IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.1	#340
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.3	#93
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-7.8	#352

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.3	#284

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.2%	11.5%	5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.7	15.9

.500 or above	17.3%	49.9%	16.6%
.500 or above in Conference	45.7%	69.1%	45.2%
Conference Champion	6.1%	15.6%	5.9%
Last Place in Conference	11.6%	4.2%	11.8%

First Four	4.2%	6.8%	4.2%
First Round	2.9%	8.2%	2.8%
Second Round	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Tech (Away) - 2.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 4	1 - 8
Quad 4	9 - 9	9 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	74	@ Virginia Tech	L	60-82	2%
Nov 09, 2024	230	@ Columbia	L	68-79	16%
Nov 19, 2024	48	@ Providence	L	58-82	2%
Nov 23, 2024	270	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	66-75	21%
Nov 29, 2024	17	@ Texas	L	57-84	1%
Dec 03, 2024	187	@ Delaware	L	63-76	13%
Dec 07, 2024	350	Loyola Maryland	W	70-65	66%
Dec 11, 2024	343	NJIT	W	71-67	62%
Dec 19, 2024	273	Grambling St.	L	63-69	31%
Dec 20, 2024	293	Alabama St.	L	66-70	35%
Dec 28, 2024	90	@ Saint Joseph's	L	61-82	4%
Jan 04, 2025	249	@ Howard	L	67-77	20%
Jan 06, 2025	251	Norfolk St.	L	67-71	37%
Jan 11, 2025	307	South Carolina St.	L	71-72	48%
Jan 13, 2025	256	@ NC Central	L	65-74	22%
Jan 25, 2025	359	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	67-66	53%
Feb 01, 2025	363	@ Coppin St.	W	68-64	64%
Feb 03, 2025	320	Morgan St.	W	75-74	52%
Feb 15, 2025	249	Howard	L	70-74	37%
Feb 17, 2025	251	@ Norfolk St.	L	64-74	21%
Feb 22, 2025	307	South Carolina St.	L	71-72	48%
Feb 24, 2025	256	NC Central	L	68-71	39%
Mar 01, 2025	363	Coppin St.	W	71-61	81%
Mar 03, 2025	320	@ Morgan St.	L	72-77	33%
Mar 06, 2025	359	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	70-63	72%
Projected Record						9 - 16	6 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.4	1.5	2.2	1.4	0.5	0.1		6.1	1st
2nd								0.0	0.9	3.1	3.5	1.2	0.2				8.9	2nd
3rd							0.1	1.5	5.2	4.5	1.0	0.0					12.3	3rd
4th					0.0	0.2	2.5	6.8	4.9	0.8	0.0						15.2	4th
5th				0.0	0.5	4.1	8.1	4.9	0.6	0.0							18.3	5th
6th			0.0	1.3	5.6	7.9	3.6	0.4	0.0								18.8	6th
7th		0.2	2.0	5.1	4.8	1.7	0.1										13.8	7th
8th	0.5	1.7	2.5	1.6	0.4	0.0											6.6	8th

Total	0.5	1.8	4.5	8.0	11.3	13.8	14.5	13.7	11.6	8.7	5.9	3.5	1.6	0.5	0.1			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
13-1	100.0%	0.5		0.5	0.0
12-2	90.4%	1.4		1.1	0.3	0.0
11-3	62.9%	2.2		1.1	0.9	0.1	0.0
10-4	24.6%	1.5		0.3	0.7	0.4	0.1
9-5	4.3%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
8-6	0.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	6.1%	6.1		3.2	2.1	0.7	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.1%		44.3%	44.3%		14.9														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
13-1	0.5%		41.1%	41.1%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3
12-2	1.6%		29.9%	29.9%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	1.1
11-3	3.5%		21.6%	21.6%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.7	2.7
10-4	5.9%		16.0%	16.0%		16.0																0.0	0.9	5.0
9-5	8.7%		10.6%	10.6%		16.0																0.0	0.9	7.8
8-6	11.6%		6.3%	6.3%		16.0																0.0	0.7	10.9
7-7	13.7%		3.6%	3.6%		16.0																	0.5	13.2
6-8	14.5%		2.3%	2.3%		16.0																	0.3	14.1
5-9	13.8%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.2	13.6
4-10	11.3%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	11.2
3-11	8.0%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	7.9
2-12	4.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.5
1-13	1.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	1.8
0-14	0.5%																							0.5

Total	100%		5.2%	5.2%	0.0%	15.9														0.0	0.1	0.3	4.8	94.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%