IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Texas A&M
Southeastern
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	+8.2	#64
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.0	#125
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.5	#78

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.7	#43

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.6%	0.6%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	1.5%	5.3%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	5.3%	5.3%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	10.9%	5.3%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	33.5%	33.6%	0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	31.3%	31.4%	0.2%
Average Seed	7.6	7.6	13.7

.500 or above	61.3%	61.5%	10.5%
.500 or above in Conference	43.8%	43.9%	5.9%
Conference Champion	2.4%	2.4%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	8.2%	8.2%	16.5%

First Four	4.0%	4.0%	0.2%
First Round	31.4%	31.5%	0.5%
Second Round	17.0%	17.0%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	6.8%	6.8%	0.0%
Elite Eight	2.6%	2.6%	0.0%
Final Four	1.1%	1.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.4%	0.4%	0.0%
National Champion	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%

Next Game: Savannah St. (Home) - 99.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1.4 - 6.0	1.4 - 6.0
Quad 1b	1.9 - 3.0	3.2 - 9.1
Quad 2	3.7 - 3.2	7.0 - 12.2
Quad 3	4.0 - 1.6	11.0 - 13.8
Quad 4	4.8 - 0.4	15.8 - 14.2

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2018	353	Savannah St.	W	99-73	99.7%
Nov 09, 2018	90	UC Irvine	W	71-68	70%
Nov 15, 2018	5	@ Gonzaga	L	70-80	12%
Nov 18, 2018	68	Minnesota	W	76-75	51%
Nov 20, 2018	42	Washington	L	73-75	43%
Nov 23, 2018	150	South Alabama	W	77-70	82%
Dec 03, 2018	328	Northwestern St.	W	80-61	97%
Dec 15, 2018	82	@ Oregon St.	W	71-69	48%
Dec 19, 2018	120	Valparaiso	W	75-70	75%
Dec 22, 2018	99	Marshall	W	83-79	71%
Dec 29, 2018	243	Texas Southern	W	83-70	91%
Jan 05, 2019	94	Arkansas	W	76-73	69%
Jan 08, 2019	3	@ Kentucky	L	70-80	13%
Jan 12, 2019	39	@ Alabama	L	71-73	33%
Jan 16, 2019	13	Auburn	L	75-81	40%
Jan 19, 2019	51	Missouri	L	69-70	55%
Jan 22, 2019	16	@ Florida	L	68-74	24%
Jan 26, 2019	14	Kansas St.	L	66-72	39%
Jan 30, 2019	46	LSU	L	74-76	55%
Feb 02, 2019	9	Tennessee	L	66-74	34%
Feb 06, 2019	118	@ Mississippi	W	78-73	55%
Feb 09, 2019	51	@ Missouri	L	69-70	35%
Feb 12, 2019	80	Georgia	W	67-65	67%
Feb 16, 2019	61	@ South Carolina	L	70-71	38%
Feb 19, 2019	39	Alabama	L	71-73	53%
Feb 23, 2019	94	@ Arkansas	W	76-73	51%
Feb 26, 2019	46	@ LSU	L	74-76	36%
Mar 02, 2019	83	Vanderbilt	W	73-71	66%
Mar 05, 2019	61	South Carolina	L	70-71	58%
Mar 09, 2019	21	@ Mississippi St.	L	69-74	25%
Projected Record						15.8 - 14.2	8.1 - 9.9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southeastern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.4	0.6	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.0		2.4	1st
2nd												0.1	0.8	1.6	1.3	0.6	0.1				4.5	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.9	2.5	1.6	0.4	0.1					5.5	3rd
4th										0.0	0.8	2.9	2.2	0.5	0.0						6.5	4th
5th									0.0	0.7	3.2	2.9	0.8	0.0							7.6	5th
6th								0.0	0.4	2.7	4.1	0.9	0.0								8.1	6th
7th								0.2	2.5	4.3	1.9	0.2									9.1	7th
8th							0.1	1.6	4.2	2.5	0.3	0.0									8.7	8th
9th						0.0	1.2	4.4	3.5	0.5											9.5	9th
10th					0.0	0.8	3.6	3.7	0.9	0.0											9.1	10th
11th				0.0	0.5	2.9	4.0	1.6	0.1												9.1	11th
12th			0.0	0.5	2.5	3.4	1.6	0.2													8.2	12th
13th		0.1	0.8	1.9	2.7	1.2	0.2	0.0													6.9	13th
14th	0.3	0.8	1.6	1.3	0.6	0.1	0.0														4.8	14th

Total	0.3	0.9	2.5	3.7	6.4	8.5	10.5	11.7	11.7	10.7	10.4	7.8	6.4	4.1	2.4	1.3	0.6	0.2	0.0			Total

Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	82.8%	0.5		0.4	0.1
15-3	46.2%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0
14-4	25.2%	0.6		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0
13-5	9.1%	0.4		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0							0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.4%	2.4		1.2	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		100.0%	3.4%	96.6%	1.5		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
17-1	0.2%		100.0%	13.2%	86.8%	1.7		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0															100.0%
16-2	0.6%		100.0%	28.4%	71.6%	2.0		0.2	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0													100.0%
15-3	1.3%		100.0%	13.9%	86.0%	3.2		0.2	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		100.0%
14-4	2.4%		98.3%	10.7%	87.6%	4.4		0.1	0.3	0.6	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.0		98.1%
13-5	4.1%		97.9%	9.4%	88.5%	5.5		0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.9	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.1		97.6%
12-6	6.4%		93.3%	7.0%	86.3%	6.9		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.1	1.3	1.0	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0					0.4		92.8%
11-7	7.8%		80.2%	5.5%	74.8%	8.2				0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.1	1.2	1.1	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0				1.5		79.1%
10-8	10.4%		62.2%	3.4%	58.8%	9.3					0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.0	1.6	1.5	1.3	0.2	0.0	0.0			3.9		60.9%
9-9	10.7%		37.2%	2.7%	34.6%	9.9							0.0	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.1	1.2	0.3	0.0		0.0		6.7		35.5%
8-10	11.7%		13.4%	2.1%	11.3%	10.4								0.1	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0		0.0	10.1		11.6%
7-11	11.7%		3.9%	1.0%	3.0%	11.4									0.0	0.1	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	11.2		3.0%
6-12	10.5%		1.8%	1.3%	0.5%	12.7											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	10.3		0.5%
5-13	8.5%		0.7%	0.7%		15.5														0.0		0.0	0.0	8.4
4-14	6.4%		1.5%	1.5%		14.6												0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	6.3
3-15	3.7%		0.5%	0.5%		15.2															0.0	0.0	0.0	3.7
2-16	2.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	2.5
1-17	0.9%																							0.9
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		33.5%	3.2%	30.3%	7.6		0.6	0.9	1.6	2.2	2.6	3.0	4.1	4.0	4.5	4.6	3.9	1.0	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	66.5		31.3%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	1.0	100.0