Preseason Rankings
Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.3#56
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.3#35
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.9#38
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#81
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 2.8% 2.9% 0.3%
Top 4 Seed 8.0% 8.1% 1.4%
Top 6 Seed 14.9% 15.1% 3.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 37.9% 38.3% 14.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 35.5% 35.9% 13.3%
Average Seed 7.1 7.1 8.1
.500 or above 70.9% 71.4% 36.3%
.500 or above in Conference 58.0% 58.4% 31.9%
Conference Champion 4.9% 4.9% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 4.8% 4.6% 15.2%
First Four3.4% 3.5% 1.4%
First Round36.0% 36.4% 13.7%
Second Round21.6% 21.8% 6.2%
Sweet Sixteen9.2% 9.3% 2.8%
Elite Eight3.9% 3.9% 1.1%
Final Four1.6% 1.6% 0.5%
Championship Game0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Le Moyne (Home) - 98.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 7
Quad 25 - 48 - 11
Quad 35 - 213 - 13
Quad 45 - 018 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 335   Le Moyne W 87-64 98%    
  Nov 12, 2024 171   Colgate W 80-67 88%    
  Nov 16, 2024 198   Youngstown St. W 84-70 90%    
  Nov 21, 2024 17   Texas L 74-78 37%    
  Nov 27, 2024 172   Cornell W 90-77 87%    
  Dec 03, 2024 14   @ Tennessee L 72-80 24%    
  Dec 07, 2024 66   @ Notre Dame L 70-72 42%    
  Dec 10, 2024 259   Albany W 92-75 93%    
  Dec 14, 2024 101   Georgetown W 81-74 72%    
  Dec 21, 2024 38   Maryland L 70-72 44%    
  Dec 28, 2024 268   Bucknell W 80-63 93%    
  Dec 31, 2024 41   Wake Forest W 79-77 55%    
  Jan 04, 2025 83   @ Florida St. L 80-81 47%    
  Jan 07, 2025 80   Georgia Tech W 79-74 66%    
  Jan 11, 2025 114   @ Boston College W 77-74 60%    
  Jan 14, 2025 50   Louisville W 81-78 59%    
  Jan 18, 2025 66   Notre Dame W 73-69 63%    
  Jan 22, 2025 43   @ Clemson L 73-77 37%    
  Jan 25, 2025 52   Pittsburgh W 76-73 59%    
  Jan 29, 2025 93   @ Stanford W 79-78 51%    
  Feb 01, 2025 109   @ California W 78-76 58%    
  Feb 05, 2025 4   Duke L 72-78 30%    
  Feb 08, 2025 114   Boston College W 80-71 77%    
  Feb 11, 2025 36   @ Miami (FL) L 76-81 35%    
  Feb 15, 2025 7   North Carolina L 78-82 36%    
  Feb 18, 2025 52   @ Pittsburgh L 73-76 40%    
  Feb 26, 2025 49   North Carolina St. W 78-75 58%    
  Mar 01, 2025 74   @ Virginia Tech L 76-77 46%    
  Mar 04, 2025 78   @ SMU L 76-77 46%    
  Mar 08, 2025 57   Virginia W 66-63 60%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.1 4.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.1 1.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 6.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.7 2.0 0.5 0.1 6.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 3.0 2.1 0.5 0.0 6.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.0 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 3.2 0.9 0.1 6.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.5 1.6 0.1 0.0 6.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.1 2.5 0.3 0.0 6.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.8 3.5 0.9 0.0 6.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.4 1.8 0.1 6.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.3 2.8 0.4 0.0 5.9 11th
12th 0.1 1.2 3.0 1.1 0.0 5.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 2.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 5.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.2 0.5 0.0 4.7 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.2 0.9 0.1 4.4 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.2 16th
17th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.5 17th
18th 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.6 18th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.6 3.0 4.3 6.0 7.5 8.5 9.8 10.3 10.0 9.5 8.4 6.9 5.2 3.6 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 98.7% 0.4    0.4 0.0
18-2 88.2% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
17-3 61.7% 1.4    0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
16-4 32.9% 1.2    0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-5 10.7% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.9% 4.9 2.7 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 100.0% 40.9% 59.1% 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.4% 100.0% 31.6% 68.4% 1.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 1.2% 99.8% 24.7% 75.1% 2.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
17-3 2.3% 99.9% 19.0% 80.9% 3.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
16-4 3.6% 99.5% 16.3% 83.2% 4.2 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.4%
15-5 5.2% 97.5% 12.4% 85.2% 5.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 97.2%
14-6 6.9% 91.3% 8.7% 82.6% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 90.5%
13-7 8.4% 78.9% 5.4% 73.5% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.0 1.8 77.7%
12-8 9.5% 60.7% 2.8% 57.9% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.7 59.6%
11-9 10.0% 38.4% 1.6% 36.8% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 6.2 37.4%
10-10 10.3% 20.1% 1.0% 19.1% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 8.3 19.3%
9-11 9.8% 5.5% 0.2% 5.3% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 9.3 5.3%
8-12 8.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4 0.8%
7-13 7.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5 0.1%
6-14 6.0% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 6.0
5-15 4.3% 4.3
4-16 3.0% 3.0
3-17 1.6% 1.6
2-18 0.9% 0.9
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 37.9% 3.8% 34.2% 7.1 1.0 1.8 2.4 2.8 3.3 3.6 4.4 5.0 4.9 4.4 3.8 0.5 0.0 62.1 35.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0