Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas St.
Sun Belt
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#284
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#288
Pace60.6#344
Improvement+1.8#49

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#275
First Shot-2.5#264
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#245
Layup/Dunks-0.7#209
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#113
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#300
Freethrows+0.3#153
Improvement+1.6#39

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#272
First Shot-3.8#308
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#104
Layups/Dunks-0.9#222
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#115
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#252
Freethrows-2.2#329
Improvement+0.1#168
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 31 - 121 - 16
Quad 49 - 410 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2022 126   @ LSU L 52-61 14%     0 - 1 -3.7 -14.0 +9.5
  Nov 18, 2022 160   @ UC Davis L 60-75 18%     0 - 2 -11.8 -9.7 -2.2
  Nov 22, 2022 292   Tennessee Martin W 70-64 63%     1 - 2 -3.8 -7.5 +3.8
  Nov 25, 2022 286   Prairie View L 59-67 62%     1 - 3 -17.5 -10.7 -7.2
  Dec 01, 2022 358   Mississippi Valley W 58-38 85%     2 - 3 +2.4 -6.1 +13.8
  Dec 06, 2022 336   @ Central Arkansas L 67-72 56%     2 - 4 -13.0 -7.1 -6.1
  Dec 09, 2022 152   @ Air Force L 55-80 16%     2 - 5 -21.0 -3.3 -23.2
  Dec 14, 2022 260   Southeast Missouri St. W 68-61 57%     3 - 5 -1.2 -7.7 +6.6
  Dec 19, 2022 353   Alabama St. W 72-65 82%     4 - 5 -9.1 -0.4 -8.1
  Dec 22, 2022 327   Arkansas Little Rock W 77-75 73%     5 - 5 -10.7 +1.9 -12.4
  Dec 29, 2022 167   @ Old Dominion W 60-57 19%     6 - 5 1 - 0 +5.9 +0.8 +5.7
  Dec 31, 2022 282   Louisiana Monroe L 72-84 61%     6 - 6 1 - 1 -21.4 +2.2 -24.6
  Jan 05, 2023 110   @ South Alabama L 45-63 11%     6 - 7 1 - 2 -11.0 -17.4 +3.9
  Jan 07, 2023 135   @ Troy L 54-66 14%     6 - 8 1 - 3 -7.0 -13.0 +5.5
  Jan 12, 2023 197   Texas St. L 58-61 42%     6 - 9 1 - 4 -7.3 -12.0 +4.4
  Jan 14, 2023 107   Southern Miss L 57-74 24%     6 - 10 1 - 5 -15.9 -13.6 -2.7
  Jan 19, 2023 101   Louisiana L 71-80 22%     6 - 11 1 - 6 -7.2 +0.7 -8.4
  Jan 21, 2023 83   Marshall L 78-87 OT 17%     6 - 12 1 - 7 -5.1 +0.7 -5.2
  Jan 26, 2023 107   @ Southern Miss L 57-73 11%     6 - 13 1 - 8 -8.9 -3.3 -8.0
  Jan 28, 2023 180   @ Appalachian St. L 51-63 20%     6 - 14 1 - 9 -9.7 -12.3 +1.1
  Feb 02, 2023 110   South Alabama L 62-82 24%     6 - 15 1 - 10 -18.9 -4.6 -15.9
  Feb 04, 2023 290   Coastal Carolina W 73-57 63%     7 - 15 2 - 10 +6.3 -3.3 +10.5
  Feb 09, 2023 197   @ Texas St. L 62-66 22%     7 - 16 2 - 11 -2.4 -1.8 -1.1
  Feb 11, 2023 211   @ Georgia Southern L 53-68 24%     7 - 17 2 - 12 -14.0 -9.3 -6.9
  Feb 16, 2023 135   Troy L 62-67 30%     7 - 18 2 - 13 -6.0 -7.1 +0.8
  Feb 18, 2023 268   Georgia St. W 75-70 59%     8 - 18 3 - 13 -3.7 +8.8 -11.9
  Feb 22, 2023 101   @ Louisiana L 74-85 10%     8 - 19 3 - 14 -3.3 +3.6 -7.0
  Feb 24, 2023 282   @ Louisiana Monroe W 64-61 39%     9 - 19 4 - 14 -0.4 +0.1 -0.1
  Feb 28, 2023 290   Coastal Carolina W 86-69 51%     10 - 19 +10.3 +15.4 -3.4
  Mar 02, 2023 135   Troy L 59-63 21%     10 - 20 -2.0 -2.4 -0.2
Projected Record 10 - 20 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 100.0 100.0 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%