IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.9	#336
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.1	#279
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.2	#343

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.7	#328

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.6%	9.7%	3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.3	15.8

.500 or above	24.6%	58.5%	24.0%
.500 or above in Conference	36.3%	62.0%	35.9%
Conference Champion	3.6%	10.9%	3.5%
Last Place in Conference	18.1%	6.3%	18.3%

First Four	2.4%	3.9%	2.4%
First Round	2.3%	8.3%	2.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.6%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Georgia (Away) - 1.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	0 - 3	1 - 6
Quad 4	11 - 12	11 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	61	@ Georgia	L	58-81	2%
Nov 12, 2024	351	West Georgia	W	71-66	67%
Nov 15, 2024	361	VMI	W	77-72	68%
Nov 19, 2024	71	@ Central Florida	L	58-80	2%
Nov 27, 2024	303	Presbyterian	L	68-69	48%
Nov 29, 2024	89	@ Vanderbilt	L	58-79	3%
Dec 04, 2024	231	@ North Alabama	L	65-75	18%
Dec 07, 2024	351	@ West Georgia	L	68-69	46%
Dec 17, 2024	294	@ Western Illinois	L	61-68	27%
Dec 19, 2024	349	@ Lindenwood	L	67-68	45%
Jan 02, 2025	328	Southern Indiana	W	71-69	56%
Jan 04, 2025	224	Morehead St.	L	62-67	34%
Jan 09, 2025	326	@ Eastern Illinois	L	65-69	36%
Jan 11, 2025	316	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	65-70	32%
Jan 16, 2025	327	Southeast Missouri St.	W	70-68	56%
Jan 18, 2025	267	Arkansas Little Rock	L	69-72	41%
Jan 23, 2025	309	@ Tennessee St.	L	66-72	30%
Jan 25, 2025	323	@ Tennessee Martin	L	72-77	35%
Jan 30, 2025	224	@ Morehead St.	L	59-70	18%
Feb 01, 2025	328	@ Southern Indiana	L	68-72	37%
Feb 06, 2025	316	SIU Edwardsville	W	68-67	52%
Feb 08, 2025	326	Eastern Illinois	W	68-66	56%
Feb 13, 2025	267	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	66-75	24%
Feb 15, 2025	327	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	67-71	36%
Feb 20, 2025	323	Tennessee Martin	W	75-74	55%
Feb 22, 2025	309	Tennessee St.	L	68-69	49%
Feb 27, 2025	294	Western Illinois	L	64-65	46%
Mar 01, 2025	349	Lindenwood	W	70-65	65%
Projected Record						11 - 17	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.5	0.9	1.0	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0		3.6	1st
2nd												0.0	0.5	1.5	1.8	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0				5.5	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.7	2.3	2.2	0.9	0.2	0.0	0.0					6.5	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	0.9	3.0	2.7	0.9	0.1	0.0							7.7	4th
5th									0.1	1.0	3.5	2.9	0.9	0.1	0.0								8.5	5th
6th								0.1	1.2	3.8	3.4	1.0	0.0										9.5	6th
7th							0.1	1.4	4.1	4.0	1.1	0.1	0.0										10.7	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	1.6	4.1	3.9	1.2	0.1												11.1	8th
9th				0.0	0.5	2.2	4.2	3.8	1.2	0.1	0.0												12.1	9th
10th		0.0	0.2	1.2	2.8	4.0	3.1	0.9	0.1	0.0													12.4	10th
11th	0.3	1.1	2.7	3.3	2.9	1.6	0.5	0.0															12.4	11th

Total	0.3	1.1	2.9	4.5	6.2	8.0	9.5	10.3	10.5	10.2	9.1	7.8	6.5	4.9	3.3	2.3	1.4	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
18-2	98.1%	0.3		0.2	0.0
17-3	87.4%	0.6		0.5	0.1	0.0
16-4	67.9%	1.0		0.6	0.3	0.0
15-5	40.5%	0.9		0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0
14-6	15.6%	0.5		0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	3.9%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	3.6%	3.6		2.0	1.2	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		42.9%	42.9%		13.3														0.0		0.0		0.0
19-1	0.1%		55.4%	55.4%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
18-2	0.3%		37.6%	37.6%		15.1															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
17-3	0.7%		43.0%	43.0%		15.5															0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4
16-4	1.4%		27.4%	27.4%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.3	1.0
15-5	2.3%		22.3%	22.3%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.4	1.8
14-6	3.3%		18.6%	18.6%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.6	2.7
13-7	4.9%		11.3%	11.3%		16.0																0.0	0.5	4.3
12-8	6.5%		6.9%	6.9%		16.0																0.0	0.4	6.1
11-9	7.8%		2.9%	2.9%		16.0																	0.2	7.5
10-10	9.1%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.2	8.9
9-11	10.2%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	10.1
8-12	10.5%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	10.5
7-13	10.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.3
6-14	9.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	9.5
5-15	8.0%																							8.0
4-16	6.2%																							6.2
3-17	4.5%																							4.5
2-18	2.9%																							2.9
1-19	1.1%																							1.1
0-20	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		3.6%	3.6%	0.0%	15.8													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	3.1	96.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%