IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Rutgers
Big Ten
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+11.6	#33
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.3	#228
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.4	#63

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+7.2	#12

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.7%	0.7%	0.3%
#1 Seed	3.0%	3.1%	0.8%
Top 2 Seed	6.8%	7.0%	0.9%
Top 4 Seed	17.1%	17.4%	3.4%
Top 6 Seed	27.6%	28.1%	6.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid	47.2%	48.0%	16.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	44.6%	45.4%	14.7%
Average Seed	6.3	6.2	7.8

.500 or above	52.4%	53.2%	17.6%
.500 or above in Conference	47.3%	47.9%	21.6%
Conference Champion	4.8%	4.9%	0.9%
Last Place in Conference	7.3%	7.1%	17.1%

First Four	5.4%	5.5%	4.6%
First Round	44.9%	45.6%	13.1%
Second Round	30.8%	31.4%	7.6%
Sweet Sixteen	15.8%	16.1%	3.9%
Elite Eight	7.5%	7.7%	0.6%
Final Four	3.3%	3.4%	0.4%
Championship Game	1.5%	1.5%	0.3%
National Champion	0.7%	0.7%	0.0%

Next Game: Rider (Home) - 97.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 6	2 - 6
Quad 1b	3 - 3	5 - 9
Quad 2	4 - 2	9 - 11
Quad 3	2 - 0	11 - 12
Quad 4	1 - 0	12 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 28, 2020	273	Rider	W	83-62	98%
Nov 29, 2020	152	Hofstra	W	78-64	90%
Dec 14, 2020	39	@ Maryland	L	68-70	42%
Dec 20, 2020	13	Illinois	L	68-69	49%
Dec 23, 2020	17	@ Ohio St.	L	65-71	31%
Dec 29, 2020	28	Purdue	W	66-64	58%
Jan 02, 2021	9	Iowa	L	75-76	47%
Jan 05, 2021	10	@ Michigan St.	L	68-75	27%
Jan 09, 2021	17	Ohio St.	W	69-68	51%
Jan 12, 2021	62	@ Penn St.	L	72-73	48%
Jan 15, 2021	8	Wisconsin	L	64-65	46%
Jan 24, 2021	24	@ Indiana	L	67-72	35%
Jan 28, 2021	10	Michigan St.	L	71-72	47%
Jan 31, 2021	80	@ Northwestern	W	69-67	55%
Feb 04, 2021	37	Minnesota	W	70-67	62%
Feb 10, 2021	9	@ Iowa	L	72-79	28%
Feb 13, 2021	80	Northwestern	W	72-64	74%
Feb 18, 2021	19	@ Michigan	L	68-74	32%
Feb 21, 2021	39	@ Maryland	L	68-70	43%
Feb 24, 2021	24	Indiana	W	70-69	54%
Feb 28, 2021	113	@ Nebraska	W	78-73	65%
Mar 06, 2021	37	@ Minnesota	L	67-70	42%
Projected Record						11 - 11	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0	1.4	1.0	0.6	0.3	0.0		4.8	1st
2nd													0.1	0.7	1.8	1.8	1.0	0.2	0.0				5.6	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.8	2.3	2.1	0.8	0.1	0.0					6.3	3rd
4th											0.0	0.7	2.6	2.8	0.8	0.1	0.0						7.1	4th
5th										0.0	0.5	2.5	3.0	1.2	0.1	0.0							7.2	5th
6th										0.3	2.1	3.3	1.5	0.1	0.0								7.3	6th
7th								0.0	0.2	1.8	3.7	1.8	0.2	0.0									7.7	7th
8th								0.1	1.3	4.0	2.5	0.4	0.0										8.4	8th
9th						0.0	0.1	1.1	3.4	3.4	0.6	0.0											8.7	9th
10th					0.0	0.1	1.0	3.3	3.2	1.0	0.1												8.6	10th
11th				0.0	0.2	1.2	3.0	3.3	1.3	0.2	0.0												9.1	11th
12th			0.0	0.2	1.1	2.8	2.6	1.2	0.2														7.9	12th
13th		0.0	0.3	1.3	2.1	2.0	0.9	0.1	0.0														6.9	13th
14th	0.1	0.6	1.1	1.2	1.0	0.3	0.1																4.4	14th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.4	2.8	4.4	6.4	7.5	9.1	9.5	10.7	9.5	8.7	8.3	7.1	5.3	3.7	2.5	1.2	0.6	0.3	0.0			Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
18-2	95.8%	0.6		0.5	0.1
17-3	84.5%	1.0		0.7	0.3	0.0
16-4	55.2%	1.4		0.8	0.5	0.1
15-5	26.1%	1.0		0.3	0.4	0.2	0.1
14-6	7.3%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-7	1.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%	0.0						0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	4.8%	4.8		2.7	1.5	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		100.0%	51.4%	48.6%	1.0		0.0																		100.0%
19-1	0.3%		100.0%	59.4%	40.6%	1.1		0.3	0.0																	100.0%
18-2	0.6%		100.0%	32.7%	67.3%	1.3		0.5	0.1	0.0																100.0%
17-3	1.2%		100.0%	35.1%	64.9%	1.5		0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0															100.0%
16-4	2.5%		100.0%	22.0%	78.0%	2.1		0.7	1.0	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0													100.0%
15-5	3.7%		100.0%	20.7%	79.3%	2.7		0.4	1.2	1.2	0.6	0.2	0.0													100.0%
14-6	5.3%		100.0%	13.9%	86.1%	3.7		0.2	0.7	1.5	1.5	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0											100.0%
13-7	7.1%		99.9%	9.1%	90.8%	4.8		0.1	0.3	1.1	1.7	1.9	1.3	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.0					0.0		99.9%
12-8	8.3%		99.2%	5.6%	93.6%	6.0		0.0	0.0	0.4	0.9	1.8	2.1	1.6	0.8	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.1		99.2%
11-9	8.7%		95.6%	3.8%	91.8%	8.0				0.1	0.3	0.6	0.9	1.3	1.6	1.4	1.1	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0			0.4		95.5%
10-10	9.5%		71.5%	1.7%	69.8%	10.3			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.6	0.8	1.0	1.3	1.6	0.6	0.1	0.0		2.7		71.0%
9-11	10.7%		25.1%	1.1%	24.0%	12.1						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	1.0	0.8	0.3	0.1		8.0		24.3%
8-12	9.5%		3.8%	0.4%	3.4%	12.5								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0		9.2		3.4%
7-13	9.1%		0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	12.9													0.0	0.0	0.0			9.1		0.1%
6-14	7.5%		0.2%	0.2%		14.5															0.0	0.0		7.5
5-15	6.4%		0.1%	0.1%		15.0																0.0		6.4
4-16	4.4%																							4.4
3-17	2.8%																							2.8
2-18	1.4%																							1.4
1-19	0.6%																							0.6
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		47.2%	4.7%	42.5%	6.3		3.0	3.8	5.0	5.2	5.5	5.0	3.9	3.2	2.7	2.4	2.2	3.2	1.5	0.5	0.1		52.8		44.6%