Preseason Rankings
San Diego
West Coast
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#282
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace76.0#32
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#286
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#251
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.2 12.2 12.0
.500 or above 12.5% 18.6% 5.4%
.500 or above in Conference 11.2% 14.7% 7.2%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 27.4% 22.1% 33.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rider (Home) - 53.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 32 - 63 - 15
Quad 48 - 510 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 241   Rider W 75-74 54%    
  Nov 08, 2024 266   Boston University W 72-70 58%    
  Nov 12, 2024 257   Portland St. W 76-74 57%    
  Nov 16, 2024 315   Idaho St. W 72-67 69%    
  Nov 22, 2024 218   Southern Utah W 78-77 51%    
  Nov 24, 2024 279   Idaho W 73-70 60%    
  Dec 03, 2024 73   @ Arizona St. L 67-84 8%    
  Dec 07, 2024 47   @ San Diego St. L 61-80 5%    
  Dec 10, 2024 245   Long Beach St. W 80-79 54%    
  Dec 14, 2024 250   @ Fresno St. L 68-73 34%    
  Dec 21, 2024 162   UC San Diego L 71-74 40%    
  Dec 28, 2024 69   Grand Canyon L 68-82 12%    
  Dec 30, 2024 314   Pacific W 79-74 67%    
  Jan 02, 2025 98   Santa Clara L 73-82 23%    
  Jan 04, 2025 123   @ Oregon St. L 66-77 17%    
  Jan 08, 2025 6   @ Gonzaga L 66-92 2%    
  Jan 11, 2025 35   St. Mary's L 60-74 12%    
  Jan 16, 2025 91   Washington St. L 66-75 22%    
  Jan 18, 2025 141   @ Loyola Marymount L 68-78 20%    
  Jan 23, 2025 271   @ Portland L 75-78 38%    
  Jan 25, 2025 82   @ San Francisco L 66-82 9%    
  Jan 30, 2025 217   Pepperdine W 75-74 50%    
  Feb 01, 2025 141   Loyola Marymount L 71-75 37%    
  Feb 06, 2025 314   @ Pacific L 76-77 48%    
  Feb 08, 2025 98   @ Santa Clara L 70-85 11%    
  Feb 13, 2025 217   @ Pepperdine L 71-77 31%    
  Feb 15, 2025 82   San Francisco L 69-79 20%    
  Feb 22, 2025 123   Oregon St. L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 27, 2025 91   @ Washington St. L 63-78 11%    
  Mar 01, 2025 271   Portland W 78-75 58%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.5 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.6 5th
6th 0.2 1.3 3.0 2.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 7.0 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 4.8 2.8 0.6 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.0 6.5 3.4 0.6 0.0 15.2 8th
9th 0.0 1.6 6.3 7.5 3.4 0.5 0.0 19.3 9th
10th 0.3 3.3 7.8 6.6 2.3 0.2 0.0 20.5 10th
11th 1.8 5.5 6.6 3.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 18.5 11th
Total 1.8 5.8 9.9 13.1 14.3 14.1 12.4 10.1 7.2 4.9 3.1 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 76.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 38.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 11.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 34.6% 34.6% 11.0 0.0 0.0 34.6%
15-3 0.1% 15.4% 4.8% 10.6% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.1%
14-4 0.2% 6.1% 4.5% 1.6% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.7%
13-5 0.5% 2.6% 2.6% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-6 0.8% 2.1% 2.1% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
11-7 1.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 1.7 0.1%
10-8 3.1% 0.4% 0.4% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1
9-9 4.9% 4.9
8-10 7.2% 0.1% 0.1% 12.5 0.0 0.0 7.2
7-11 10.1% 10.1
6-12 12.4% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 12.4
5-13 14.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.1
4-14 14.3% 14.3
3-15 13.1% 13.1
2-16 9.9% 9.9
1-17 5.8% 5.8
0-18 1.8% 1.8
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%