IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
West Virginia
Big 12
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	+8.5	#65
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.1	#127
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.9	#54

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+3.6	#78

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.6%	0.7%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	1.7%	1.8%	0.2%
Top 4 Seed	5.6%	5.8%	0.9%
Top 6 Seed	11.7%	12.1%	2.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid	30.8%	31.7%	11.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	29.9%	30.7%	10.7%
Average Seed	7.3	7.3	8.3

.500 or above	52.5%	53.9%	22.3%
.500 or above in Conference	32.4%	33.2%	15.4%
Conference Champion	1.2%	1.2%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	12.2%	11.6%	24.5%

First Four	4.4%	4.5%	2.5%
First Round	28.7%	29.5%	9.8%
Second Round	16.7%	17.2%	5.4%
Sweet Sixteen	7.0%	7.2%	2.2%
Elite Eight	2.8%	2.9%	0.9%
Final Four	1.2%	1.2%	0.4%
Championship Game	0.5%	0.5%	0.2%
National Champion	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%

Next Game: Robert Morris (Home) - 95.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 7	2 - 7
Quad 1b	2 - 3	3 - 11
Quad 2	4 - 3	7 - 14
Quad 3	3 - 1	10 - 15
Quad 4	5 - 0	15 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	295	Robert Morris	W	82-64	96%
Nov 08, 2024	116	Massachusetts	W	78-69	79%
Nov 15, 2024	52	@ Pittsburgh	L	69-73	36%
Nov 20, 2024	210	Iona	W	79-65	89%
Nov 27, 2024	6	Gonzaga	L	73-81	23%
Dec 06, 2024	101	Georgetown	W	77-71	70%
Dec 10, 2024	256	NC Central	W	80-64	92%
Dec 14, 2024	298	Bethune-Cookman	W	84-65	95%
Dec 22, 2024	362	Mercyhurst	W	86-57	99%
Dec 31, 2024	2	@ Kansas	L	69-82	13%
Jan 04, 2025	87	Oklahoma St.	W	74-69	65%
Jan 07, 2025	11	Arizona	L	77-81	35%
Jan 12, 2025	79	@ Colorado	L	72-74	44%
Jan 15, 2025	3	@ Houston	L	60-73	13%
Jan 18, 2025	8	Iowa St.	L	68-73	35%
Jan 21, 2025	73	Arizona St.	W	76-72	63%
Jan 25, 2025	39	@ Kansas St.	L	69-75	33%
Jan 29, 2025	3	Houston	L	63-70	28%
Feb 02, 2025	27	@ Cincinnati	L	69-75	30%
Feb 05, 2025	53	@ TCU	L	74-78	37%
Feb 08, 2025	77	Utah	W	77-73	63%
Feb 11, 2025	32	BYU	L	75-76	50%
Feb 15, 2025	9	@ Baylor	L	67-78	19%
Feb 19, 2025	27	Cincinnati	L	72-73	49%
Feb 22, 2025	21	@ Texas Tech	L	69-76	28%
Feb 25, 2025	53	TCU	W	77-75	57%
Mar 01, 2025	32	@ BYU	L	73-79	31%
Mar 04, 2025	77	@ Utah	L	74-76	44%
Mar 08, 2025	71	Central Florida	W	75-71	62%
Projected Record						15 - 14	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big 12 Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0		1.2	1st
2nd													0.0	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0			2.1	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.2	0.9	1.1	0.6	0.1	0.0					2.9	3rd
4th											0.0	0.1	0.9	1.6	0.8	0.1	0.0						3.6	4th
5th										0.0	0.1	1.0	2.2	1.2	0.2	0.0							4.6	5th
6th										0.0	0.8	2.5	1.8	0.3	0.0								5.4	6th
7th									0.0	0.5	2.5	2.6	0.7	0.0									6.3	7th
8th								0.0	0.3	2.2	3.2	1.1	0.1										6.8	8th
9th								0.1	1.7	3.8	1.8	0.2											7.6	9th
10th						0.0	0.1	1.1	3.8	2.7	0.4	0.0											8.1	10th
11th						0.0	0.7	3.2	3.5	0.9	0.0												8.3	11th
12th					0.0	0.5	2.7	4.1	1.5	0.1													8.9	12th
13th			0.0	0.0	0.5	2.3	3.9	2.1	0.2	0.0													9.0	13th
14th			0.0	0.4	2.3	3.7	2.2	0.4	0.0														9.0	14th
15th		0.1	0.6	2.2	3.3	2.1	0.5	0.0															8.8	15th
16th	0.3	1.2	2.1	2.1	1.2	0.3	0.0															7.2	16th

Total	0.3	1.3	2.7	4.7	7.3	9.0	10.1	11.0	11.0	10.2	8.9	7.4	5.9	4.1	2.8	1.7	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0		Total

Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	89.7%	0.0		0.0	0.0
18-2	94.3%	0.2		0.1	0.0
17-3	67.8%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
16-4	36.4%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
15-5	12.7%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	2.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
13-7	0.0%	0.0					0.0
12-8	0.0%	0.0					0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.2%	1.2		0.6	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		100.0%	50.0%	50.0%	1.3		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
19-1	0.0%		100.0%	41.2%	58.8%	1.2		0.0	0.0	0.0																100.0%
18-2	0.2%		100.0%	23.2%	76.8%	1.7		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0															100.0%
17-3	0.4%		100.0%	22.7%	77.3%	1.9		0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0														100.0%
16-4	0.9%		100.0%	16.8%	83.2%	2.7		0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0												100.0%
15-5	1.7%		99.8%	11.7%	88.1%	3.5		0.1	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.0		99.8%
14-6	2.8%		99.6%	8.8%	90.9%	4.6		0.1	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0							0.0		99.6%
13-7	4.1%		98.4%	4.8%	93.6%	5.9		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.9	0.9	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0						0.1		98.4%
12-8	5.9%		93.8%	2.9%	90.9%	7.2			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.0	1.0	1.0	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.0					0.4		93.6%
11-9	7.4%		82.3%	1.3%	80.9%	8.3			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.9	1.3	1.2	1.0	0.7	0.1					1.3		82.0%
10-10	8.9%		60.1%	0.4%	59.7%	9.4				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.8	1.0	1.2	1.2	0.3	0.0				3.5		60.0%
9-11	10.2%		26.2%	0.4%	25.8%	10.3						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.6	1.2	0.3	0.0				7.5		25.9%
8-12	11.0%		8.1%	0.2%	7.9%	11.0							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.5	0.2	0.0				10.1		7.9%
7-13	11.0%		1.3%	0.1%	1.2%	11.1								0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0				10.8		1.2%
6-14	10.1%		0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	12.2													0.0	0.0				10.1		0.1%
5-15	9.0%																							9.0
4-16	7.3%																							7.3
3-17	4.7%																							4.7
2-18	2.7%																							2.7
1-19	1.3%																							1.3
0-20	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		30.8%	1.4%	29.5%	7.3		0.6	1.1	1.8	2.1	2.8	3.2	3.4	3.8	3.6	3.4	3.9	1.0	0.0				69.2		29.9%