Preseason Rankings
Oral Roberts
Summit League
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#225
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.4#174
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#180
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#271
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.7% 20.0% 11.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.2 14.9
.500 or above 40.7% 67.9% 37.9%
.500 or above in Conference 63.0% 79.0% 61.3%
Conference Champion 15.5% 27.1% 14.2%
Last Place in Conference 8.9% 3.8% 9.4%
First Four2.8% 1.8% 3.0%
First Round11.5% 19.0% 10.7%
Second Round0.7% 1.8% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Minnesota (Away) - 9.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 53 - 10
Quad 49 - 512 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 76   @ Minnesota L 65-79 9%    
  Nov 13, 2024 148   @ Tulsa L 72-79 26%    
  Nov 19, 2024 144   @ Belmont L 73-80 26%    
  Nov 21, 2024 40   @ Mississippi L 65-82 6%    
  Dec 01, 2024 207   Missouri St. W 72-70 57%    
  Dec 04, 2024 286   Northern Arizona W 77-71 69%    
  Dec 07, 2024 315   @ Idaho St. W 69-67 57%    
  Dec 16, 2024 21   @ Texas Tech L 62-81 5%    
  Dec 22, 2024 87   @ Oklahoma St. L 65-78 13%    
  Jan 04, 2025 205   @ UMKC L 69-73 37%    
  Jan 09, 2025 234   North Dakota St. W 73-70 61%    
  Jan 11, 2025 263   North Dakota W 75-70 65%    
  Jan 16, 2025 274   @ South Dakota L 76-77 47%    
  Jan 18, 2025 178   @ South Dakota St. L 70-76 32%    
  Jan 23, 2025 317   Denver W 81-73 75%    
  Jan 25, 2025 302   Nebraska Omaha W 76-69 72%    
  Jan 29, 2025 201   @ St. Thomas L 66-70 36%    
  Feb 01, 2025 205   UMKC W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 08, 2025 274   South Dakota W 79-74 66%    
  Feb 13, 2025 234   @ North Dakota St. L 70-73 41%    
  Feb 15, 2025 263   @ North Dakota L 72-73 45%    
  Feb 19, 2025 317   @ Denver W 78-76 58%    
  Feb 22, 2025 201   St. Thomas W 69-67 56%    
  Feb 27, 2025 178   South Dakota St. W 74-73 52%    
  Mar 01, 2025 302   @ Nebraska Omaha W 73-72 53%    
Projected Record 11 - 14 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.1 4.0 4.3 2.9 1.4 0.3 15.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.6 5.1 3.4 1.0 0.1 14.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 4.5 5.4 2.3 0.4 0.0 13.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.7 5.5 1.7 0.1 12.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.1 5.2 1.4 0.1 11.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.8 4.6 1.2 0.1 10.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 3.4 3.9 1.1 0.1 9.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.5 2.5 0.8 0.0 7.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.0 5.4 9th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.0 4.7 7.0 9.3 10.7 12.1 12.2 11.1 9.7 7.7 5.3 3.1 1.4 0.3 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
15-1 100.0% 1.4    1.3 0.0
14-2 95.6% 2.9    2.6 0.3
13-3 80.2% 4.3    3.0 1.2 0.1
12-4 51.7% 4.0    1.9 1.7 0.4 0.0
11-5 21.3% 2.1    0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
10-6 4.1% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 15.5% 15.5 9.7 4.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.3% 62.4% 61.7% 0.7% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.9%
15-1 1.4% 52.1% 52.1% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7
14-2 3.1% 43.4% 43.4% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.7
13-3 5.3% 34.8% 34.8% 14.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.1 3.5
12-4 7.7% 27.9% 27.9% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.4 5.6
11-5 9.7% 20.1% 20.1% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.7 7.7
10-6 11.1% 15.0% 15.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 9.5
9-7 12.2% 9.5% 9.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 11.0
8-8 12.1% 6.6% 6.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 11.3
7-9 10.7% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 10.2
6-10 9.3% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.0
5-11 7.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 6.9
4-12 4.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 4.6
3-13 3.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.0
2-14 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.6
1-15 0.6% 0.6
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 12.7% 12.7% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.6 3.5 4.6 87.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%