Preseason Rankings
Samford
Southern
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#301
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace78.0#27
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#210
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.5#328
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.9 14.8
.500 or above 12.0% 14.2% 3.4%
.500 or above in Conference 11.7% 13.2% 5.8%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 30.4% 27.4% 42.3%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama A&M (Neutral) - 79.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 32 - 72 - 12
Quad 47 - 58 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 28, 2020 343   Alabama A&M W 80-71 80%    
  Nov 29, 2020 343   Alabama A&M W 81-69 86%    
  Dec 05, 2020 114   @ Belmont L 75-90 9%    
  Dec 12, 2020 94   @ Georgia L 74-91 7%    
  Dec 16, 2020 281   @ Troy L 79-83 35%    
  Dec 19, 2020 342   @ Kennesaw St. W 80-74 70%    
  Dec 30, 2020 276   VMI W 81-80 55%    
  Jan 02, 2021 148   @ Wofford L 71-83 15%    
  Jan 06, 2021 158   @ Chattanooga L 74-85 17%    
  Jan 09, 2021 182   Western Carolina L 84-88 37%    
  Jan 13, 2021 142   @ East Tennessee St. L 70-82 15%    
  Jan 16, 2021 84   UNC Greensboro L 72-84 16%    
  Jan 20, 2021 158   Chattanooga L 77-82 33%    
  Jan 23, 2021 317   The Citadel W 92-87 68%    
  Jan 27, 2021 183   @ Mercer L 74-84 20%    
  Jan 30, 2021 182   @ Western Carolina L 81-91 21%    
  Feb 03, 2021 83   Furman L 73-85 16%    
  Feb 06, 2021 84   @ UNC Greensboro L 69-87 7%    
  Feb 10, 2021 183   Mercer L 77-81 38%    
  Feb 13, 2021 276   @ VMI L 78-83 35%    
  Feb 17, 2021 83   @ Furman L 70-88 7%    
  Feb 20, 2021 142   East Tennessee St. L 73-79 31%    
  Feb 24, 2021 148   Wofford L 74-80 31%    
  Feb 27, 2021 317   @ The Citadel L 89-90 48%    
Projected Record 8 - 16 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.4 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 3.1 3.4 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.9 6th
7th 0.2 1.9 4.9 4.6 1.9 0.2 0.0 13.6 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 4.5 7.0 5.5 1.8 0.2 20.0 8th
9th 0.3 3.0 7.5 7.9 4.2 1.2 0.1 0.0 24.2 9th
10th 2.0 5.7 6.4 4.7 1.9 0.2 0.0 21.0 10th
Total 2.0 6.0 9.5 13.3 14.5 13.4 12.3 9.9 7.4 4.6 3.3 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 65.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 44.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 12.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 27.0% 27.0% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 26.8% 26.8% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 8.0% 8.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.5% 9.0% 9.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-6 1.0% 6.5% 6.5% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
11-7 2.0% 5.0% 5.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9
10-8 3.3% 1.9% 1.9% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.3
9-9 4.6% 0.9% 0.9% 15.3 0.0 0.0 4.6
8-10 7.4% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 7.3
7-11 9.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.9
6-12 12.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.3
5-13 13.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.4
4-14 14.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.4
3-15 13.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.3
2-16 9.5% 9.5
1-17 6.0% 6.0
0-18 2.0% 2.0
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%