IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.1	#193
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.7	#98
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.6	#190

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.5	#219

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.3%	3.5%	1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.3%	0.6%	0.1%
Average Seed	12.9	12.5	13.4

.500 or above	30.0%	46.1%	21.8%
.500 or above in Conference	31.4%	41.1%	26.3%
Conference Champion	2.1%	3.4%	1.4%
Last Place in Conference	14.7%	9.2%	17.5%

First Four	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%
First Round	2.1%	3.3%	1.5%
Second Round	0.4%	0.6%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Akron (Neutral) - 33.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 5
Quad 3	4 - 7	5 - 12
Quad 4	5 - 2	10 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	126	Akron	L	73-78	34%
Dec 02, 2020	105	Murray St.	L	72-76	37%
Dec 06, 2020	158	Chattanooga	W	75-74	52%
Dec 16, 2020	61	Mississippi	L	69-77	23%
Dec 19, 2020	292	@ Bellarmine	W	65-63	59%
Dec 22, 2020	292	Bellarmine	W	68-60	77%
Jan 01, 2021	191	@ Florida Atlantic	L	71-74	39%
Jan 02, 2021	191	@ Florida Atlantic	L	71-74	40%
Jan 08, 2021	171	Florida International	W	80-78	55%
Jan 09, 2021	171	Florida International	W	80-78	55%
Jan 15, 2021	229	@ Southern Miss	L	71-72	47%
Jan 16, 2021	229	@ Southern Miss	L	71-72	47%
Jan 23, 2021	82	Western Kentucky	L	73-79	31%
Jan 24, 2021	82	Western Kentucky	L	73-79	31%
Jan 28, 2021	131	UAB	L	70-71	46%
Jan 30, 2021	131	@ UAB	L	67-74	27%
Feb 05, 2021	164	Charlotte	W	71-70	55%
Feb 06, 2021	164	Charlotte	W	71-70	53%
Feb 11, 2021	110	@ Marshall	L	78-87	22%
Feb 13, 2021	110	@ Marshall	L	78-87	22%
Feb 19, 2021	109	Louisiana Tech	L	71-74	39%
Feb 20, 2021	109	Louisiana Tech	L	71-74	39%
Feb 26, 2021	118	@ Old Dominion	L	66-74	24%
Feb 27, 2021	118	@ Old Dominion	L	66-74	24%
Projected Record						10 - 14	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Conference USA Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0		2.1	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.8	1.3	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0			3.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	1.1	1.6	0.9	0.1	0.0					4.0	3rd
4th										0.1	1.1	2.2	1.1	0.2	0.0						4.6	4th
5th									0.1	0.8	2.7	1.8	0.2	0.0							5.5	5th
6th									0.5	2.8	2.6	0.5	0.0								6.5	6th
7th							0.0	0.3	2.6	3.0	0.9	0.1									6.9	7th
8th							0.1	1.7	4.3	1.5	0.1										7.6	8th
9th						0.1	1.3	4.0	2.8	0.3	0.0										8.5	9th
10th					0.1	1.1	4.1	3.6	0.7												9.5	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	1.0	3.9	4.3	1.1	0.1												10.4	11th
12th		0.0	0.1	1.2	3.8	4.5	1.6	0.1													11.3	12th
13th	0.0	0.5	1.6	3.7	3.6	1.4	0.2	0.0													11.1	13th
14th	0.7	2.1	2.5	2.4	0.9	0.1	0.0														8.7	14th

Total	0.8	2.5	4.3	7.4	9.4	11.1	11.6	10.7	11.0	8.6	7.6	5.8	3.8	2.8	1.6	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	99.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	96.3%	0.3		0.2	0.0
15-3	74.0%	0.5		0.3	0.2	0.0
14-4	39.0%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	15.0%	0.4		0.1	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0
12-6	2.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0							0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.1%	2.1		1.1	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		75.8%	24.2%	51.5%	9.4							0.0				0.0	0.0						0.0		68.0%
17-1	0.1%		49.0%	29.4%	19.6%	8.8					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0					0.1		27.8%
16-2	0.3%		46.3%	12.5%	33.8%	10.7							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2		38.6%
15-3	0.7%		35.0%	24.0%	11.0%	11.6										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.5		14.5%
14-4	1.6%		18.4%	15.4%	3.0%	12.2										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0			1.3		3.6%
13-5	2.8%		12.8%	12.1%	0.7%	12.8												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	2.4		0.8%
12-6	3.8%		8.8%	8.5%	0.3%	13.5												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	3.5		0.3%
11-7	5.8%		5.4%	5.4%		13.3												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	5.5
10-8	7.6%		2.7%	2.7%	0.0%	13.7												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	7.4		0.0%
9-9	8.6%		1.7%	1.7%		14.5														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	8.4
8-10	11.0%		0.7%	0.7%		14.7														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	10.9
7-11	10.7%		0.2%	0.2%		15.3																0.0	0.0	10.7
6-12	11.6%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	11.5
5-13	11.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.0
4-14	9.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.4
3-15	7.4%																							7.4
2-16	4.3%																							4.3
1-17	2.5%																							2.5
0-18	0.8%																							0.8

Total	100%		2.3%	2.0%	0.3%	12.9					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.1	97.7		0.3%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%