Preseason Rankings
Hawaii
Big West
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#192
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.3#273
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#236
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#153
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.3% 10.5% 5.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.4 14.0
.500 or above 56.1% 68.1% 41.2%
.500 or above in Conference 62.7% 70.3% 53.2%
Conference Champion 9.1% 11.8% 5.8%
Last Place in Conference 4.1% 2.7% 5.9%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round8.2% 10.5% 5.4%
Second Round1.0% 1.3% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Jose St. (Home) - 55.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 64 - 9
Quad 411 - 515 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 160   San Jose St. W 68-67 55%    
  Nov 12, 2024 314   Pacific W 75-65 82%    
  Nov 17, 2024 179   Weber St. W 68-66 58%    
  Nov 23, 2024 7   North Carolina L 65-80 9%    
  Dec 03, 2024 69   @ Grand Canyon L 63-76 13%    
  Dec 07, 2024 245   @ Long Beach St. L 72-73 48%    
  Dec 15, 2024 219   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 71-66 65%    
  Dec 22, 2024 126   Charlotte L 62-63 48%    
  Jan 03, 2025 167   UC Santa Barbara W 70-68 55%    
  Jan 05, 2025 345   Cal Poly W 71-58 87%    
  Jan 09, 2025 183   @ UC Riverside L 66-70 38%    
  Jan 11, 2025 244   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 65-66 49%    
  Jan 17, 2025 239   Cal St. Northridge W 75-70 67%    
  Jan 19, 2025 278   Cal St. Bakersfield W 67-60 72%    
  Jan 23, 2025 191   @ UC Davis L 65-68 39%    
  Jan 25, 2025 103   @ UC Irvine L 64-74 21%    
  Jan 31, 2025 162   UC San Diego W 68-67 55%    
  Feb 02, 2025 244   Cal St. Fullerton W 68-62 67%    
  Feb 06, 2025 345   @ Cal Poly W 68-61 73%    
  Feb 08, 2025 167   @ UC Santa Barbara L 67-71 36%    
  Feb 14, 2025 245   Long Beach St. W 76-70 68%    
  Feb 16, 2025 103   UC Irvine L 67-71 38%    
  Feb 22, 2025 162   @ UC San Diego L 65-70 35%    
  Feb 28, 2025 183   UC Riverside W 69-67 58%    
  Mar 02, 2025 191   UC Davis W 68-65 59%    
  Mar 06, 2025 278   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 64-63 53%    
  Mar 08, 2025 239   @ Cal St. Northridge L 72-73 48%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.7 2.4 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.1 9.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.8 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1 11.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.0 4.3 3.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 12.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.8 3.2 4.7 2.4 0.4 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 3.5 4.5 2.0 0.3 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 3.4 4.2 1.7 0.2 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.3 3.8 1.5 0.2 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.9 3.2 1.2 0.1 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.5 2.3 0.9 0.1 7.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.7 1.3 0.4 0.1 5.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.3 3.5 5.1 6.6 8.5 9.4 10.2 10.3 10.3 9.1 7.9 6.1 4.1 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.1 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
18-2 95.4% 1.3    1.2 0.1
17-3 82.4% 2.2    1.7 0.4 0.0
16-4 57.7% 2.4    1.4 0.8 0.1 0.0
15-5 28.7% 1.7    0.7 0.9 0.2 0.0
14-6 9.4% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.1% 9.1 5.8 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 77.7% 61.5% 16.2% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 42.2%
19-1 0.5% 56.7% 54.9% 1.9% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.1%
18-2 1.4% 48.1% 47.7% 0.4% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.7%
17-3 2.6% 37.0% 36.9% 0.1% 12.8 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.6 0.2%
16-4 4.1% 31.5% 31.5% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 2.8
15-5 6.1% 22.7% 22.7% 13.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 4.7
14-6 7.9% 17.3% 17.3% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 6.6
13-7 9.1% 10.7% 10.7% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 8.2
12-8 10.3% 6.3% 6.3% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 9.7
11-9 10.3% 3.1% 3.1% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 9.9
10-10 10.2% 1.6% 1.6% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.0
9-11 9.4% 0.8% 0.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 9.4
8-12 8.5% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 8.5
7-13 6.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.6
6-14 5.1% 5.1
5-15 3.5% 3.5
4-16 2.3% 2.3
3-17 1.2% 1.2
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.3% 8.3% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.2 2.4 1.6 0.5 91.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%