Preseason Rankings
Maryland
Big Ten
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.0#39
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.9#237
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.4#47
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+5.6#42
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
#1 Seed 2.2% 2.5% 0.3%
Top 2 Seed 5.4% 6.1% 1.2%
Top 4 Seed 13.7% 15.5% 4.5%
Top 6 Seed 24.8% 27.5% 10.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 51.9% 56.0% 29.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 50.0% 54.1% 28.6%
Average Seed 6.7 6.6 7.7
.500 or above 69.2% 73.9% 44.0%
.500 or above in Conference 51.1% 54.4% 33.7%
Conference Champion 4.9% 5.5% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 6.4% 5.2% 12.6%
First Four3.9% 4.0% 3.5%
First Round49.9% 54.0% 27.4%
Second Round31.2% 34.1% 15.4%
Sweet Sixteen14.5% 16.0% 6.6%
Elite Eight6.6% 7.2% 2.9%
Final Four2.9% 3.2% 1.2%
Championship Game1.2% 1.4% 0.4%
National Champion0.5% 0.5% 0.2%

Next Game: Old Dominion (Home) - 84.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 9
Quad 24 - 39 - 12
Quad 34 - 113 - 12
Quad 43 - 016 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 118   Old Dominion W 73-62 84%    
  Nov 27, 2020 213   Navy W 73-55 95%    
  Nov 29, 2020 257   Mount St. Mary's W 75-55 97%    
  Dec 01, 2020 176   Monmouth W 83-68 91%    
  Dec 04, 2020 123   George Mason W 75-64 84%    
  Dec 09, 2020 49   @ Clemson L 66-68 44%    
  Dec 14, 2020 33   Rutgers W 70-68 58%    
  Dec 22, 2020 157   La Salle W 78-64 89%    
  Dec 25, 2020 28   @ Purdue L 64-68 36%    
  Dec 28, 2020 8   @ Wisconsin L 61-69 25%    
  Dec 31, 2020 19   Michigan L 72-73 50%    
  Jan 04, 2021 24   @ Indiana L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 07, 2021 9   Iowa L 76-78 45%    
  Jan 10, 2021 13   @ Illinois L 66-73 28%    
  Jan 16, 2021 113   Nebraska W 81-71 81%    
  Jan 19, 2021 19   @ Michigan L 69-75 30%    
  Jan 22, 2021 37   @ Minnesota L 68-71 39%    
  Jan 30, 2021 8   Wisconsin L 64-66 44%    
  Feb 02, 2021 28   Purdue W 67-65 55%    
  Feb 05, 2021 62   @ Penn St. L 73-74 46%    
  Feb 08, 2021 17   Ohio St. L 69-70 49%    
  Feb 14, 2021 37   Minnesota W 71-68 59%    
  Feb 17, 2021 113   @ Nebraska W 78-74 63%    
  Feb 21, 2021 33   Rutgers W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 28, 2021 10   Michigan St. L 72-74 45%    
  Mar 02, 2021 80   @ Northwestern W 69-68 54%    
  Mar 07, 2021 62   Penn St. W 76-71 65%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 4.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 5.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.4 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 6.9 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 2.6 2.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 7.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.8 3.3 1.3 0.1 0.0 8.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 3.6 1.5 0.2 7.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.2 2.3 0.2 0.0 8.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.8 2.9 0.5 0.0 8.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 3.5 3.4 0.7 0.0 8.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 3.2 3.5 1.1 0.0 8.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.8 2.6 3.3 1.1 0.1 8.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.4 2.6 1.1 0.2 7.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.9 1.6 0.7 0.1 5.5 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.7 14th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.3 3.8 5.2 7.0 8.7 9.8 10.3 10.6 10.1 8.5 7.5 5.6 3.9 2.4 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.0
18-2 94.5% 0.6    0.5 0.1
17-3 80.8% 1.3    0.9 0.3 0.0
16-4 52.1% 1.2    0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 23.5% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
14-6 8.4% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.9% 4.9 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 100.0% 62.1% 37.9% 1.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.3% 100.0% 34.5% 65.5% 1.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
18-2 0.7% 100.0% 34.5% 65.5% 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.6% 100.0% 23.9% 76.1% 1.7 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 2.4% 100.0% 19.2% 80.8% 2.5 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 3.9% 100.0% 15.3% 84.7% 3.3 0.3 0.8 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 5.6% 100.0% 10.1% 89.9% 4.4 0.1 0.3 1.2 1.5 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7 7.5% 99.6% 7.2% 92.4% 5.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.8 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.5%
12-8 8.5% 98.7% 4.0% 94.7% 7.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.7 1.8 1.6 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 98.6%
11-9 10.1% 90.7% 2.8% 87.9% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.1 1.7 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.9 90.5%
10-10 10.6% 70.8% 1.4% 69.5% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.2 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.1 70.4%
9-11 10.3% 38.3% 0.8% 37.4% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.1 6.3 37.8%
8-12 9.8% 9.1% 0.6% 8.5% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.9 8.5%
7-13 8.7% 1.5% 0.3% 1.1% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6 1.1%
6-14 7.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 7.0 0.0%
5-15 5.2% 5.2
4-16 3.8% 3.8
3-17 2.3% 2.3
2-18 1.1% 1.1
1-19 0.4% 0.4
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 51.9% 3.8% 48.1% 6.7 2.2 3.2 4.0 4.3 5.2 5.9 5.7 5.6 4.9 3.6 3.3 2.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 48.1 50.0%