IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Houston Baptist
Southland
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-14.8	#339
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	86.0	#2
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.6	#248

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-12.2	#347

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.2%	0.0%	0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	n/a	15.9

.500 or above	2.0%	16.1%	1.9%
.500 or above in Conference	11.3%	31.3%	11.2%
Conference Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	37.9%	16.9%	38.1%

First Four	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
First Round	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: TCU (Away) - 0.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	0 - 4	0 - 9
Quad 4	4 - 9	5 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	69	@ TCU	L	66-92	1%
Nov 28, 2020	25	@ Arizona St.	L	78-109	0.1%
Dec 02, 2020	65	@ SMU	L	69-96	1%
Dec 05, 2020	265	Rice	L	87-93	30%
Dec 15, 2020	265	@ Rice	L	84-96	15%
Dec 17, 2020	95	@ North Texas	L	67-90	2%
Dec 19, 2020	29	@ Oklahoma	L	73-103	0.4%
Jan 02, 2021	283	Northwestern St.	L	90-95	34%
Jan 06, 2021	173	Abilene Christian	L	79-90	17%
Jan 09, 2021	236	@ Lamar	L	79-92	13%
Jan 16, 2021	246	@ Sam Houston St.	L	83-96	14%
Jan 20, 2021	234	Nicholls St.	L	84-91	28%
Jan 23, 2021	306	McNeese St.	L	88-91	38%
Jan 27, 2021	336	@ Incarnate Word	L	81-85	38%
Jan 30, 2021	303	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	76-85	21%
Feb 06, 2021	283	@ Northwestern St.	L	87-98	18%
Feb 10, 2021	173	@ Abilene Christian	L	76-93	7%
Feb 13, 2021	236	Lamar	L	82-89	28%
Feb 20, 2021	246	Sam Houston St.	L	86-93	29%
Feb 24, 2021	234	@ Nicholls St.	L	81-94	14%
Feb 27, 2021	306	@ McNeese St.	L	85-94	23%
Mar 03, 2021	336	Incarnate Word	W	84-82	57%
Mar 06, 2021	303	TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	79-82	39%
Projected Record						5 - 18	4 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1	1st
2nd										0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.5	2nd
3rd										0.1	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0					1.0	3rd
4th									0.1	0.5	0.8	0.2	0.0						1.7	4th
5th								0.0	0.7	1.2	0.5	0.0							2.5	5th
6th							0.0	0.6	1.9	0.9	0.1								3.5	6th
7th						0.0	0.4	2.1	1.8	0.2									4.5	7th
8th					0.0	0.3	2.1	2.7	0.6	0.0									5.7	8th
9th					0.3	2.2	3.8	1.4	0.0	0.0									7.7	9th
10th			0.0	0.5	2.5	5.3	2.9	0.2	0.0										11.4	10th
11th		0.0	0.9	3.5	6.9	3.9	0.5	0.0											15.8	11th
12th	0.1	1.4	5.1	7.4	4.7	0.9	0.0												19.7	12th
13th	4.4	8.7	8.0	3.8	0.9	0.1													25.9	13th

Total	4.5	10.2	14.0	15.2	15.3	12.7	9.8	7.0	5.1	3.0	1.9	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0				Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0
15-1	69.2%	0.0		0.0	0.0
14-2	73.7%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-3	22.3%	0.0		0.0	0.0
12-4	16.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-5	1.1%	0.0					0.0		0.0
10-6	0.0%
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.1%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1	0.0%		7.7%	7.7%		13.5														0.0	0.0			0.0
14-2	0.0%		26.3%	26.3%		16.0																	0.0	0.0
13-3	0.1%		8.7%	8.7%		15.1																0.0	0.0	0.1
12-4	0.4%		7.9%	7.9%		15.7																0.0	0.0	0.4
11-5	0.8%		4.1%	4.1%		16.0																	0.0	0.8
10-6	1.9%		2.3%	2.3%		16.0																	0.0	1.8
9-7	3.0%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.0	2.9
8-8	5.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	5.1
7-9	7.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	7.0
6-10	9.8%																							9.8
5-11	12.7%																							12.7
4-12	15.3%																							15.3
3-13	15.2%																							15.2
2-14	14.0%																							14.0
1-15	10.2%																							10.2
0-16	4.5%																							4.5

Total	100%		0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	15.9														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	99.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	3.7%