Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Carolina
Southern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#283
Expected Predictive Rating-9.0#307
Pace73.2#75
Improvement+1.6#115

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#239
First Shot-1.7#238
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#200
Layup/Dunks+0.0#177
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#344
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#66
Freethrows-0.5#223
Improvement+3.0#57

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#301
First Shot-6.4#336
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#42
Layups/Dunks-7.0#351
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#66
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#98
Freethrows-2.4#318
Improvement-1.3#245
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 3.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 4.00.0 - 7.0
Quad 20.0 - 6.00.0 - 13.0
Quad 31.0 - 7.01.0 - 20.0
Quad 45.0 - 5.06.0 - 25.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 132   @ Wright St. L 73-96 13%     0 - 1 -17.7 -4.5 -10.7
  Nov 10, 2018 126   College of Charleston L 74-77 24%     0 - 2 -2.7 +2.6 -5.3
  Nov 14, 2018 110   @ SMU L 65-98 10%     0 - 3 -26.0 -11.6 -12.5
  Nov 20, 2018 129   Jacksonville St. L 53-84 18%     0 - 4 -28.1 -21.8 -3.7
  Nov 21, 2018 109   Southern Miss L 63-68 15%     0 - 5 -0.7 -7.5 +6.8
  Nov 24, 2018 264   Jacksonville W 77-65 57%     1 - 5 +3.2 -3.5 +6.0
  Nov 27, 2018 153   @ Wake Forest L 64-71 16%     1 - 6 -3.3 -10.2 +7.2
  Dec 01, 2018 61   @ Furman L 88-90 2OT 6%     1 - 7 0 - 1 +8.8 +7.2 +2.0
  Dec 05, 2018 31   @ North Carolina St. L 67-100 3%     1 - 8 -17.8 -9.6 -2.7
  Dec 08, 2018 347   @ UNC Asheville W 71-59 72%     2 - 8 -0.9 +2.3 -1.2
  Dec 15, 2018 236   @ High Point L 59-86 30%     2 - 9 -28.6 -6.9 -24.4
  Dec 18, 2018 36   @ Iowa L 60-78 4%     2 - 10 -3.9 -9.0 +5.0
  Dec 21, 2018 112   @ Bowling Green L 52-73 10%     2 - 11 -14.1 -14.9 -0.5
  Dec 29, 2018 25   Wofford L 54-74 6%     2 - 12 0 - 2 -9.3 -12.2 +1.4
  Jan 03, 2019 265   Chattanooga L 62-73 58%     2 - 13 0 - 3 -19.9 -9.6 -11.5
  Jan 05, 2019 159   Samford W 76-69 34%     3 - 13 1 - 3 +4.4 +6.4 -1.5
  Jan 10, 2019 203   @ Mercer L 80-84 25%     3 - 14 1 - 4 -3.8 +10.2 -14.2
  Jan 12, 2019 278   @ The Citadel W 94-82 39%     4 - 14 2 - 4 +8.1 -5.9 +11.3
  Jan 17, 2019 97   UNC Greensboro L 60-69 19%     4 - 15 2 - 5 -6.6 -7.5 +0.5
  Jan 19, 2019 295   @ VMI L 83-91 43%     4 - 16 2 - 6 -13.1 +5.3 -18.4
  Jan 26, 2019 89   East Tennessee St. L 69-91 18%     4 - 17 2 - 7 -19.1 -3.5 -15.3
  Jan 31, 2019 265   @ Chattanooga W 105-96 36%     5 - 17 3 - 7 +5.7 +24.4 -19.2
  Feb 02, 2019 159   @ Samford L 81-92 18%     5 - 18 3 - 8 -8.0 +5.3 -12.9
  Feb 07, 2019 61   Furman L 45-64 13%     5 - 19 3 - 9 -13.7 -23.0 +8.8
  Feb 09, 2019 25   @ Wofford L 56-83 3%     5 - 20 3 - 10 -10.8 -11.6 +0.9
  Feb 14, 2019 203   Mercer L 65-74 44%     5 - 21 3 - 11 -14.4 -10.7 -3.7
  Feb 16, 2019 278   The Citadel W 103-82 60%     6 - 21 4 - 11 +11.5 +10.6 -1.2
  Feb 21, 2019 97   @ UNC Greensboro L 76-79 OT 9%     6 - 22 4 - 12 +4.9 -2.0 +7.4
  Feb 23, 2019 295   VMI L 78-83 64%     6 - 23 4 - 13 -15.7 -8.8 -6.4
  Mar 02, 2019 89   @ East Tennessee St. L 74-81 8%     6 - 24 4 - 14 +1.4 +3.1 -1.5
  Mar 08, 2019 295   VMI L 83-96 54%     6 - 25 -20.9 +0.9 -21.3
Projected Record 6.0 - 25.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%