Preseason Rankings
College of Charleston
Colonial Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#162
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.3#292
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#175
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#174
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 1.0% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.0% 24.6% 15.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 2.4% 0.2%
Average Seed 13.9 12.3 14.0
.500 or above 62.3% 87.4% 60.9%
.500 or above in Conference 72.3% 87.5% 71.4%
Conference Champion 20.8% 34.5% 20.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.0% 1.0% 5.2%
First Four1.5% 1.4% 1.5%
First Round15.3% 23.5% 14.8%
Second Round1.8% 4.6% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 1.5% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina (Away) - 5.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 34 - 55 - 9
Quad 410 - 314 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 23   @ North Carolina L 65-82 6%    
  Dec 02, 2020 53   Richmond L 68-75 26%    
  Dec 09, 2020 110   Marshall L 77-78 45%    
  Dec 11, 2020 347   South Carolina St. W 81-59 97%    
  Dec 18, 2020 182   Western Carolina W 77-73 63%    
  Dec 21, 2020 106   @ Georgia St. L 71-79 25%    
  Jan 02, 2021 197   @ Delaware L 71-72 46%    
  Jan 03, 2021 197   @ Delaware L 71-72 47%    
  Jan 09, 2021 190   Drexel W 73-68 65%    
  Jan 10, 2021 190   Drexel W 73-68 66%    
  Jan 16, 2021 163   Northeastern W 69-66 60%    
  Jan 17, 2021 163   Northeastern W 69-66 60%    
  Jan 23, 2021 254   @ William & Mary W 71-69 58%    
  Jan 24, 2021 254   @ William & Mary W 71-69 59%    
  Jan 30, 2021 249   @ James Madison W 77-75 57%    
  Jan 31, 2021 249   @ James Madison W 77-75 57%    
  Feb 06, 2021 184   Towson W 69-65 64%    
  Feb 07, 2021 184   Towson W 69-65 63%    
  Feb 13, 2021 215   Elon W 72-65 71%    
  Feb 14, 2021 215   Elon W 72-65 71%    
  Feb 20, 2021 152   @ Hofstra L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 21, 2021 152   @ Hofstra L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 25, 2021 253   @ UNC Wilmington W 70-68 58%    
  Feb 27, 2021 253   UNC Wilmington W 73-65 76%    
Projected Record 13 - 11 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.2 3.3 5.2 5.2 3.5 1.7 0.6 20.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.9 5.0 2.8 0.8 0.1 15.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.5 5.2 4.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 13.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.8 3.1 0.8 0.1 11.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 4.3 3.1 0.6 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.7 2.6 0.4 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.1 2.2 0.3 0.0 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 5.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.0 10th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.2 3.5 5.2 6.5 8.2 9.6 10.9 11.0 10.9 9.8 8.1 6.0 3.6 1.7 0.6 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
17-1 100.0% 1.7    1.7 0.0
16-2 96.5% 3.5    3.2 0.3
15-3 86.4% 5.2    4.1 1.1 0.0
14-4 63.5% 5.2    3.1 1.8 0.2 0.0
13-5 34.0% 3.3    1.2 1.6 0.6 0.0 0.0
12-6 10.8% 1.2    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 20.8% 20.8 14.1 5.3 1.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.6% 80.7% 70.2% 10.6% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 35.4%
17-1 1.7% 64.2% 58.6% 5.5% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 13.4%
16-2 3.6% 48.1% 46.3% 1.8% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.9 3.4%
15-3 6.0% 38.4% 38.1% 0.3% 13.3 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.7 0.5%
14-4 8.1% 31.7% 31.7% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 5.6
13-5 9.8% 23.2% 23.1% 0.1% 14.3 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.2 7.5 0.1%
12-6 10.9% 18.0% 18.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.4 8.9
11-7 11.0% 12.8% 12.8% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 9.6
10-8 10.9% 7.8% 7.8% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 10.1
9-9 9.6% 5.9% 5.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 9.0
8-10 8.2% 5.5% 5.5% 15.9 0.0 0.4 7.8
7-11 6.5% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.2 6.4
6-12 5.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.1
5-13 3.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 3.4
4-14 2.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.2
3-15 1.2% 1.2
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 16.0% 15.7% 0.3% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.4 3.4 4.2 3.5 2.6 84.0 0.3%