IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Coppin St.
Mid-Eastern
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-18.4	#363
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.2	#250
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-12.4	#363

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.0	#352

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.5%	0.0%	0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	n/a	16.0

.500 or above	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
.500 or above in Conference	6.1%	12.4%	6.1%
Conference Champion	0.3%	2.4%	0.3%
Last Place in Conference	59.5%	37.3%	59.5%

First Four	0.5%	0.0%	0.5%
First Round	0.2%	0.0%	0.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Wake Forest (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 8
Quad 3	0 - 5	0 - 13
Quad 4	4 - 12	4 - 25

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	41	@ Wake Forest	L	53-85	0.1%
Nov 06, 2024	125	@ High Point	L	59-83	1%
Nov 09, 2024	241	Rider	L	62-73	15%
Nov 11, 2024	57	@ Virginia	L	42-73	0.2%
Nov 14, 2024	272	@ Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	67-83	7%
Nov 17, 2024	36	@ Miami (FL)	L	53-85	0.2%
Nov 20, 2024	96	@ George Mason	L	49-76	1%
Nov 26, 2024	90	@ Saint Joseph's	L	54-82	1%
Dec 02, 2024	350	Loyola Maryland	L	62-65	41%
Dec 04, 2024	285	@ Wagner	L	51-66	9%
Dec 10, 2024	49	@ North Carolina St.	L	52-83	0.4%
Dec 14, 2024	67	@ Penn St.	L	54-84	0.5%
Dec 21, 2024	258	Navy	L	58-69	18%
Dec 28, 2024	101	@ Georgetown	L	55-82	1%
Jan 04, 2025	256	NC Central	L	61-72	19%
Jan 06, 2025	307	South Carolina St.	L	64-72	25%
Jan 11, 2025	251	@ Norfolk St.	L	57-74	8%
Jan 13, 2025	249	@ Howard	L	60-77	7%
Jan 25, 2025	320	@ Morgan St.	L	64-77	14%
Feb 01, 2025	340	Delaware St.	L	64-68	36%
Feb 03, 2025	359	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	L	60-66	30%
Feb 15, 2025	256	@ NC Central	L	58-75	8%
Feb 17, 2025	307	@ South Carolina St.	L	61-75	13%
Feb 22, 2025	251	Norfolk St.	L	60-71	18%
Feb 24, 2025	249	Howard	L	63-74	18%
Mar 01, 2025	340	@ Delaware St.	L	61-71	19%
Mar 03, 2025	359	Maryland Eastern Shore	L	62-63	49%
Mar 06, 2025	320	Morgan St.	L	67-74	30%
Projected Record						4 - 24	3 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0		0.3	1st
2nd								0.0	0.2	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.8	2nd
3rd							0.1	0.5	0.8	0.3	0.0						1.7	3rd
4th					0.0	0.2	1.1	1.8	0.6	0.0							3.7	4th
5th				0.0	0.4	2.6	3.1	0.9	0.1								7.0	5th
6th			0.1	1.8	5.3	5.1	1.4	0.1									13.8	6th
7th		1.1	6.4	10.2	6.9	1.7	0.1										26.4	7th
8th	9.8	16.8	13.3	5.5	1.1	0.0											46.5	8th

Total	9.8	17.9	19.7	17.5	13.7	9.5	5.8	3.2	1.7	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0		0.0			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
13-1
12-2	92.2%	0.0		0.0	0.0
11-3	69.9%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
10-4	37.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-5	7.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
8-6	0.2%	0.0				0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	0.3%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.0%																							0.0
13-1
12-2	0.0%		29.7%	29.7%		15.7																0.0	0.0	0.0
11-3	0.1%		17.4%	17.4%		16.0																	0.0	0.1
10-4	0.3%		9.7%	9.7%		15.9																0.0	0.0	0.3
9-5	0.7%		6.4%	6.4%		16.0																	0.0	0.7
8-6	1.7%		3.7%	3.7%		16.0																	0.1	1.6
7-7	3.2%		2.5%	2.5%		16.0																	0.1	3.2
6-8	5.8%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	5.7
5-9	9.5%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	9.5
4-10	13.7%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	13.7
3-11	17.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	17.5
2-12	19.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	19.7
1-13	17.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	17.9
0-14	9.8%																							9.8

Total	100%		0.5%	0.5%	0.0%	16.0																0.0	0.5	99.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	5.7%