Pre-tourney Rankings
Mercer
Southern
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#226
Expected Predictive Rating-4.9#256
Pace62.8#317
Improvement+0.5#136

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#279
First Shot-5.5#328
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#44
Layup/Dunks-2.7#295
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#338
Freethrows-1.5#306
Improvement-2.6#354

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#162
First Shot+0.5#149
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#191
Layups/Dunks-1.3#237
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#229
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#25
Freethrows-1.7#313
Improvement+3.1#3
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 31 - 3
Quad 30 - 121 - 15
Quad 411 - 412 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2022 173   @ East Carolina L 75-77 29%     0 - 1 +0.6 +7.5 -7.0
  Nov 15, 2022 268   @ Georgia St. L 83-85 OT 49%     0 - 2 -4.8 +1.0 -5.5
  Nov 19, 2022 244   Winthrop W 77-68 66%     1 - 2 +1.7 +2.1 +0.3
  Nov 21, 2022 179   @ Florida St. L 72-81 30%     1 - 3 -6.7 +1.1 -8.0
  Nov 25, 2022 240   Robert Morris W 72-66 54%     2 - 3 +2.0 -4.0 +5.7
  Nov 26, 2022 255   Fairfield W 60-58 58%     3 - 3 -3.1 -7.3 +4.4
  Nov 27, 2022 134   Towson L 60-70 31%     3 - 4 -8.0 -5.6 -3.5
  Dec 02, 2022 131   Kennesaw St. L 63-66 42%     3 - 5 -3.9 -5.4 +1.2
  Dec 10, 2022 190   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 62-67 31%     3 - 6 -3.0 -7.7 +4.5
  Dec 17, 2022 252   Morehead St. W 79-52 68%     4 - 6 +19.1 +16.0 +7.4
  Dec 21, 2022 135   @ Troy W 82-79 22%     5 - 6 +8.0 +16.0 -7.9
  Dec 28, 2022 136   @ Samford L 69-78 22%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -4.1 +7.5 -13.1
  Dec 31, 2022 177   Chattanooga L 51-80 52%     5 - 8 0 - 2 -32.6 -23.6 -10.5
  Jan 04, 2023 223   Wofford L 52-53 61%     5 - 9 0 - 3 -6.9 -16.8 +9.6
  Jan 07, 2023 237   @ Western Carolina L 45-73 41%     5 - 10 0 - 4 -28.8 -27.1 -2.7
  Jan 11, 2023 90   Furman L 66-84 28%     5 - 11 0 - 5 -15.1 -2.8 -13.9
  Jan 14, 2023 241   @ East Tennessee St. W 68-55 42%     6 - 11 1 - 5 +11.9 +3.4 +10.1
  Jan 19, 2023 350   @ VMI W 69-61 73%     7 - 11 2 - 5 -1.6 -5.8 +4.8
  Jan 21, 2023 119   @ UNC Greensboro L 48-59 20%     7 - 12 2 - 6 -5.0 -11.4 +4.7
  Jan 25, 2023 241   East Tennessee St. W 71-67 OT 65%     8 - 12 3 - 6 -3.0 -10.4 +7.1
  Jan 28, 2023 324   @ The Citadel W 74-65 62%     9 - 12 4 - 6 +2.8 +4.7 -1.1
  Feb 02, 2023 119   UNC Greensboro L 49-69 38%     9 - 13 4 - 7 -20.0 -16.0 -5.9
  Feb 04, 2023 350   VMI W 80-54 87%     10 - 13 5 - 7 +10.5 +2.6 +9.7
  Feb 08, 2023 136   Samford L 69-70 OT 42%     10 - 14 5 - 8 -2.1 -11.7 +9.7
  Feb 11, 2023 177   @ Chattanooga L 56-73 30%     10 - 15 5 - 9 -14.7 -14.2 -1.7
  Feb 15, 2023 223   @ Wofford L 67-70 38%     10 - 16 5 - 10 -3.0 +0.9 -4.4
  Feb 18, 2023 237   Western Carolina L 68-71 64%     10 - 17 5 - 11 -9.8 -7.6 -2.3
  Feb 22, 2023 90   @ Furman L 67-70 14%     10 - 18 5 - 12 +5.8 -1.4 +7.1
  Feb 25, 2023 324   The Citadel W 72-50 81%     11 - 18 6 - 12 +9.8 +3.5 +9.6
  Mar 03, 2023 324   The Citadel W 66-41 72%     12 - 18 +15.8 -3.8 +22.5
  Mar 04, 2023 90   Furman L 58-73 20%     12 - 19 -9.2 -8.6 -2.3
Projected Record 12 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%