-66 61%    
  Nov 16, 2024 133   Richmond L 63-67 36%    
  Nov 21, 2024 343   NJIT W 70-61 80%    
  Nov 23, 2024 241   Rider W 69-67 56%    
  Nov 27, 2024 38   @ Maryland L 54-73 5%    
  Nov 30, 2024 339   Siena W 67-61 69%    
  Dec 04, 2024 120   St. Bonaventure L 63-68 34%    
  Dec 08, 2024 269   @ Radford L 62-65 39%    
  Dec 21, 2024 6   @ Gonzaga L 59-84 2%    
  Dec 28, 2024 56   @ Syracuse L 63-80 7%    
  Jan 02, 2025 264   @ Lehigh L 68-71 40%    
  Jan 05, 2025 171   Colgate L 64-66 44%    
  Jan 08, 2025 199   Lafayette L 62-63 48%    
  Jan 11, 2025 252   @ American L 62-66 38%    
  Jan 15, 2025 348   Holy Cross W 72-62 80%    
  Jan 18, 2025 258   Navy W 66-63 59%    
  Jan 20, 2025 171   @ Colgate L 61-69 25%    
  Jan 25, 2025 266   @ Boston University L 63-66 39%    
  Jan 29, 2025 350   Loyola Maryland W 70-59 81%    
  Feb 01, 2025 258   @ Navy L 63-66 39%    
  Feb 05, 2025 252   American W 65-63 58%    
  Feb 08, 2025 321   @ Army W 62-61 52%    
  Feb 12, 2025 266   Boston University W 66-63 59%    
  Feb 15, 2025 199   @ Lafayette L 59-66 30%    
  Feb 17, 2025 264   Lehigh W 71-68 60%    
  Feb 23, 2025 321   Army W 65-58 71%    
  Feb 26, 2025 350   @ Loyola Maryland W 67-62 64%    
  Mar 01, 2025 348   @ Holy Cross W 69-65 63%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 1.7 2.6 2.8 1.7 0.7 0.1 10.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.4 3.9 2.5 0.7 0.1 11.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.7 4.2 1.6 0.2 0.0 12.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.0 4.0 1.2 0.1 12.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.4 3.8 0.9 0.0 12.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.9 3.5 0.6 0.0 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.5 4.4 2.7 0.5 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.3 3.3 1.9 0.3 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 2.0 1.1 0.2 6.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.0 10th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.3 5.1 7.2 9.2 10.5 11.6 11.3 10.8 9.3 7.3 5.4 3.5 1.7 0.7 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
16-2 96.9% 1.7    1.5 0.2 0.0
15-3 81.0% 2.8    2.0 0.7 0.0
14-4 48.7% 2.6    1.4 1.0 0.2 0.0
13-5 23.1% 1.7    0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.7% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.1% 10.1 6.2 3.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 58.3% 58.3% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.7% 49.9% 49.9% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.7% 38.8% 38.8% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.1
15-3 3.5% 33.1% 33.1% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 2.3
14-4 5.4% 24.3% 24.3% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 4.1
13-5 7.3% 19.5% 19.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 5.9
12-6 9.3% 12.7% 12.7% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 8.2
11-7 10.8% 9.3% 9.3% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 9.8
10-8 11.3% 6.7% 6.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 10.5
9-9 11.6% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.5 11.1
8-10 10.5% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.3 10.2
7-11 9.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 9.0
6-12 7.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 7.2
5-13 5.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.0
4-14 3.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.3
3-15 1.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.8
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 9.0% 9.0% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.5 4.4 91.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%