Preseason Rankings
Oral Roberts
Summit League
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#178
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.9#74
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#110
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#273
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.5% 21.8% 12.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Average Seed 14.6 13.8 14.8
.500 or above 50.2% 76.4% 46.8%
.500 or above in Conference 75.7% 86.7% 74.2%
Conference Champion 11.5% 19.9% 10.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.7% 1.4% 2.9%
First Round12.4% 21.2% 11.3%
Second Round1.1% 2.5% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Missouri (Away) - 11.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 33 - 44 - 10
Quad 48 - 212 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 66   @ Missouri L 68-81 12%    
  Dec 02, 2020 77   @ Wichita St. L 72-83 14%    
  Dec 08, 2020 42   @ Oklahoma St. L 70-84 9%    
  Dec 12, 2020 98   Tulsa L 71-74 38%    
  Dec 19, 2020 156   Texas Arlington W 76-74 56%    
  Dec 20, 2020 46   @ Arkansas L 74-88 11%    
  Jan 02, 2021 196   @ Nebraska Omaha L 79-81 44%    
  Jan 03, 2021 196   @ Nebraska Omaha L 79-81 44%    
  Jan 08, 2021 248   North Dakota W 82-75 74%    
  Jan 09, 2021 248   North Dakota W 82-75 74%    
  Jan 15, 2021 305   @ Denver W 82-78 64%    
  Jan 16, 2021 305   @ Denver W 82-78 64%    
  Jan 23, 2021 275   UMKC W 76-68 76%    
  Jan 24, 2021 275   UMKC W 76-68 76%    
  Feb 05, 2021 165   @ North Dakota St. L 73-77 39%    
  Feb 06, 2021 165   @ North Dakota St. L 73-77 39%    
  Feb 13, 2021 100   South Dakota St. L 78-81 41%    
  Feb 14, 2021 100   South Dakota St. L 78-81 41%    
  Feb 20, 2021 206   @ South Dakota L 80-81 47%    
  Feb 21, 2021 206   @ South Dakota L 80-81 47%    
  Feb 27, 2021 333   Western Illinois W 90-75 90%    
  Feb 28, 2021 333   Western Illinois W 90-75 89%    
Projected Record 11 - 11 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.2 3.6 2.3 0.7 11.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.8 5.8 3.8 1.0 0.1 15.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.6 5.5 6.1 3.1 0.4 0.0 16.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.5 6.6 6.1 1.8 0.2 17.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.9 6.0 4.6 1.1 0.0 15.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.8 4.5 2.6 0.4 0.0 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 2.1 2.9 1.4 0.2 0.0 7.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 2.4 4.1 6.8 9.2 11.5 13.2 13.5 12.0 10.5 7.4 4.6 2.4 0.7 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.7    0.6 0.0
15-1 96.9% 2.3    2.1 0.3
14-2 77.1% 3.6    2.4 1.1 0.1
13-3 43.3% 3.2    1.3 1.5 0.4 0.0
12-4 14.0% 1.5    0.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
11-5 2.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 11.5% 11.5 6.7 3.7 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.7% 56.3% 51.1% 5.2% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 10.6%
15-1 2.4% 49.6% 48.3% 1.3% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 2.6%
14-2 4.6% 41.7% 40.8% 0.9% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.7 1.5%
13-3 7.4% 32.5% 32.4% 0.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.2 5.0 0.2%
12-4 10.5% 21.9% 21.9% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.5 8.2 0.0%
11-5 12.0% 15.4% 15.4% 15.3 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.9 10.2
10-6 13.5% 10.7% 10.7% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 12.1
9-7 13.2% 6.6% 6.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.8 12.3
8-8 11.5% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7 10.7
7-9 9.2% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.2 8.9
6-10 6.8% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 6.6
5-11 4.1% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 4.1
4-12 2.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.4
3-13 1.2% 1.2
2-14 0.4% 0.4
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.5% 13.4% 0.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.9 2.9 3.4 4.3 86.5 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%